| - |
29-Jan-17 |
Rafael Nadal – Roger Federer 2:3 (4:6, 6:3, 1:6, 6:3, 3:6) |
H1-1.5 |
2 |
100 |
3% |
-3.0% |
-100 |
454.6% |
3111 |
| There will be one day enough for Rafael Nadal to recover. His victory over Grigor Dimitrov was easy enough. Roger Federer with his playing style will be a comfortable opponent for Nadal. Roger can't play well on the baseline as he wins most of the points from rival's mistakes or playing at the net. But Nadal is playing well, and produces perfect passing shots. |
| - |
23-Jan-17 |
David Goffin – Dominic Thiem 3:1 (5:7, 7:6, 6:2, 6:2) |
H1 -1.5 |
1.92 |
-109 |
4% |
+3.7% |
+92 |
457.6% |
3211 |
| David Goffin was in good shape at the Australian Open. He is very concentrated, which is important for the Belgian. Dominic Thiem is not in his best shape, his tennis is full of defects both from the backhand and forehand wings. Thiem has hardly won Struff and Paire who had not enough experience to confront the Austrian. With Goffin it will be more difficult. David is faster and will press Thiem for mistakes. Besides, Thiem can lose steam in the first half of the match because of its high status. |
| - |
21-Jan-17 |
Rafael Nadal - Alexander Zverev 3:2 (4:6, 6:3, 6:7, 6:3, 6:2) |
H1 -4.5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
3% |
+2.7% |
+90 |
453.9% |
3119 |
| Rafael Nadal gains his speed. After Novak Djokovic has lost the event, Nadal will find it mentally easily to perform. he constantly goes into attack and is very consistent. Alexander Zverev is very good from time to time but there are a lot of failures in his game, He makes a lot of double errors, produces low first serve percentage. Zverev will constantly give chances to Nadal to return to game (in contrast to Raonic). |
| - |
19-Jan-17 |
Ivo Karlovic – Andrew Whittington 3:0 (6:4, 6:4, 6:4) |
H1 -3.5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
3% |
+2.7% |
+90 |
451.2% |
3029 |
| Ivo Karlovic has spent much time on court but he should already recover to continue his solid tennis. He's in good physical conditions. Andrew Whittington is ranked into the top 200. With rivals of the Karlovic level he will not have answers to Ivo's questions. The audience support will also help Karlovic. |
| - |
18-Jan-17 |
Stan Wawrinka – Steve Johnson 3:0 (6:3, 6:4, 6:4) |
H1-5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
3% |
+2.7% |
+90 |
448.5% |
2939 |
| Stan Wawrinka has shown high-quality tennis in match with Martin Klizan. Klizan came up with really good performance and made the battle last for 5 sets. The Slovak served well, often advanced to the net. Steve Johnson is better than Klizan only with the first serve percentage. In other aspects, the American is much weaker. |
| - |
17-Jan-17 |
Daniil Medvedev – Ernesto Escobedo 1:3 (5:7, 6:4, 6:7 1:6) |
H1-4.0 |
1.92 |
-109 |
3% |
-3.0% |
-100 |
445.8% |
2849 |
| Daniil Medvedev showed good perfomance in Chennai. It is very difficult to play against the Russian. Medvedev returns practically all shots. Ernesto Escobedo is also very strong but he loses to Medvedev almost in every aspect. |
| - |
17-Jan-17 |
Gaël Monfils – Jiri Vesely 3:0 (6:3, 6:2, 6:3) |
H1-5 |
1 |
0 |
3% |
+2.9% |
+0 |
448.8% |
2949 |
| Gaël Monfils did not play at tournaments before Australia, but the Frenchman can show high-quality tennis immediately. Jiri Vesely is not able to attack, and it will be very comfortable for Gaël to play him. The both are good servers, while the French is better at return. |
| - |
17-Jan-17 |
Alexandr Dolgopolov – Borna Coric 3:1 (6:3, 6:4, 3:6, 7:6) |
H1 -1.5 |
1.84 |
-119 |
4% |
+3.4% |
+84 |
445.9% |
2949 |
| Alexandr Dolgopolov has shown high-quality tennis in Brisbane and Sydney, but he failed becuse of uncomfortable opponents. Borna Coric is not in his best. He was very weak in Chennai. Dolgopolov is more active than the Coric, he will go in attack with every shot. |
| - |
16-Jan-17 |
Alexandr Bublik – Lucas Pouille 3:1 (6:0, 3:6, 6:3 6:4) |
H1+7.5 |
1 |
0 |
3% |
+2.5% |
+0 |
442.0% |
2865 |
| Alexandr Bublik has shown good tennis in qualification. He is very active on his serve and at return. Lucas Pouille is after trauma, and Frenchman will be needed time to find his game. |
| - |
16-Jan-17 |
John Isner – Konstantin Kravchuk 3:1 (6:3 6:4 6:7 6:1) |
H1-2.5 (set's) |
1 |
0 |
3% |
-3.0% |
-100 |
440.0% |
2865 |
| Konstantin Kravchuk is not very good at return. John Isner on Grand Slam will play better, than in Auckland. Of course, on tie-break Kravchuk have a chance, but we don't believe in it. |
| - |
13-Jan-17 |
Viktor Troicki – Gilles Müller 0:2 (3:6 6:7) |
H1 -1.5 |
1 |
0 |
3% |
-3.0% |
-100 |
443.0% |
2965 |
| Viktor Troicki has received day of rest that's good for him. It will be the 4th match for Gilles Müller and that will have an effect. Müller is good only on his serve, Troicki well protects his serve and he is able to resist players with "huge" serve. |
| - |
05-Jan-17 |
Dominic Thiem – Sam Groth 2:0 (7:6 6:3) |
H2+3.5 |
2.1 |
110 |
3% |
-3.0% |
-100 |
446.0% |
3065 |
| Sam Groth is on top, it turns out to play also in couple at the Australian. There was a day of rest in single so the right hand (which Groth gives) has a rest. Dominic Thiem had no experience of a single game this year. He played only in couple with Nishikori. He will need time to catch his rhythm. |
| - |
26-Oct-16 |
Mikhail Zverev – Taylor Fritz 2:0 (7:6, 6:0) |
H1-2.0 |
1.87 |
-115 |
4% |
+3.5% |
+87 |
449.2% |
3070 |
| Mikhail Zverev has played two matches in qualification where he has defeated stronger opponents, than Taylor Fritz. Mikhail is the lefthander with a mediocre return, good net play. His form is great now. Fritz in this match can count only on his first serve. It is not enough to cover the handicap. |
| - |
25-Oct-16 |
Jurgen Melzer – Roberto Agut 2:0 (6:3, 7:5) |
H+4.5 |
1.89 |
-112 |
3% |
+2.7% |
+89 |
445.7% |
2983 |
| Jurgen Melzer has been showing good results lately, also in doubles. The German produces high first serve percentage. Jurgen plays at home. As for Bautista Agut, he rarely shows good tennis in first rounds, improving it in later rounds. |
| - |
24-Oct-16 |
Ivo Karlovic – Steve Johnson 2:0 (7:6, 6:3) |
W1 |
1.9 |
-111 |
3% |
+2.7% |
+90 |
443.0% |
2894 |
| Ivo Karlovic has played two quite good matches in Stockholm. It was unlucky to run into Juan Martin Del Potro early (the Argentinean is very good on return). Ivo is a big server and indoor courts favor him a lot. Steve Johnson has has a poor performance against Radu Albot. Considering that match, Steve doesn't have chances to outplay Ivo. |
| - |
20-Oct-16 |
Dusan Lajovic – Philipp Kohlschreiber 1:2 (5:7, 6:3, 3:6) |
H+1.5 |
1.93 |
-108 |
3% |
-3.0% |
-100 |
440.3% |
2804 |
| Philipp Kohlschreiber fighting with injuries. The last qualitative match that German played was at the beginning of summer. Dusan Lajovic is in his best. Normally serve, good movement. In general we think the Serbian is the favourite. |
| - |
19-Oct-16 |
Malek Jaziri – Jack Sock 1:2 (6:3, 3:6, 6:7) |
H1+4 |
1.85 |
-118 |
3% |
+2.6% |
+85 |
443.3% |
2904 |
| Jack Sock only after doubles tournament. In addition flight and acclimatization after Asia. We don't think that Jack will show the best tennis. Malek Jaziri in good shape. He has hard serve, and moreover he is capable to hold Jack Sock serve. |
| - |
17-Oct-16 |
Robin Haase – Paul Mathieu 2:0 (6:4, 6:2) |
W1 |
1.95 |
-105 |
3% |
+2.9% |
+95 |
440.8% |
2819 |
| Robin Haase even on clay receives result. The Dutch is in his best. Paul Mathieu isn't in good form now. H2H meetings also for Robin. |
| - |
13-Oct-16 |
Marcel Granollers – Mikhail Zverev 2:1 (7:6, 4:6, 1:6) |
H1-1.5 |
1.97 |
-103 |
3% |
-3.0% |
-100 |
437.9% |
2724 |
| Mikhail Zverev has randomly got in 1/8 Masters. He is weaker than Marcel Granollers practically in all aspects. And psychologically Mikhail can fuse. So far he did not come yet. |
| - |
11-Oct-16 |
Feliciano Lopez - David Ferrer 2:1 (7:6, 4:6, 7:6) |
H2-3.5 |
1.98 |
-102 |
4% |
-4.0% |
-100 |
440.9% |
2824 |
| David Ferrer has shown the best tennis for this year in Beijing. Probably David is slowly restored. Feliciano Lopez is very opposite. The second part of season for him is really unsuccessful. He badly played in the USA, Chengdu, had refusal in Tokyo. The majority of the last H2H meetings woned Ferrer. We do not see chances for Lopez now. |
| - |
09-Oct-16 |
Janko Tipsarevic – Philipp Kohlschreiber 2:0 (6:2, 6:4) |
W1 |
1.91 |
-110 |
4% |
+3.6% |
+91 |
444.9% |
2924 |
| Janko Tipsarevic is hot now. His form improves. He hasn't special problems with health. Philipp Kohlschreiber looks like a tourist who has arrived to get the check. German is in weak form. He fights against his sores more and more. |
| - |
06-Oct-16 |
Ivo Karlovic – Janko Tipsarevic 2:0 (7:6, 7:6) |
H1-1.5 |
1.92 |
-109 |
3% |
+2.8% |
+92 |
441.3% |
2833 |
| Ivo Karlovic has won 75% of the first-serve points. Astonishing record! The Croat has to play the second match better. Janko Tipsarevic is not the stablest tennis player. And he didn't practice with players that have hard serve long ago. |
| - |
06-Oct-16 |
Grigor Dimitrov - Lucas Pouille 2:1 (6:7, 7:6, 6:4) |
H2-1 |
1.98 |
-102 |
3% |
-3.0% |
-100 |
438.5% |
2741 |
| Grigor Dimitrov has played very good match against Steve Johnson, but he hasn't won many important points. Lucas Pouille also played perfectly. The match will be equal, but Frenchman has two advantages. First, he isn't so tired, and the second he has better backhand. |
| - |
05-Oct-16 |
Guido Pella - Malek Jaziri 0:2 (4:6, 4:6) |
H1+2.5 |
1.8 |
-125 |
3% |
-3.0% |
-100 |
441.5% |
2841 |
| Guido Pella in good shape today. They have already won in doubles with Paolo Lorenzi in Beijing. Malek Jaziri has to be tired. The failure together with García-Lopez puts on the alert. Guido Pella is the lefthander and he serves well. |
| - |
04-Oct-16 |
Richard Gasquet - Sam Querrey 2:1 (2:6, 6:3, 6:2) |
H1-3.5 |
1.86 |
-116 |
3% |
-3.0% |
-100 |
444.5% |
2941 |
| Gasquet has had a very complicated match against Berdych. But it was only one difficult battle for a week. We guess, one day of rest will be more than enough for French. Sam's form is very doubtful. We don't think he'll up to something incredible. |
| - |
31-Jan-16 |
Djokovic - Murray 3:0 (6:1, 7:5, 7:6) |
ITL2 17 |
1.87 |
-115 |
5% |
+4.4% |
+87 |
210.3% |
3065 |
| Djolovic played his latest 2 matches on some cosmic level. Everything has worked out for him in all departments. Murray is on his usual level now. He is quite solid, especially on the baseline, however it will not be enough to be competitive. We expect Murray to fight during the beginning stages of the match, but no more. On the baseline he is less agile than Novak, while his serve lacks stability. We think Andy has no weapons to hurt Novak. |
| - |
25-Jan-16 |
Ferrer - Isner 3:0 (6:4, 6:4, 7:5) |
H1-2.0 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
206.0% |
2978 |
| Both guys are in solid shape. However Ferrer is the reflection of everything Isner does not like to play against. The Spaniard returns great, forces his opponent to move and stable on the baseline. Head-to-heads are also in great favor for Ferrer and we see no reason why it should not happen again. |
| - |
25-Jan-16 |
Raonic - Wawrinka 3:2 (6:4, 6:3, 5:7, 4:6, 6:3) |
H1+2,5 |
1.87 |
-115 |
5% |
+4.4% |
+87 |
201.5% |
2888 |
| Raonic has shown one of his best performances of the career against Troicki in our point of view. Even backhand worked stable and sharp that day in addition to sharp return. With such kind of display we see Raonic as a favorite here. In addition Stan has some minor flu issues, so at such level in hardly looks like a plus to his odds. |
| - |
25-Jan-16 |
Monfils - Kuznetsov 3:1 (7:5, 3:6, 6:3, 7:6) |
ITL2 18 |
1.91 |
-110 |
6% |
-6.0% |
-100 |
197.1% |
2801 |
| Kuznetsov played great against Sela, however it was visible that at the end of the game some unnecessary mistakes crept into his game and some fatigue was visible. Monfils will not forgive such kind inaccuracy. He is stable and does not give his opponent many cheap points. However it is essential to bear in mind that Monflis is Monfils, so he can play a clown-tennis for one set before getting serious. That is why we think individual total here is better that handicap. But even in a worst case scenario the Frenchman should progress comfortably later on in 4 sets. The gap in class and freshness now is solid between these 2. |
| - |
23-Jan-16 |
Kuznetsov - Sela 3:1 (7:5, 3:6, 6:1, 7:6) |
H1-4.0 |
1.87 |
-115 |
5% |
+4.4% |
+87 |
203.1% |
2901 |
| Kuznetsov is in better shape and finally he starts bringing his aggressive tennis with some stability, which was not visible last season. He serves better than Sela and returns with more pace and sharpness. Sela likes to control the tempo of the game, which will be problematic against attacking Kuznetsov. In addition Sela struggles against aggressive returners, who explode his weak serve. |
| - |
22-Jan-16 |
Thiem - Goffin 1:3 (1:6, 6:3, 6:7, 5:7) |
H1-2,5 |
1.92 |
-109 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
198.8% |
2814 |
| Thiem is well prepared for the tournament. It is visible that he has improved his tennis in pre-season. Such odds can be explained by advantage of Goffin in head-to-head matches. However today's Thiem is another player than 2 years ago. In addition match will be held most probably once again in hot weather conditions, while Goffin struggles in the heat. Last Us Open he withdrew himself due to the inability to cope with the heat in similar conditions. Heat, sticky tennis of Thiem and his slight advantage in shape should bring the Austrian to success here. |
| - |
22-Jan-16 |
Cilic - Bautista 0:3 (4:6, 6:7, 5:7) |
ITL2 19,5 |
1.97 |
-103 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
198.8% |
2914 |
| Bautista is playing well, however some fatigue signs influence his qualities. He has played a lot of matches in the last 14 days, so we doubt that he can handle another one against Cilic. Who in addition is quite an uncomfortable player for him. Baytista sruggles against top hitters and servers. So Cilic should capitalize on his serve and physical freshness. In such circumstances we doubt that there will be more than 4 sets in the match, so individual total looks like the best choice there. |
| - |
20-Jan-16 |
Thiem - Almagro 3:0 (6:3, 6:1, 6:0) |
H1-4.0 |
1.85 |
-118 |
5% |
+4.3% |
+85 |
208.8% |
3014 |
| Almagro's baseline game looks quite average now, but the first serve is massive. It is probably his only reliable and dangerous weapon now. Thiem however won against Mayer who is a much stronger player than Almagro now and serves by all the means not worse. In addotion the Austrian is a solid big tournament player, who performs better and better while the tournament progresses. We expect Thiem to capitalize on his higher class there |
| - |
19-Jan-16 |
Haase - Basic 0:3 (6:7, 4:6, 4:6) |
TL38.5 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
+4.8% |
+96 |
204.5% |
2929 |
| Haase should win this match on class. He is better in all departments, so the match should not take more than 4 sets. And in such preconditions the handicap looks quite stable option. |
| - |
19-Jan-16 |
Goffin - Stackhovskiy 3:1 (3:6, 6:3, 6:4, 6:4) |
H2+8.0 |
1.78 |
-128 |
5% |
+3.9% |
+78 |
199.7% |
2833 |
| The Ukranian's game with lots of serve/volleys does not suit Goffin, who prefers more baseline and tactic tennis. In addition Sergei has shown some solid game in Doha, he is healthy and in good shape for Australia. Such preconditions facilitate a tough battle, so the handicap looks quite safe. |
| - |
19-Jan-16 |
Grannolers - Ebden 3:1 (6:2, 4:6, 6:1, 6:4) |
H1-3,5 |
1.85 |
-118 |
5% |
+4.3% |
+85 |
195.8% |
2755 |
| Ebden's current form is a big question mark even despite the home tournament. Last week he lost to awful Gimeno with 14 double faults. Such serving is simply inappropriate. Marsel on the other hand is in good shape, he is stable on the baseline like usual and is a real problem for everyone who lacks stability and solid aggressive game. We think that Ebden now lacks both. As a result we expect quite comfortable win for the Spaniard. |
| - |
19-Jan-16 |
W. Coric * W. Garcia-Lopez |
W1*W1 |
1.86 |
-116 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
191.6% |
2670 |
| Coric and Garcia both looks much stronger than their opponents. While the handicaps are big and worth a hesitation, their wins are quite safe options. As a result we advice a parlay there |
| - |
19-Jan-16 |
Chardy - Gulbis 3:2 (7:5, 2:6, 7:6, 3:6, 13:11) |
H1-4,5 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
196.6% |
2770 |
| Gulbis once again is struggling at the beginning of the season like the previous year. Lost matches to Nishioka and Sarkisian prove that. Chardy on the other hand has shown that he is good form, which he saved from last year. Right now the Frenchman looks like a more solid and balanced player in all the departments except the first serve. Such state of things makes him a clear favorite there. |
| - |
16-Jan-16 |
Dimitrov - Troicki 1:2 (2:6, 6:1, 7:6) |
H1-3,0 |
1.8 |
-125 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
201.6% |
2870 |
| Troicki has played 6 sets yesterday. So we doubt he can handle another gruelling match. In addition Dimitrov is a classier player there. We expect the Bulgarian to capitalize on his freshness and higher class. |
| - |
11-Jan-16 |
Haase - Andujar 2:0 (6:4, 6:1) |
H1-3,0 |
1.86 |
-116 |
5% |
+4.3% |
+86 |
206.6% |
2970 |
| The Haase's game suits hard court much better. The Dutchman serves better and possesses more power in the shots, which is important for fast surfaces. In addition he had 2 matches in the qualies here,so Robin should get accustomed to the surface and weather conditions. Finally Haase's topspins are much more effective in windy conditions,while the Spaniard's flat speedy shots are less effective in such weather. As a result of all mentioned above we expect Robin Haase to progress to the next round with some safety margin to the next round. |
| - |
08-Jan-16 |
Paire - Fabbiano 2:0 (6:4, 7:5) |
H1-4,5 |
1.92 |
-109 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
202.3% |
2884 |
| According to the games we have seen today, there is a huge gap in quality between theese 2 guys. Fabbiano has shown nothing interesting today and only awful display from Muller facilitated the win for Fabbiano. Paire on the other hand performed with solid quality. The only problem was his fluctuating concentration, which prevented him from easy victory. Paire would have no problems at all in this match, if he would play seriously and with desire. He is miles away fin quality in comparison with Fabianno. |
| - |
07-Jan-16 |
Bedene - Vanni 2:1 (5:7, 6:3, 6:4) |
H1-2,5 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
+4.8% |
+96 |
207.3% |
2984 |
| Bedene for some unknown reason looks great in Chennai. Last year he was in the final here, this year he has shown some brilliant performance against Pospisil. Pospisil at the same time was playing some improved tennis, especially from the backhand side. Vanni is mostly a clay court specialist. For the hard he has only one huge weapon, which is his serve. However his baseline game is a little bit too passive, while Bedene has shown that he can handle huge serving in Pospisil's match. All in all we see no obstacles why Bedene should not win this match quite comfortably. |
| - |
26-Oct-15 |
Thiem - Haase 2:1 (0:6, 7:6, 7:5) |
H1-2,5 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
217.5% |
3188 |
| Both players are playing in similar type of tennis, however Thiem is simply stronger in it. The Austrian is more powerful and moves better. Haase is good on slow surfaces, but on fast courts his lack of attacking skills hurt him against stable powerful guys like Thiem. |
| - |
26-Oct-15 |
Troicki - Mannarino 1:2 (6:4, 5:7, 6:7) |
w1 |
1.97 |
-103 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
222.5% |
3288 |
| Mannarino lacks energy and freshness in his previous matches. Maybe gruelling season starts to have an impact on the performance of the Frenchman. Mannarino played tough match against Kudla and for the last month he can not handle 2 difficult matches in a row... Troicki has powerful serve on fast courts of Basel. In addition his plays better with lefties thanks to his more versatile and stable backhand. |
| - |
26-Oct-15 |
Brands - Montanes 2:0 (6:3, 6:2) |
H1-1,5 |
1.93 |
-108 |
5% |
+4.7% |
+93 |
227.5% |
3388 |
| Brands's game with his massive serve and strong forehand looks more suitable for indoor courts. Moreover the German has been playing hard court tournaments for the last month and he should have used to the surface. Montanes is a clay court specialist, but sometimes can spark on hard as well. Nevertheless we expect German to take this match on class. At indoor he has more aces in his sleeve. |
| - |
26-Oct-15 |
Careno-Busta - Cuevas 0:2 (2:6, 3:6) |
H1+2,5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
222.8% |
3295 |
| The Spaniard has shown some solid display last week against Sock, he had even good chances to win, but Sock was a little bit more lucky taking decisive points. Nevertheless Busta looks like a player in shape and we expect even more from him at home tournament. Cuevas looks strange now, good games follow by awful ones. Moreover sticky exploding tennis from Busta is not comfortable for him, as Pablo prefers more fundamental academical tennis. |
| - |
22-Oct-15 |
Kukushkin - Kuznetsov 0:2 (1:6, 5:7) |
H1-3 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
227.8% |
3395 |
| Kukushkin looks like a more stable and versatile player out of this 2. The courts are moderately slow, which is good for stable contrattacking tennis of Kukushkin. Kuznetsov performs in the same way like Rublev, however his class is not higher than Rublev's. We expect easy win for Kukushkin. |
| - |
22-Oct-15 |
Janovicz - Johnson 1:2 (4:6, 7:6, 4:6) |
H1+1,5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
232.8% |
3495 |
| Janovicz has shown some flashes of brilliance in 2 and 3 sets against Thiem. In the final set his serve worked like Swiss watch and was untouchable. Jerzy moves better, his backhand is sharper, returns better... The only advantage that Johnson has is stable first serve. However Janovicz will be able to exercise the pressure on the American as his tennis is more aggressive, while Johnson is not good defensive player. |
| - |
21-Oct-15 |
Isner - Gulbis 1:2 (6:4, 4:6, 6:4) |
H1-3 |
2.15 |
115 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
237.8% |
3595 |
| Gulbis is after an injury and his form looks once again quite questionable. Isner on the other hand looks extremely solid on serve and even not bad on the baseline. We expect Inser be the clear favorite against fluctuating Ernie. And despite the handicap is big, John is is capable of beating it against unstable Gulbis. |
| - |
19-Oct-15 |
Verdasco - Kudla 2:0 (6:4, 6:4) |
H1-3 |
1.87 |
-115 |
5% |
+4.4% |
+87 |
242.8% |
3695 |
| Verdasco was unlucky for the last month. Despite quite solid level of tennis he found himself involved in tough matches with hot inform opponents. However the Spaniard was not far away from victories in his encounters. Kudla on the other hand rarely shows anything special while leaving US, maybe only during grass court season. Moreover match will be held in indoor. And on such surface Verdasco is much more experienced player. |
| - |
14-Oct-15 |
Raonic - Bautista 2:1 (6:4, 6:7, 7:6) |
H1-2,5 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
238.5% |
3608 |
| Raonic performed today quite solid and only some outstanding serving from Belucci stopped him from securing easy victory. Bautista performs badly against strong hitters and against Raonic in particular. We doubt that he can create something special in this upcoming against massively serving canadian. |
| - |
14-Oct-15 |
Gasquet - Pospisil 2:1 (6:4, 3:6, 6:4) |
H1-3 |
1.84 |
-119 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
243.5% |
3708 |
| The Frenchman has shown some solid display against Muller today. The slow hard surface suits him great allowing his top spins work effectively here. Pospisil will rely on his serve, however on such surface we doubt it will be enough to go through. |
| - |
14-Oct-15 |
Nishiori - Kyrgious 2:1 (1:6, 6:4, 6:4) |
H1-3 |
1.87 |
-115 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
258.5% |
3808 |
| We expect Nishikori to be uncomfortable for the Australian. Nick does not like to play in the movement and from a defensive standpoint. However against chilly Japanese it will be difficult to implement. The surface is quite slow and only on one serve in will be hard for Nick to succeed, while on the baseline in order to compete with Nishikori he will be forced to take too many risks. |
| - |
13-Oct-15 |
Raonic - Belluci 2:0 (7:6, 7:6) |
H1-3,5 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
253.5% |
3908 |
| Ranch needs ranking points drastically. He has weapons and game right now, even despite a loss to Troicki last week. The Serbian performed fantastically during some points. Belucci likes to play with initiative and dictate the rallies. However against Raonic such kind of tennis will be difficult to implement. The Canadian is extremely aggressive and for Belluci, who usually serves below 60% first serve such kind of constant pressure will not be comfortable. While to break Raonic is an extremely difficult task for him, as he struggles in returning. |
| - |
12-Oct-15 |
Klizan - Ze Zhang 2:0 (7:6, 6:2) |
In. total Zhang less than 11,5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.6% |
+90 |
258.5% |
4008 |
| Klizan is unpredictable guy, however he usually shows some solid and stable tennis during big tournaments. This tournament is huge, so we expect the Slovakian to show what he is capable of. The difference in qualities between this pair is quite high, so we expect Martin to go through to the next round quite eas |
| - |
09-Oct-15 |
Fognini - Cuevas 2:1 (6:1, 2:6, 6:2) |
H1-2,5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
253.9% |
3918 |
| Fognini is in top form. However with Fognini it is impossible to state something for sure. Cuevas is playing great as well, however sticky baseline game of the Italian in high tempo is not comfortable for the Uruguan, who prefers to play on slower surfaces and has problematic backhand. |
| - |
09-Oct-15 |
Kyrgios - Paire 1:2 (6:3, 4:6, 1:6) |
H1-2,5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
249.4% |
3828 |
| Paire is showing crazy tennis now. And by crazy we mean fluctuating tennis. Moments of brilliance are replaced by pitfalls. Sometimes Paire performs unplayable, sometimes he loses 6 games in a row without any visible reasons...Kyrgios in this case seems like uncomfortable opponent for the Frenchman. Nick serves great and shows aggresive stability on the baseline. We expect Paire to be struggling returning, while serving he usually creates chances for his opponents by himself. |
| - |
09-Oct-15 |
Nadal - Sock 2:1 (3:6, 6:4, 6:3) |
H1-2,5 |
1.82 |
-122 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
254.4% |
3928 |
| Nadal in our opinion is a litle bit underrated now. He showed some solid tennis against Pospisil and should have won with bigger handicape. Rafa makes little number of mistakes and does not give anything for free. |
| - |
04-Oct-15 |
Tsonga - Haider-Mayer 2:0 (7:6, 6:2) |
H2+5 |
1.8 |
-125 |
5% |
+4.0% |
+80 |
259.4% |
4028 |
| The Austrian is in our opinion a little bit underrated. Yeah maybe he has not shown his best tennis so far, however he was not playing badly as well. After 2 weeks of indoors we expect the Austrian to improve his tennis and get used to indoors as he has all the tools to be successful on such surface. Andreas possesses solid massive first serve and strong forehand. Moreover Tsonga for the latest several months was not so aggressive in first rounds, having preferred more academic and energy saving playing mode. |
| - |
04-Oct-15 |
Istomin - Ze Zhang 1:2 (3:6, 6:1, 3:6) |
H1-3 |
1.88 |
-114 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
255.4% |
3948 |
| Difficult to understand the logic of bookies here. Ze Zhang was quite not looking like a player in good shape last week. His tennis was full of unforced errors, questionable decisions. Istomin on the other hand has been solid for the last 3 weeks. Moreover Denis shows his best tennis indoors with his flat shots and good technique. According just to playing characteristics Istomin here is the clear favorite. |
| - |
03-Oct-15 |
Becker - Ferrer 1:2 (6:3, 2:6, 4:6) |
TL21 |
1.95 |
-105 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
260.4% |
4048 |
| Becker and Ferrer are playing similar pattern of tennis. However Ferrer is a little better in it. Moreover Becker was looking not fresh enough in his last match against Dimitrov. We doubt that he can cope with sticky fast Ferrer on the baseline. As a result we expect an easy win for the Spaniard here. |
| - |
31-Aug-15 |
Grannolers - Lacko 3:0 (6:2, 6:3, 6:1) |
H1-2,5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
243.9% |
3717 |
| Difficult match to analyze, first of all because of the random and fluactuating game of Lacko. The Slovakian player can play today tremendous and awful tomorrow... But if we take some average qualities, Grannolers off course has the edge. The Spaniard's strength is stability. Grannolers rarely falls below a certain level in his game. Morevoer he is sticky as hell and makes his opponent to fight for every point. For inpatient guys like Lacko Grannolers is a tough opponent, especially when they are not in their pride form . |
| - |
31-Aug-15 |
Fish - Ceccinato 3:1 (6:7, 6:3, 6:1, 6:3) |
H1-4.5 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
+4.8% |
+96 |
239.4% |
3627 |
| It is complete absurd from the bookies. Ceccinato achieved all his rankings on clay. He is a typical one-surface player and his profile surface is not hard at all. He looked awful in his last 2 tournaments and there will be little room for improvement as the Italian simply does not possess neither good serve, nor stable return on tactical view of how to play on hard. Fish is maybe too old and his best tennis has already left him, but still he is a tough nut to crack. On hard Mardy in all departments looks much better, so we expect some easy business for the American. |
| - |
25-Aug-15 |
Lu - Garcia-Lopez 2:0 (6:3, 6:3) |
H1-2,5 |
1.88 |
-114 |
5% |
+4.4% |
+88 |
234.6% |
3531 |
| Garcia-Lopez is simply unready for high quality tennis for now. The Spaniard is after an injuiry and his game is dependable on movement, stability and length of his shots. He does not possess massive serve or great return, so lack of form for him is a synonym of a loss. Lu on the other hand looks sharp, stable and motivated for such small tournaments, where he can get some easy cheap ranking points. |
| - |
25-Aug-15 |
Querrey - Boleli 1:2 (6:7, 7:6, 6:7) |
H1-2,5 |
1.84 |
-119 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
230.2% |
3443 |
| Boleli is after injuiry, he has not played practically 3 weeks and the quality of his game against Delbonic was more than questionable. Delbonis made Boleli work hard on his serve, despite the fact that the Argentine is extremely weak player on hard, Querrey with his massive serve should be unmanageable obstacle to overcome for the Italian, especially for the Italian is such medium form. |
| - |
21-Aug-15 |
Berdych - Dolgopolov 0:2 (4:6, 2:6) |
H1-3,5 |
1.8 |
-125 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
235.2% |
3543 |
| It is really hot and humid in Cincinati now, while we need to bear in mind that Dolgopolov played qualifications here and was not fresh in his previous match. Berdych on the other hand destroyed 2 solid opponents having shown stable sharp agrresive tennis.We do not expect Dolgopolov be physically 100% ready for the encounter,however it is a huge prerequirement to compete against Berdych is such form. |
| - |
19-Aug-15 |
Federer - Bautista 2:0 (6:4, 6:4) |
H1+5 |
1.83 |
-120 |
5% |
+4.2% |
+83 |
240.2% |
3643 |
| Bautista is now in great form. The Spaniard has already had some practice on hard courts and looks now quite sharp. Federer on the other hand was resting himself for practically a month, so to expect some solid form from him is quite optimistic. Federer usually makes many unforced at the beggining of the tournamnets, so sticky Bautista should be not the best opponent for Federer in the first round. |
| - |
15-Aug-15 |
Djokovic - Gulbis 2:1 (5:7, 7:6, 6:1) |
H2+5,5 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
+4.8% |
+96 |
236.0% |
3560 |
| Gulbis for the first time of the season looks hungry and motivated. He moves well, serves massive and is in good shape physically. Moreover the Lativan shows usually his best tennis against top players. In this matche he always wants to prove that he is not worse than top guns. Djokovic has shown nothing special so far and he historically struggles against big servers like Gulbis. Right now Ernie is in such kind of form on serve, that he can hold the Handicape on his own without any presents from his opponent no matter who it is. |
| - |
08-Aug-15 |
Thiem - Kohlshreiber 0:2 (0:6, 6:7) |
H1-2,5 |
1.93 |
-108 |
5% |
+4.7% |
+93 |
231.2% |
3464 |
| Thiem has been playing third week in a row and in his previous match against Montanes he looked exhausted. Kohlshreiber on the other hand has some great in his pocket and seems to be fresh. We simply doubt that Thiem can handle this encounter physically, especially against solid baseliner like the German. |
| - |
04-Aug-15 |
Groth - Belucci 2:1 (7:6, 4:6, 6:3) |
H1-1,5 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
+4.8% |
+96 |
226.6% |
3371 |
| Belucci so far has had extremely good season. However the Brazilian gets the majority of his ranking points on clay. When he finds his rhytm and range it is tough to stop him, as Thomas plays aggressive and enjoys taking the initiative. On the other hand such kind of tennis requires some time to adapt and it usually takes Belucci at least 1-2 weeks to implement effectively his game on new surface. Groth has been playing his 3-rd week on hard and every week the quality of his game increases. He should be the better prepared for this match than Belucci. Moreover his massive serve and ragged baseline game will be uncomfortable for Thomas to handle, who prefers baseline exchange and has ordinary return. |
| - |
04-Aug-15 |
Groth - Belucci 2:1 (7:6, 4:6, 6:3) |
H1-1,5 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
+4.8% |
+96 |
226.6% |
3275 |
| Belucci so far has had extremely good season. However the Brazilian gets the majority of his ranking points on clay. When he finds his rhytm and range it is tough to stop him, as Thomas plays aggressive and enjoys taking the initiative. On the other hand such kind of tennis requires some time to adapt and it usually takes Belucci at least 1-2 weeks to implement effectively his game on new surface. Groth has been playing his 3-rd week on hard and every week the quality of his game increases. He should be the better prepared for this match than Belucci. Moreover his massive serve and ragged baseline game will be uncomfortable for Thomas to handle, who prefers baseline exchange and has ordinary return. |
| - |
01-Aug-15 |
Isner - Kudla 2:1 (4:6, 6:2, 7:5) |
H1-2,5 |
1.83 |
-120 |
5% |
+4.2% |
+83 |
221.8% |
3179 |
| Both guys have shown some solid tennis this week. However this match has some specifics. First of all it is Kudla's fluctuating pattern of tennis. Denis is extremely good return player, but he struggles on his serve on a regular basis as well. Such kind of tennis can be productive, when the opponent gives chances on return and to lose the serve 1-2 times in a match is not vital. To lose a serve 1-2 times per match and still win the encounter is quite normal for Kudla. On the other hand such pattern of play is unappropriate against Isner. John is performing better and better and to break him is a tough challenge for everyone, even for such great returners as Kudla. All in all we expect Isner to get his 1-2 breaks and protect his serve as he is doing the whole week so far. |
| - |
28-Jul-15 |
Monaco - Gulbis 2:1 (6:3, 7:6, 6:3) |
H1-2,5 |
1.84 |
-119 |
5% |
+4.2% |
+84 |
217.6% |
3096 |
| Gulbis has had so far awful season. The Latvian lost his motivation and desire to play on the highest level, which instantly is reflected in sequence of bad results. Monaco has good statistics against hitters and against Gulbis in particular. Despite the fact that the Argentine showed bad tennis last week, we expect huge improvement from him this week, as he can rediscover the form quite quickly. To expect the same from Gulbis is really optimistic, as he has not shown anything good this season so far. |
| - |
28-Jul-15 |
Fognini - Chardy 2:1 (6:3, 6:7, 6:4) |
H1-3 |
1.93 |
-108 |
5% |
+4.7% |
+93 |
213.4% |
3012 |
| Fognini was briliant last week in Umag. The Italian rediscovered his famous clay court form. In such circumstances it will be tough for anyone to stop Fabio. Chardy on the other hand performed badly last week. Moreover the Frenchman is quite convenient opponent for the Italian, who confidently leads 4:0 in their head-to-head. The danger of the Italian is always motivation, but tournament in Hamburg is ATP 500, so we expect the Italian to be motivated and serious for such big event. |
| - |
24-Jul-15 |
Coric - Bautista 0:2 (3:6, 3:6) |
H2-3 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
+4.8% |
+96 |
208.8% |
2919 |
| Both guys show similar pattern of tennis. They have no visible weaknesses in their games, all components like backhand, forehand, return and serve work well. Nevertheless Bautista is a more classy player there. And regarding the fact that the match will be on slow clay, the result will be decided by baseline game, where small peculiarities and tactical variety of Bautista should bring him the victory. Moreover weather conditions in Umag are dreadfully exhausting and to handle 2 matches in a row for a croatian teenager will be tough task. |
| - |
22-Jul-15 |
Falla - Ram 1:2 (4:6, 6:3, 3:6) |
H1-2,5 |
1.85 |
-118 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
204.0% |
2823 |
| Ram performed extremely great in Newport, but we need to admit, that it is grass and his favourite tournament. In Bogota there will be different conditions, different surface and local native player Falla, who plays well historically in his country. Moreover Falla possesses stable sharp return, which faciliates solid statistics against huge servers like Ram. All in all we consider Falla to be better prepared and motivated for this tournament. |
| - |
14-Jul-15 |
Harrison - Sugita1:2 (1:6, 7:5, 3:6) |
H1 +2.5 |
2 |
100 |
5% |
+5.0% |
+100 |
209.0% |
2923 |
| We dont' get it why Harrison has come to this event after his disastrous performance on grass. Unlike his opponent, Sugita has qualified for the Wimbledon and looked very decent, especially on the baseline. Harrison has arrived to Newport just after the US Challneger. So he might also have climatic issues. Considering all this, we don't see the bookies' point. They seem to be guided by Harrison's name only which sound more familiar. But for us Sugita will come on court as a slight favorite. |
| - |
08-Jul-15 |
Wawrinka - Gasquet 2:3 (4:6, 6:4, 6:3, 4:6, 9:11) |
H2+4 |
1.84 |
-119 |
5% |
+4.2% |
+84 |
204.0% |
2923 |
| Both guys have shown so far great tennis and there is practically no difference between them right now. If the match will progress to 5-th set Wawrinka would have an advantage, as he is more fit from them. However Gasquet can handle at least 4 sets easily and regarding the fact, that they are both equal in quality, we evaluate Handicape as a great value there. Even if Gasquet wins one set, the chances to defend Handicape are high, so to pass this tip will be an unaffordable luxury. |
| - |
08-Jul-15 |
Simon - Federer 0:3 (3:6, 5:7, 2:6) |
TM34 |
1.85 |
-118 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
199.8% |
2823 |
| When Simon is in form, he always creates lots of difficulties for Federer. Now Gilles is in form, and we see no obstacles why he should not do the same one more time. Total of games is quite small, and there is a possibility to win there even if the match consists only from 3 sets. We estimate, that Simon can easily win a set from Federer, so the chances here to beat the total are quite pleasant. |
| - |
04-Jul-15 |
Bautista - Basilashvili 3:0 (7:6, 6:0, 6:1) |
H1-6 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
204.8% |
2839 |
| The Georgian was tired against Lopez and only poor performance from the spaniard allowed the Georgian to progress even with bad cards in his hand. Bautista fights for every point, he is stable and reliable guy and Basilashvili has nothing to offer in order to win this match. In addition to the fact that Basilashvili is tired, it will be an easy journey for the spaniard. |
| - |
03-Jul-15 |
Kudla - Giraldo 3:2 (6:2, 6:7, 2:6, 6:1, 6:3) |
H2+3,5 |
1.95 |
-105 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
200.3% |
2749 |
| Both guys plays the same tennis and there is practically no difference between them. However Kudla is always struggling with his physics and rarely progresses further than 3 round. Giraldo is sticky player and he should make it a difficult life for the American with his stable defence. We doubt that Kudla can handle this match physically and in such scenario Giraldo should defend the handicape. |
| - |
03-Jul-15 |
Vesely - Ward 1:3 (2:6, 6:7, 6:3, 3:6) |
H1-2,5 |
1.94 |
-106 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
205.3% |
2849 |
| Vesely is a tough opponent for Ward. James prefers to play tight and force errors from his opponents, however this type of game will hardly bring the win to him, as Vesely plays the same pattern of tennis, but even better in it. Moreover Jiri serves greater and he is a lefty, which always go to debit account, Handicape is not big, so if the Chezh does not fail a set with a huge minus of games, he should overcome Ward simply on class. |
| - |
01-Jul-15 |
Kudla - Zverev 3:1 (6:3, 3:6, 7:6, 6:4) |
w1 |
1.85 |
-118 |
5% |
+4.3% |
+85 |
210.3% |
2949 |
| Kudla's game fits idealy for grass. The American moves well, reads the game awesomely and returns etremely good. Zverev will be tired after 5-setter agaisnt Gabashvili. Moreover Alex relies too heavy on his serve, which will not be so effective against Kudla, who returns great. In addition on the baseline Kudla is better as well. All in all Kudla should not have many difficulties there. |
| - |
01-Jul-15 |
Verdasco - Thiem 3:2 (5:7, 6:4, 5:7, 6:3, 6:4) |
H1-2,5 |
1.85 |
-118 |
5% |
+4.3% |
+85 |
206.0% |
2864 |
| Thiem never was a natural grass court player with his slow technique. Verdasco on the other hand has prepared himself well for grass, having played 7 grass court matches.The spaniard is more agressive on the baseline and his crosses from his lefty forehand will deliever lots of problems for one handed backhand from Thiem, who struggles to handle the speed on grass from this side. |
| - |
30-Jun-15 |
Mannarino - Berrer 3:1 (6:7, 6:0, 6:4, 6:1) |
H1-4.5 |
1.95 |
-105 |
5% |
+4.8% |
+95 |
201.8% |
2779 |
| Mannarino is a clear favourite there. The Frenchman is one of the best returners in the game, which is crucial for grass. Both are lefties, so their usual weapon like diagonal lefty serve will not be so effective. The match will be decided on the baseline and in such scenario Mannarino is much better option. |
| - |
30-Jun-15 |
Stakhovskiy - Coric 2:3 (6:4, 6:7, 2:6, 6:1, 7:9) |
H1-4 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
197.0% |
2684 |
| Coric is playing his first grass court season, and so far he has not shown any satisfactory tennis at all. Stakhovskiy on the other hand performs on grass extremely well. His quick serve/volley game will be difficult to handle for the Croatian, who prefers baseline tactical game. |
| - |
30-Jun-15 |
Youzny - Paire 0:3 (4:6, 4:6, 3:6) |
H1-2,5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
202.0% |
2784 |
| Paire as well as Delbonis decided to play clay instead of grass during the lasy preparatory week for Wibledon. It can hardly help him to be in good shape there. Youzny was looking sharp in his previous matches and if he continues to show such level of tennis, there will be no problem for him to overcome the Frenchman. |
| - |
29-Jun-15 |
Dimitrov - Delbonis 3:0 (6:3, 6:0, 6:4) |
TL33.5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
207.0% |
2884 |
| Delbonis was playing clay court tennis during the grass preparation season. What to expect from a guy, who 2 days ago was playing the final of caly court challenger? The answer is nothing. The grass does not forgive such attitide. Dimitrov should easily pass the Argentine in straight sets. |
| - |
29-Jun-15 |
De Shepper - Smith 3:2 (4:6, 4:6, 7:6, 6:4, 6:4) |
H1-1,5 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
202.5% |
2794 |
| Both guys are lefties with similar patterns of game. They serve great, like to play at the net and struggle from backhand side. However De Shepper is a little bit better in all the departments, especially on serve. |
| - |
25-Jun-15 |
Querrey - Simon 2:1 (5:7, 7:6, 6:4) |
W2 |
1.95 |
-105 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
207.5% |
2894 |
| Simon has great stats against the American.Gilles is really sticky player with tremendous defence. The American on the other hand never was a stable player, he lacks patience and plays too agressive. This type of game is ideal for Simon, who is one of the best defensive players on tour and who forces errors perfectly from less stable opponents. |
| - |
23-Jun-15 |
Istomin - Monaco 2:0 (6:1, 6:2) |
H1-3 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
212.5% |
2994 |
| Monaco is a tourist there. The last 3 weeks he spent with his family and there is no evidence of any trainings on grass from his side. Istomin plays great, probably now he shows his best tennis of the season. Monaco's strenght is stability and tempo on the baseline, but to show that without preparation is practically impossible. Istomin should win there without any problems. |
| - |
21-Jun-15 |
Chung - Ramos 2:0 (6:4, 7:6) |
H1-2,5 |
1.84 |
-119 |
5% |
+4.2% |
+84 |
208.0% |
2904 |
| After Roland Garros Ramos playerd 2 clay court challengers, which perfectly describes his attitude to grass, as the majority of other players were preparing themselves to grass. Chung is quite raw grass court performer, however it is his third week on this surface, so he should be much more adjusted to this surface. Practically all the players without solid preparations for grass take losses in their first encounters, so we do not expect something extraordinary there either. Chung is a clear favourite there. |
| - |
17-Jun-15 |
Dolgopolov - Garcia-Lopez 0:2 (3:6, 6:7) |
H1-2,5 |
1.82 |
-122 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
203.8% |
2820 |
| Dolgopolov is much more balanced player on grass. Against Nadal yesterday he showed super performance with no weaknesses in all the departments. Garcia can propose only stability on the baseline. His serve is not so dangerous which is practically one of the most important weapons on grass. Dolgopolov's flat shots and versatile backhand slice should be the weapons with no answers from Garcia |
| - |
16-Jun-15 |
Karlovic - Giraldo 2:1 (6:7, 6:4, 6:4) |
H1-2,5 |
1.98 |
-102 |
5% |
+4.9% |
+98 |
208.8% |
2920 |
| Giraldo took a huge rest after clay court season. he spent a lot of time with his famiy. Moreover grass is not his surface, he has nothing to defend here, so we can understand his careless attitude. Karlovic on the other hand is in great shape and his serve looks practically untouchable. Karlovic is bad returner, but Giraldo can gift his serve on his own sometimes. Moreover Santiago has quite average first serve. In such scenario we expect the croatian to make his deserved 1-2 breaks in this match. |
| - |
16-Jun-15 |
Wawrinka - Kyrgios 2:0 (6:3, 6:4) |
H2+2,5 |
1.83 |
-120 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
203.9% |
2822 |
| Wawrinka had practically no time to prepare himself for grass court tennis. After Roland Garros triumph and all the rest we expect him to have 1-2 training sessions on grass. It is difficult to prepare yourself for solid tennis on such specific surface in such a short period of time. Kyrgios on the other hand had lots of time to work on his grass court tennis. He must be somewhere near his best. All in all we see even the Australian the favourite there. But with Handicape it seems like a really solid bid.
|
| - |
12-Jun-15 |
Tomic - Nadal 1:2 (4:6, 7:6, 3:6) |
H2-2 |
1.92 |
-109 |
5% |
+4.6% |
+92 |
208.9% |
2922 |
| Tomic is a great grass court player, however he is too passive. He can only propose stability on the baseline practically with no sharp shots. In most cases his passive versatile style is enough to progress, but we doubt that this will work against Nadal. Rafa has shown in his previous match that he is able to crush all the short and slow balls. Why should not he do the same in this match? No answer... We think Nadal should take advantage over too passive Australian. |
| - |
11-Jun-15 |
Sousa - Marchenko 0:2 (3:6, 6:7) |
H1-2,5 |
1.8 |
-125 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
204.3% |
2830 |
| Sousa is simply better on grass. Last year the portuguese was real sensation on grass. His sharp stable baseline game with great movement and solid returning made a bunch of solid results. Marchenko never was a steady player, it will be difficult for him to produce something against Sousa. The only risk here is that the Ukranian is an insirational performer, sometimes it is difficult to stop him when he finds his courage. However on average Sousa should take his advantage here as he is more classy player. |
| - |
11-Jun-15 |
Seppi - Zverev 0:2 (2:6, 4:6) |
H1-2,5 |
1.8 |
-125 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
209.3% |
2930 |
| Zverev is a great grass court player, however his game is too predictable. His serve-volley is dangerous for players with weak returning, however it is difficult to transfer Seppi to such basket. Seppi performs great against such opponents with huge serve, as he possesses sharp stable return, while on the baseline the Italian is more variative and technically better equiped. |
| - |
08-Jun-15 |
Nieminen - Copil 1:2 (3:6, 6:2, 4:6) |
H1-2,5 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
214.3% |
3030 |
| Jarko Nieminen is much more experienced player on grass with more balanced performance, which is better suited for such a surface. Copil possesses one big ace in his sleeve, which is his massive first serve. However Jarko is great in returning. Moreover he is more stable on the baseline and is a lefty, which is always a plus especialy against players with fluctuating backhand like Copil. Jarko should have some chances on Copil's serve. And therefore he should make 1-2 breaks in this match. |
| - |
05-Jun-15 |
Wawrinka - Tsonga 3:1 (6:3, 6:7, 7:6, 6:4) |
H1-3.5 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
+4.8% |
+96 |
219.3% |
3130 |
| Wawrinka returns to his great heights. Stan has played so far absolutely brilliant giving no chances to Federer today. His game is simply unstoppable now. Tsonga has shown some class, especially in the serve department. Hoverer he can hardly pose some difficult questions to Stan. The only problem of Wawrinka is Wawrinka. Stan several times this season had unpredictable pittfals in his game with no visible reason. However there are no prerequirements of that, as Stan looks fresh as physically as mentally. |
| - |
04-Jun-15 |
Ivanovic - Safarova 0:2 (5:7, 5:7) |
W2 |
1.85 |
-118 |
5% |
+4.3% |
+85 |
214.5% |
3034 |
| Safarova is playing the tennis of her life. The Chezh has already defeated Sharapova, Muguruza, Lisicki and Pavluchenkova. All these tennis players are tough to beat on clay, and I am not even say in straight sets. Ivanovic has a touristic way to the semifinal, while her strongest opponent was Makarova, who is useless on clay with her flat strokes. Safarova is ahead in head-to-head meeting with Ivanovic. The Chezh should arrive at her first Grand Slam Final. |
| - |
01-Jun-15 |
Nadal - Sock 3:1 (6:3, 6:1, 5:7, 6:2) |
H1-7.5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
210.3% |
2949 |
| Nadal has a huge edge in this match. First of all Rafa is a lefty, which is bad piece of news for Jack, who strugles against lefties with his unstable backhand. Secondly Sock hits low percentage of his first serves, somewhere in the region of 50%... Against Rafa it is equal to suicide. The Spaniard would take the majority of points on Sock's second serve. And finally Jack does not have stable weapons to damage the defence of Nadal. All in all Rafa should easily vanish Sock from the court. |
| - |
01-Jun-15 |
Cilic - Ferrer 0:3 (2:6, 2:6, 4:6) |
H1+5 |
1.82 |
-122 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
205.8% |
2859 |
| Cilic has shown some magic tennis so far at RG. He has not fropped a set and looks practically untouchable on his serve. Ferrer looks also stable and in good form. The spaniard will have an advantage on the baseline, however Cilic serves much better. Both guys have their own strong parts of the game and their own strategies, how to beat an opponent. Regarding massive Cilic serve and the fact that Ferrer hits low percentage of his first serves we predict some battle in this match. H+5 is a good choice concerning the expected battle in this encounter. |
| - |
30-May-15 |
Sock - Coric 3:0 (6:2, 6:1, 6:4) |
TL40 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
+4.8% |
+96 |
210.8% |
2959 |
| Coric was already tired in his previous encounter. The Croatian has shown great tennis so far, however his physical conditions leave much to be desired. In such circumstances we doubt that Coric is able to compete for a long period of time in this match. Total of games is quite big and there is an appropriate place for dispersion, if Coric plays solid at the beggining of the match. However the chances that Socks will win in 3-4 sets are quite high, so this tips is a good tip according to possibilities. |
| - |
27-May-15 |
Thiem - Cuevas 1:3 (6:7, 5:7, 7:6, 5:7) |
W2 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
+4.8% |
+96 |
472.0% |
2863 |
| Thiem is overrated now, Hr is on the long winning streak which means that his shares are artificially at the peak. However we see no positives from playing third week in a row in burning schedule. Cuevas on clay is even a stronger player. His game is more fundamental, he made less errors and more physically fresh. In addition he serves great. We doubt that Thiem can handle a pressure from another tough match. |
| - |
27-May-15 |
Gulbis - Mahut 1:3 (3:6, 6:3, 5:7, 3:6) |
H1-5.5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
201.2% |
2767 |
| Lets put it this way. On clay Gulbis is simply much stronger player than the Frenchman. Against Sijling the Latvian has shown some solid performance practically for the first time of the season. Even his circus forehand was not so bad. All you need to win against Mahut is to possess good return and passing shots. All that Ernie has. On the baseline Mahut with his flat strokes is not really dangerous. Gulbis on the other hand is sharper and serves better. He is a clear favourite there. |
| - |
26-May-15 |
Mayer - Vesely 3:2 (3:6, 7:6, 6:3, 5:7, 6:2) |
H2+3.5 |
2 |
100 |
5% |
+5.0% |
+100 |
206.2% |
2867 |
| Mayer has shown some solid tennis so far, however we can not name Vesely as an underdog here, Jiri has his own strong aspects of his game: massive serve, stability on the baseline and the fact that he is a lefty. Mayer does not like to play agains lefties at all. His weakest part of the game is his backhand. For Jiri it will be comfortable to load the left side of the court of Mayer and just wait for errors. Match can be challenging for both, but the chances for Vesely to win we estimate even a little bit higher. |
| - |
25-May-15 |
Bolelli - Darcic 3:0 (6:3, 6:4, 6:3) |
TL38.5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
201.2% |
2767 |
| Darcic is just after an injuiry. The Belgian has not won a match on clay this season, while Boleli has shown some solid display during all the clay court season. Darcic is a strong player with solid serve and massive forehand, however the total of Games for this match is solid. It is difficult to imagine, that the Belgian in his current form can get 2 sets from the Italian, while total of games can be placed in 4 sets. Boleli should have no problems in this encounter, however even with one lost set the Italian can easily close this match with less than 38,5 games. |
| - |
25-May-15 |
Kuznetsov - Jaziri 3:0 (6:3, 6:2, 6:4) |
H1-3.5 |
1.95 |
-105 |
5% |
+4.8% |
+95 |
196.7% |
2677 |
| Kuznetsov is much more balanced player on clay. Jaziri for the whole his career was an average player on clay. Morevoer Malek will play after injuiry and to expect something extraordinary from him will be a luxury.The Russian is simply stronger in all departments. |
| - |
25-May-15 |
Siniakova - Witthoeft 0:2 (3:6, 5:7) |
w1 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
191.9% |
2582 |
| All in all these girls play the same type of tennis. But Siniakova is a little bit better in all components, especially keeping high tempo. Siniakova struggles against strong servers, who steal the iniciative from her. However we can not distribute the German to such group of players. Which means that higher class of Siniakova on the baseline should be the deciding factor in her success in this encouter. |
| - |
21-May-15 |
Andujar - Souza 1:2 (4:6, 6:2, 6:7) |
H1-2,5 |
1.97 |
-103 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
196.9% |
2682 |
| Andujar is fluctuating player. The more he plays, the better he plays. For him it is important to find his rhytm, tempo and shots. At the ened of his match with Mannarino he started to show some brilliant shots and combinations. When he starts finding the target, it is difficult to handle him, especially without huge weapons like serve. Souza is the same type of player like Andujar, nevertheless he is less aggresive and more tactical player. Souza will allow the Spaniard to dictate the play and Andujar should benefit from that. |
| - |
19-May-15 |
Isner - Johnson 2:1 (7:6, 4:6, 6:3) |
H2+2,5 |
1.8 |
-125 |
5% |
+4.0% |
+80 |
201.9% |
2782 |
| Steve serves great right now. He defends his second serve quite effectively as well, which is probably the most important against Isner. John does not like to perform agaisnt agressive strong servers, as he defends badly and his returning is quite average as well. Johnson should make it tough for Isner to break him and as a result has great chances to defend the Handicape. |
| - |
17-May-15 |
ATP Rome. Nadal wins the title |
Nadal win |
4.3 |
330 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
197.9% |
2702 |
| I was shocked to see such odds from Bookies. Nadal has been showing in Rome so far his best during clay court season... He starts serving well, finding his shots and the depth on the baseline. His chances to be in the final are quite high, as he needs to surpass Wawrinka and someone from the pair of Federer/Berdych ( against both of them Rafa has brilliant stats on clay). And in the final he will meet quite probably Djokovic. But the serb risks to be tired after having played 6 sets already and waiting Ferrer in the semifinal, who performs superbly on such slow clay. In such circumstances we see Nadal as a clear favourite to win the tournament. |
| - |
15-May-15 |
Djokovic - Nishikori 2:1 (6:3, 3:6, 6:1) |
H1-4.5 |
1.85 |
-118 |
5% |
+4.3% |
+85 |
202.9% |
2802 |
| Nishikori was extremely tired today in the match against Troicki in humud and hot italian weather conditions. Moreover he has been playing the second week. It will be tough for him to cope with Djoko, however in such physical conditions it will be praactically impossible |
| - |
14-May-15 |
Pouille - Donaldson 2:0 (6:1, 6:4) |
H1-3 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
198.7% |
2717 |
| Pouille is a better player here, he is more stable and has much more experience playing on caly. Moreover he performs at home in France, which is a great advantage for native players. Moreover the Frenchman desperately needs ranking points in order not to play qualification for Roland Garros, which should provide him with additional motivation. |
| - |
09-May-15 |
Haase - Mathie 2:0 (7:6, 6:2) |
w1 |
1.86 |
-116 |
5% |
+4.3% |
+86 |
194.2% |
2627 |
| On the slow clay of Bordeua the advantage lies firmly on the Haase's side. Mathie is an attacker, but he is more a tactical attacker, rather than strong hitter. Against Haase this tactic will simply not work, as Robin moves well,while his high tops are difficult to attack. Moreover Robin serves much better, which makes him a clear favourite in this encounter |
| - |
09-May-15 |
Murray - Nishikori 2:0 (6:3, 6:4) |
H2-2,5 |
1.92 |
-109 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
189.9% |
2541 |
| The Japaneese is extremely talented baseline attacker. On clay his game practically does not have weak spots. On his serve he dictates the rallies with tactical serves, the same on returning thanks to his agressive returns. Murray performs well, but at times a little bit passive. Agaisnt Nishikori it is not the best tactics, who makes so few unforced errors and knows how to penetrate all kinds of defence. |
| - |
08-May-15 |
Murray - Raonic 2:0 (6:4, 7:5) |
H1-2 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.3% |
+90 |
190.4% |
2641 |
| Raonic is struggling this week with some minor problems in his movement after injuiry. Despite some easy wins this week his level was far from his best. Murray has been performing brilliant so far, especially in baseline game and returning. Andy will get 70% of the baseline points against heavy Raonic. And regarding Murray's great returning game we expect Andy to get some chances on the Raonic's serve. |
| - |
07-May-15 |
Dimitrov - Wawrinka 2:1 (7:6, 3:6, 6:3) |
H1+1,5 |
1.85 |
-118 |
5% |
+4.3% |
+85 |
190.4% |
2551 |
| Wawrinka is struggling in tennis after his break up with his wife. He latest displays are quite frustrating regarding his usual class we all know. Dimitrov start rediscovering his form in the latest mathces, however Wawrinka seemed to be a little demotivated and with lack of desire in his match agaisnt Sousa. Handicape for the chance that Stan will horribly begin the match, which occurs quite often for his latest games. |
| - |
07-May-15 |
Raonic - Mayer 0:2 (4:6, 3:6) |
TO22.5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
186.1% |
2466 |
| We usualy avoid tips on over or under, however this time it seems as the best option in this match. Both guys are imperior on their serves, but not the best returners in the game. We hardly see, how they are going to break each others serves. |
| - |
06-May-15 |
Tsonga - Sock 2:1 (6:3, 1:6, 7:6) |
H1-2,5 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
191.1% |
2566 |
| A huge mistake by the Bookies. Tsonga is more stable than Sock on the baseline, his tactic arsenal is more sophisticated and his experience playing on clay is bigger. The Frenchman was untouchable on his serve agaisnt in-form Rosol and was good at returning. Sock relies to heavy on his forehand and go for too many risky low percentage shots. He could afford that against injuiry-proned Andujar, who served bad and gave Sock extensive number of break point chances. However reliable server Tsonga should explode Sock's weaknesses and tactical inexperience. |
| - |
05-May-15 |
Verdasco - Garcia-Lopez 2:1 (4:6, 6:2, 6:3) |
w1 |
1.82 |
-122 |
5% |
+4.1% |
+82 |
196.1% |
2666 |
| Verdasco always plays good against Lopez. Garcia right now is intop form, however his game possesses two main weaknesses: predictable and passive backhand and too academic play on baseline. These weak spots in Garcia's game always allows Verdascp to dictate the tempo of the game. Verdasco will load the backhand of Garcia with his top spin, get comfortable balls to attack and take winners. These scenario is quite predictable as all their matches were like that and when Verdaco was in form he took these matches. At native tournament we expect Verdasco to be in shape, as despite the fact that Fernando is not "Mr professionalism", at home tournaments his usually performs well. |
| - |
05-May-15 |
Gasquet - Karlovic 2:0 (6:3, 6:4) |
H2+3,5 |
1.87 |
-115 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
192.0% |
2584 |
| Really good good tip. Gasquet has been already tired in his semifinal agaisnt Garcia-Lopez, today he will play against Kyrgious and tomorrow agaisnt Karlovic. The chances that he will be exhausted in Madrid are extremely high. The courts in Madrid are fast for clay courts, so they should fit Ivo good. Tired Gasquet should give Ivo chances on his serve, while to break Karlovic is always a tough task to handle. Ivo has much better preconditions to go through. |
| - |
02-May-15 |
Murray - Rosol 2:1 (4:6, 6:3, 6:2) |
H2+5,5 |
1.87 |
-115 |
5% |
+4.4% |
+87 |
197.0% |
2684 |
| Murray plays his first clay court tournament after marriage. Today he was surprisingly good against Zverev, however off course his absence from the tour was visible and a bundle off unforced errors made his game a little bit unstable. Rosol is in fine form now, he is ready to defend the handicape on his own using his massive first serve. Moreover we do not expect Murray to be in his shoes on his second match on clay, so it should provide additional help for Lukas. |
| - |
01-May-15 |
Siniakova - Hradecka 1:2 (2:6, 6:4, 4:6) |
w1 |
1.99 |
-101 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
192.7% |
2597 |
| Siniakova is progressing in her quality of the game really fast. Here in Prague she easily won agaisnt Begu, Hercog and Strycova, who at least not weaker on clay than Hradecka. Siniakova movers much better than Hradecka, more stable on the baseline.For Hradecka it will be really tough to beat the agressive defence of Siniakova. |
| - |
28-Apr-15 |
Kavcic- Schwarzman 0:2 (2:6, 1:6) |
H2-2 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
+4.8% |
+96 |
197.7% |
2697 |
| Extremely cool and solid tip. Kavcic has practically 0 winning experience on clay. His attack is weak and defence is quite ordinary. Schwarzman has showed some solid and stable attacking display previous week against Vesely. Vesely's defence is much better than Kavcic's, but for Chezh this match was really tough task to handle. Moreover Vesely serves much better that Kavcic, he is a lefty and more stable on baseline... How Kavcic can hurt Schwarzman and what weapons he can use is a question mark... The Argentine should easily dictate play in high attacking tempo and get an easy win there. |
| - |
28-Apr-15 |
Estrella - Troicki 2:0 (7:6, 6:4) |
H1-3 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
192.9% |
2601 |
| Estrella is a small guy and to play agaisnt top guns with great serve is a tough taske for him, as he simply can not take effectively fast serve bullets. Troicki serves big, moreover he is quite stable on the baseline, so even in this department it will be tough for Estrella to penetrate the defence of the Serbian. |
| - |
24-Apr-15 |
Klizan - Nishikori 0:2 (1:6, 2:6) |
Sets in match 2:1 |
4.35 |
335 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
197.9% |
2701 |
| Klizan is a great big match performer. He has won sets agaisnt Djokovic, Nadal, Ferrer, moreover he destroyed Nishikori in their previous meeting. He is not physically fresh, however the Slovak is still able to show great tennis at the beginning of the match and win a set. The possibility that Klizan in not ideal physical conditions will win this encounter is quite theoretical. So in such specific circumstances to risk and try such tip is reasonable choice. |
| - |
22-Apr-15 |
Fognini - Rublev 2:1 (3:6, 6:4, 6:1) |
H1-4.5 |
1.95 |
-105 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
202.9% |
2801 |
| Rublev finished Verdasco practicaly on one leg, he was tired and his concetration was questionable in the final games of the match. Sticky Fognini will be a tough test for a 17 years old teenager, who doubtfully would be ready physically for his 3rd tough encounter for him |
| - |
22-Apr-15 |
Boleli - Haider-Mayrer 2:0 (6:4, 6:4) |
H1-2 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
207.9% |
2901 |
| The Austrian was tired against Dodig in the previous round. Only rain rescued him in the third set. Boleli was quite solid in his first round, served well and reliable. He is a stronger player on clay, and in addition he is fresher now. |
| - |
22-Apr-15 |
Youzny - Monfils 0:2 (1:6, 2:6) |
H2+4,5 |
1.95 |
-105 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
203.4% |
2811 |
| Monfil's motivation for Bucharest is questionable, he never was a good player at small tournaments. Moreover Youzny's shares are underrated now, he has had some nice game in recent weeks, but was unlucky with the draw. Youzny knwos how to play against Monfils, he leads 3:0 in head to head matches. In addition to this Youzny is desperate to take some crucial ranking points, for him Bucharest is much more important tournament. The Russian should at least be a tought opponent for the Frenchman. |
| - |
22-Apr-15 |
Andujar - Mayer 2:1 (2:6, 6:1, 6:2) |
H1+2,5 |
1.8 |
-125 |
5% |
+4.0% |
+80 |
208.4% |
2911 |
| Andujar has played today absolutely outstanding against Ramos. The spaniard is a player of form. He rarely performs well, but when he starts, we should take him agaisnt anybody on clay. Mayer does not play for a long time after foot injuiry. Red hot Andujar and unpredictable Mayer... Easy choice |
| - |
21-Apr-15 |
Nishikori - Gabashvili 2:0 (6:3, 6:4) |
H2+5,5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
204.4% |
2831 |
| Gabashvili has shown today really good balanced tennis against Busta. His agressive game can be tough to handle for the Japanese, who seldomly performs well in first round matches. The match should not be one-sided. |
| - |
21-Apr-15 |
Vesely - Schwarzman 2:0 (6:3, 7:6) |
H1-3 |
1.93 |
-108 |
5% |
+4.7% |
+93 |
199.9% |
2741 |
| Schwarzman is quick and stable player on baseline, but he struggles against steady defensive players. The Argentine prefers to play on contrattacks, where he can explode his quickness, while playing with initiative is his weaker side. Vesely is great defensive player in addition his serve can create chaos against small Schwarzman, which should provide Vesely with lots of cheap points. |
| - |
16-Apr-15 |
Wawrinka - Dimitrov 0:2 (1:6, 2:6) |
H1-2,5 |
1.88 |
-114 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
195.2% |
2648 |
| Stan has showed some solid tennis in his previous round against Monaco, was accurate and powerful on the baseline. Dimitrov has shown some ordinary display so far. Stan should take iniciative early in the points. If will not make lots of unforced, he will be favourite for this match. |
| - |
13-Apr-15 |
Paire - Kudla 2:0 (6:3, 7:6) |
H1-3 |
1.93 |
-108 |
5% |
+4.7% |
+93 |
200.2% |
2748 |
| Paire is much much more stronger player on clay than Kudla. The Frenchman made practically all his ranking on such surface, while Kudla is a product of American school of tennis, where clay is unpopular. Denis has little experience on clay and we do not expect anything special from him... Paire has much better serve and will apply pressure on weak second serve of Kudla. |
| - |
31-Mar-15 |
Halep - Penetta 2:0 (6:3, 7:5) |
W2 |
3.9 |
290 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
195.6% |
2655 |
| Logic is the same as with the Handicape, but the bet worth the risk. |
| - |
31-Mar-15 |
Halep - Penetta 2:0 (6:3, 7:5) |
H2+4.5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
200.6% |
2755 |
| One of the best tips of the week, in our opinion. Halep was tired against Giorgi today, only lots of unforced from the Italian prevented her from winning this encounter. We doubt that Halep, who has been playing practically 3 weeks will be ready for another tough gruelling encounter. Penetta is fresher and has advantage in head to head matches. Moreover she is good shape. We expect Penetta to win this match, but handicape looks super solid. |
| - |
30-Mar-15 |
Monaco - Garcia-Lopez 2:0 (7:5, 6:4) |
H2+1,5 |
2 |
100 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
205.6% |
2855 |
| Garcia should wake up and return to his outstanding tennis at the beginning of the year. In the previous round he managed to go through strong and tough Struff, which is a good sign. Monaco destroyed Gulbis, but... How the Latvian supposed to win the match with 9 double faults and 39% of first serves? No idea.. The Spaniard has one more day off, which can be an advantage in such humid and hot weather conditions. His chances here are more then 50% and with handicape we need to take this match. |
| - |
29-Mar-15 |
Isner - Rublev 2:0 (6:3, 6:4) |
TL 22 |
1.95 |
-105 |
5% |
+4.8% |
+95 |
210.6% |
2955 |
| Rublev's serve has some problematic aspects, in previous match he faced 11 breakpoints, whic is unaffordable luxury against top servers. Isner should make it in 2 sets and the expectations that he will do it in less than 22 games are quite high. |
| - |
28-Mar-15 |
Pospisil -Dimitrov 0:2 (2:6, 2:6) |
H2-3 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
205.8% |
2860 |
| Pospisil has shown nothing special against Del Potro even despite the win. Potro was playing bad... He did not serve well, his second serve return was awful as well as his backhand. Pospisil still possesses lots of problems with his backhand and Dimitrov should explore them. The bulgarian should win plenty of second serves as he is more stable and variety loving player. While on his serve he is more reliable than Del Po. |
| - |
28-Mar-15 |
Sock - Fognini 2:0 (7:6, 6:1) |
H2+4 |
1.9 |
-111 |
4% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
201.3% |
2770 |
| Sock is overrated now. He is playing ok, but actually nothing special. On the other hand the Italian is underrated. Last week he showed some solid tennis, but not enough to beat uprising Mannarino. Sock struggles against stable sticky baseline players. Yes he won last week against Bautista and Lu, but both of them were away even from their average performance, but still had plenty of chances to succeed. Moreover weather conditions in Miami are tough and Sock, who has been playing some busy tennis for the last 10 days, may suffer physically in the later stages of the match. |
| - |
27-Mar-15 |
Hewitt - Belucci 1:2 (5:7, 7:6, 4:6) |
First set, W2 |
1.8 |
-125 |
5% |
+4.0% |
+80 |
206.3% |
2870 |
| Hewitt during this year is more a tennis ambassador, than player. He is closely coneccted with some charities and tennis developement programmes. But does this style of life suit the professional sportsman? We doubt that. It is unlikely to see him in good form with the lack of playing practice. Why first set? Hewitt struggles on a regular basis to find his rhytm at the beggining of the matches, especially in first rounds. Later on he can manage to find his game, but frist set should be won by the Brazilian. |
| - |
27-Mar-15 |
Kareno-Bysta - Ryblev 1:2 (6:1, 1:6, 4:6) |
H1-3 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
202.3% |
2790 |
| The Spaniard was playing well in Indian Wells despite the loss to Young. This year he is much more dangerous on hard, than the previous one. Ryblev is a juniour, he lacks experience playing against strong and stable players. Windy conditions would favour the one who will be better on the baseline in stability department. I we expect this player to be Careno. |
| - |
25-Mar-15 |
Young - Lu 0:A (5:1, A) |
H1-3 |
1.95 |
-105 |
5% |
+0.0% |
+95 |
207.3% |
2890 |
| Lu is struggling agaisnt lefties. He is 2:0 behind Young in their matches. In addition to that he was twice destroyed by Mannarino, who is playing similar tennis with the American. Moreover the windy conditions in Miami suit much better Young, who plays with much more spin. |
| - |
24-Mar-15 |
Cetcovska - Badosa 0:2 (1:6, 1:6) |
H2+5 |
2.05 |
105 |
5% |
+5.3% |
+105 |
207.3% |
2795 |
| Cetcovska was absent from the tour for almost 7 months. Her previous match in Indian Wells was absolutely awful.Her knee is still tapped and the movement is limited. In such circumstances we wouid bet on her opponent if it was not a teenager Badosa. But in such scenario we can take handicape. |
| - |
21-Mar-15 |
Djokovic - Murray 2:0 (6:2, 6:3) |
H1-2,5 |
1.92 |
-109 |
5% |
+4.6% |
+92 |
202.1% |
2690 |
| Djokovic is a clear favourite there. The surface suits him better, his serve is much more stable and efficient. Murray was extremely lucky to go to the final. He got easy and comfortable opponents like Mannarino, tired Lopez or out of form Pospisil. The only problem he faced was against Kohlschreiber, but the German was out of sorts in the first and third sets... If we would analyze not the results, but the level of performance, Djokovic is a much stronger candidate for the final. |
| - |
21-Mar-15 |
Janovicz - Roger-Vasellin 2:1 (7:6, 1:6, 6:2) |
H1-2,5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
197.5% |
2598 |
| Janovicz was playing quite well last week, he was a little bit unlucky, his opponent showed some real class and the courts in Indian Wells do not suit the Pole a lot. In Irving the courts are faster, which means that flat "bullets" from Janovicz are more dangerous here. Vasselin is fluctuating player. He can show some masterclass in one game and total disaster in the other one. Janovicz can hold his serve on such surface quite confidently, while with his agressive returning he would have chances on the Frenchman's serve. |
| - |
19-Mar-15 |
Tomic - Kokkinakis 2:1 (6:4, 4:6, 6:4) |
H1-4 |
2 |
100 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
202.5% |
2698 |
| We will not waste a lot of letters here. Kokkinakis was absolutely physically empty the whole deciding set agaisnt Monaco. It was practically impossible not to win that match against the Australian, but Monaco brilliantly managed to do that, having made astronomically high nember of undforced errors. Tomic will follow the plan of just keeping the ball in play and force Kokkinakis to attack. But with little freshness left, Kokkinakis will start making errors. |
| - |
18-Mar-15 |
Raonic - Dolgopolov 2:0 (7:6, 6:4) |
H2+3 |
1.93 |
-108 |
5% |
+0.0% |
+93 |
207.5% |
2798 |
| Dolgopolov has shown some solid display this week. His type of tennis with sharp returning, variety baseline game and good movement is similar to the Nishikori's pattern of play. And we all know how tough it is for the Canadian to play against the Japanese. Dolgopolov is less vulnerable to the quick agressive returns, that Raonic prefer to use, as the Ukranian is extremely agile in positioning himself on the court. Moveover Dolgopolov's change of pace and spins in his shots is not comfortable for big Canadian, who's movement and ball handling is not his strongest elements of game. In our opinion the chances in this match are quite equal, but with Handicap it is worth taking this match for Dolgopolov. |
| - |
17-Mar-15 |
Murray - Kohlschreiber 2:1 (6:1, 3:6, 6:1) |
H1+5 |
1.76 |
-132 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
207.5% |
2705 |
| Kohlschreiber is a tought competitor on slow surfaces when he is in form. His spinny shots are tough to handle. Moreover German possesses the guns to trouble Murray. Kohlschreiber has good serve, strong forehand and stable variative backhand. All their previous 2 encounters talk more in favour of the German, than Murray. Andy struggles on slow surfaces, where his strong defensive display is vulnerable to stable baseline tactical hitting, while his attacking game is still unstable. The German in our opinion is ready to battle hard with the Brit. |
| - |
17-Mar-15 |
Nishikori - Verdasco 2:1 (6:7, 6:1, 6:4) |
H2+4 |
1.94 |
-106 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
212.5% |
2805 |
| The surface at Indian Wells is extremely bouncy. It is probably the only place in the tour where slow illogical serve from Verdasco, however with various of spins, can make sence. Nishikori is a small guy and to return such spinny serves is a tough task for him. Kei likes pace, he prefers to use the pace of his opponent rather than generate it on his own. Moreover spinny forehand from the spaniard is another issue than will trouble the Japanese, who will have some problems in attacking high balls, especially from the backhand side. |
| - |
17-Mar-15 |
Monaco - Kokkinakis 1:2 (2:6, 7:5, 6:7) |
w1 |
1.85 |
-118 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
217.5% |
2905 |
| Both guys have shown some solid tennis this week, but the shares of Monaco for us are higher. The surface at Indian Wells is bouncy and slow, practically ideal for Monaco with his spinny tops. Moreover Kokkinakis struggles against defensive sticky players. Yes, he won yesterday against Garcia-Lopez, but the spaniard historically can make some mess in the first rounds: 50% of first serves and 8 double faults is not the statistics that allow to hope for something good in todays game. We do not expect such pitfalls from Monaco and his bouncy shots are more difficult to attack. Add to this mix physical advantage of playing in hot conditions from the Argentine, and we will have a clear favourite in this encounter. |
| - |
15-Mar-15 |
Corne - Mchale 2:1 (4:6, 6:2, 6:1) |
H1-3,5 |
1.85 |
-118 |
5% |
+4.3% |
+85 |
222.5% |
3005 |
| Mchale is struggling with her game in this season. On her balance there are only 2 wins this season. Yesterday she played agaisnt Cetcovska, who was out of the game for more than 7 months and performed dreadful yesterday. Cetcovska was playing with tapped knee and simply could not move freely. At times we had a feeling that she was just walking during this match, but not running. The majority of top-100 from the WTA would allow Cetcovska win no more than 4 games with such kind of display. The American allowed 9 games... Corne with her stable game, good movement is hard nut to track for Mchale, who is struggling with her shots now. |
| - |
14-Mar-15 |
Jaziri - Ito 2:0 (7:5, 6:1) |
H1-1,5 |
1.91 |
-110 |
5% |
+4.6% |
+91 |
218.2% |
2920 |
| Ito was playing Davis Cup matches in indoor conditions on Friday. In best case scenario he arrived in USA on Monday and had one training day. Jaziri was practicing in Miami, the place with similar conditions, surface and weather from the beginning of March. He will be accustomed to conditions much better than Ito. Morevoer Jaziri's pit of form is connected with his injuries at the start of the season. Right now he should be ready to perform on his normal competitive level. |
| - |
14-Mar-15 |
Sock - Lu 2:1 (6:7, 6:2, 7:5) |
H2-1,5 |
1.85 |
-118 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
213.7% |
2829 |
| Sock will play his match after long-longinjuiry break. His debut was scheduled for Memphis , and it was a month ago. However he missed all the preparatory tournaments, which is an indicator that he was still far away from being healthy. We do not expect Sock to be in top form, while Lu is a stable strong baseline player with great return. Tough opponent for the first round, expecially regarding the fact that Sock can struggle with consistency. |
| - |
12-Mar-15 |
Delbonis - Lajovic 2:0 (6:4, 6:3) |
H2-3 |
1.95 |
-105 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
218.7% |
2929 |
| The logic is similar to the previous bet. Del Bonis played Davis Cup on clay. And finished his match against Belucci not like the majority of players on Sunday, but on Monday. And don not forget, that it was Brazil- Argentine encounter... It is the same as Russia is palying against Canada in Hockey... I'm pretty sure that there were some crazy celebrations after that, especially regarding the fact, that Delbonis brought the deciding point to the Argentines. Del Bonis does not like hard, but after claycourt victory and without adequate preparations his shares are really questionable. Layovich on the other hand refused to play for Serbia, stayed in the States and has been systematically preparing himself for the tournament. The serb is better hard-court player, but with the existing preconditions he is a clear favourite. |
| - |
05-Mar-15 |
Rosol - Kokkinakis 2:3 (6:4, 6:2, 5:7, 5:7, 3:6) |
w1 |
1.93 |
-108 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
223.7% |
3029 |
| Lucas Rosol plays at home in Chezh Republic, on well known indoor surface in front of home crowd. Moreover The Checz had lots of time to prepare for the encounter against Australia, and for his sharp attacking style it is crucial. Kokkinakis practically has 0 experience of playing indoors, moreover one week ago he was in Mexico having played Acapulco... In addition to that Australian as well as Amercans perform historically pretty poor in Europe. Finally Rosol is simply not worse tennis player than Kokkinakis, but broader experience, home conditions and time preparations favours the Chezh. |
| - |
27-Feb-15 |
Azarenka - Williams 2:1 (2:6, 6:2, 6:4) |
H1-3,5 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
228.7% |
3129 |
| Latest tennis Azarenka impresses us a lot. The shots are stable and sharp. return works well, double faults on serve still exists, but now in average quantities. Now in Doha the tennis of the Belarussian is close to her best brilliant standarts. Probably the only huge negative aspect of this tip is negative head-to-head statistics for Azarenka betweem theese 2, with Williams leading 4:0. However the American has played a grueling 3 set thriller with Radwanska with lots of running, and we have doubts that not young Williams will be able to perfrom without the loss of qulaity in her game in upcoming encounter. Even if she can do that, the form of the Belarussian is enough to break through this handicape even aganst the best in the tour. |
| - |
25-Feb-15 |
Dolgopov - Haider-Maurer 2:0 (6:2, 6:3) |
H1-3,5 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
+4.8% |
+96 |
233.7% |
3229 |
| We continue not believe in the Austrian. The quality of his win agaisnt Haase is questionable as well as his physical conditions. Dolgopolov so far has shown one of the best tennis on the tournament in our opinion. He has broken Groth 5 times, which possesses one of the best services in the world now. The Ukranian has been playing open hard for the third week already in similar weather conditions and surtface. He is better player on the hard than the Austrian, his playing and physical shape should be better as well. Moreover Dolgopolov is a more reliable performer in windy conditions. We see no obstacles preventing "The Dog" from winning this encounter. |
| - |
25-Feb-15 |
Federer - Verdasco 2:0 (6:4, 6:3) |
H2+5 |
1.86 |
-116 |
5% |
+0.0% |
+86 |
228.9% |
3133 |
| Verdasco's resuslts as well as a playing form have fluctuating character. The spaniard can be Grand-Slam semifinalist ( Australian Open, Wimbledon) either as a guy, who can lose all his matches in a month... It always depends on his mood, motivation and form. Right now Verdasco has shown probably his best tennis of the season against Garcia-Lopez, having won this encounter in stunning faschion. We have one rule about Verdasco: when he is good shape, you can take him agaisnt anybody. As the Spaniard possesses weapons to hurt anybody's game. Federer has produced some quality tennis against Youzny in first round, however the latest tennis of the Russian leaves much to be desired. The Swiss does not like to play against leftys, which is advantage for Verdasco. We even believe that the Spaniard can win today against Federer, but with handicape we cant miss this tip. |
| - |
24-Feb-15 |
Haase - Haider-Maurer 1:2 (3:6, 6:2, 2:6) |
w1 |
1.83 |
-120 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
228.9% |
3047 |
| Haider-Maurer played semifinal on clay two days ago against Ferrer. The Austrian was extremely tired and exhausted after that encounter in Rio. His preparations after changing the surfaces is quite questionable, as feeling great on hard after 2 days after has been playing on clay for several weeks is simply doubtful. Haase should be much fresher physically and he should adapt to open hard faster, than the Austrian, as Robin was playing european indoor for the last couple of weeeks. |
| - |
23-Feb-15 |
Grannolers - Matosevic 0:2 (4:6, 2:6) |
w1 |
1.75 |
-133 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
233.9% |
3147 |
| This tip is not even more on the win of Grannolers, than against the Matosevic. The Australian has shown so far really unstable tennis with some glances of brilliance, but mostly with some questionable decision making and lots of unforced errors. His lattest defeat to Nishioka, the Japanese with the absence of even a weak serve and quite average baseline game, one more time proves it. Grannolers possess much better serve than Matosevic, he is more stable on the baseline and much better volleyer. To beat Grannolers his opponent should either serve well or have sharp steady attacking tennis at his disposal. In our opinion, Matosevic has nothing of the mentioned above in his arsenal right now. |
| - |
22-Feb-15 |
Ferrer - Haider-Mauer 2:0 (7:5, 6:1) |
H-5 |
1.88 |
-114 |
5% |
+4.4% |
+88 |
238.9% |
3247 |
| Weather conditions in Rio are extremely difficult to handle, as it is humid and hot there at the same time. The tournament has already had 4 withdrawals due to dehydration. The Austrian won his match agaisnt Sousa yesterday more by accident than by logic. He was exhausted and extremely tired. And today he is going to play Ferrer, who is one of the most sticky defencive players of the tour. We doubt than it is something left in Haider-Mauer, so we expect easy win for Ferrer. |
| - |
21-Feb-15 |
Simon - Chardy 2:0 (7:5, 7:6) |
H1-2 |
1.86 |
-116 |
5% |
+4.3% |
+86 |
234.5% |
3159 |
| Both guys played against each other one week ago, where Simon comfortably won this encounter. What has changed since then? Difficult to answer this question, however the odds are even higher for Simon comparing with last week. Chardy easily overplayed Gulbis in Marseile, however Ernie is nowhere near at least his average form. The performance of the latvian was awful with lots of unforced forehand errors. In our opinion Simon is a strong favourite regarding his geat statistics against Chardy and fine form. |
| - |
18-Feb-15 |
Goffin - Janovicz 2:0 (6:4, 6:2) |
H1-2 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
230.2% |
3073 |
| Janovicz 10 days ago withdrew from the final in Montpelie due to flu. And accordiing to the sympthoms he described, it was serious flu. Usually it takes at least 3-4 days to overcome such illness. In addition to that let's not forget that trainings after that are also quite bland for several days. Add to that flight and accomodation and as a conclusion the Pole in best case scenario had 1-2 days of ordinary intensive trainings... Bearing in mind that tournament in Marseile is quite small, we expect motivation and form of the Pole not to be on a high level. Goffin played high-quality match last week against Muller and his class of game is at least not lower than the Pole's. All in all the Belgian is a strong favourite in this encounter. |
| - |
17-Feb-15 |
Dodig - Young 0:2 (5:7, 5:7) |
w1 |
1.87 |
-115 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
225.7% |
2983 |
| Ivan Dodig was unlucky during last 2 weeks. In Zagreb he lost to in-form stunning Granollers and in Memphis this week to Isner, who was serving practically 80% first serves, which is just undefendable. Despite the absense of good results from Dodig the form of the Croat is on quite high level. All in all, Dodig is a better player than Young, at least in our opinion. He serves better and more stable on the baseline. Young has only one ace in the sleeve - he is a lefty. However, Dodig possess strong stable backhand, which would neutralize the main strenght of Young. |
| - |
15-Feb-15 |
Cuevas - Giraldo 2:0 (6:4, 6:3) |
H1-2,5 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
+4.8% |
+96 |
230.7% |
3083 |
| Cuevas looks in better form than Giraldo. His serve works much better, attacking baseline game more stable. Giraldo won against Fognini and Berlock but these both guys are away from their best games. Giraldo is stable on the baseline, but his game in not sharp and his wins are correlated with unforced of his opponents. We do not think that it will be enough to win against attacking Cuevas. |
| - |
12-Feb-15 |
Tomic - Dolgopolov 2:0 (6:1, 7:5) |
H1-2,5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
225.9% |
2987 |
| The last tournament where the injured Dolgopolov took place was the Australian Open championship. For such players as Aleksandr constant practice is very important. Moreover, Dolgo has recently launched his own sporting line “The Dog”. And as you probably know, very often such events are celebrated on highly-attended public parties. So all in all, the tournament in Memphis can hardly be of great priority for the Ukrainian. More likely, he’ll use it to practice for the US majors. And the last. Tomic, with his creative tennis approach and booming serve, is a very uncomfortable opponents to play against after a long break. |
| - |
11-Feb-15 |
Isner - Dodig 2:0 (6:4, 7:6) |
H2+1,5 |
1.86 |
-116 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
221.4% |
2897 |
| Isner has been out of play for some time. For the American it always makes a difference. Usually he needs 1-2 matches to catch his rhythm and start showing his best tennis. Actually, we’ve already written about this specific feature of the American giant. As for Dodig, we really appreciate his play now. The serve perfectly works out, footwork and placement are both very reliable. Play on return gives no grounds for concern either. Ivan is currently in a very good physical form. Don’t forget about the tournament in Zagreb which took place a week ago. No doubt that the Croat had practiced a lot to perform in front of his home audience.
As for their h2h stats, the both have met twice before and showed thrilling fights. It’s worth noting, that the Croat has managed to cover the handicap in both matchups. So we hope, that he’ll do it again this time.
|
| - |
28-Jan-15 |
K.Nishikori - S.Wawrinka 0:3 (3:6, 4:6, 6:7) |
W1 |
1.86 |
-116 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
226.4% |
2997 |
| I really enjoy the Japanese performance at this event. Keeping with the best tennis traditions, he started it in a hasteless manner adapting to it in course of the tournament. He'll reach his peak form in the second weak. As it should be in his case. We can't but recollect their last year match at the US Open. Then the Japanese player defeated Swiss No. 2 in 5 sets while there were many facts to his disadvantage. Now the pre-match pedigree is different. Nishikori looks relaxed with his play being no worse than that at the US Open 2014. Unlike Stan, who can't steady his nerves replacing the failed games by the outstanding ones. Russian mountains, so to say. But if he can more or less affors such luxure against Garcia Lopez, Nieminen or Copil, Kei won't do this. The Japanese has good return and excellent footwork pressing his opponents for unforced errors. To resume the above said, we think that Stan makes too many mistakes to upset the in-form Kei. |
| - |
26-Jan-15 |
K.Nishikori - D.Ferrer 3:0 (6:3, 6:3, 6:3) |
H1-1.5 по сетам |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
231.4% |
3097 |
| Frankly speakin, this match probably possesses biger value if bet live. Pre-match options are more risking but we've chosen one of these lines. Let us explain why. There are some reasons to justify our selection. The -4.5 handicap at the Japanese looks sweet but is fraught with danger. It goes with no doubt that Nishikori is the favorite to the match. He had more rest and improve his play with every single match. But. Historically the Asian player finds it hard to start the matches here, on the Australian continent. He lost first sets to Dodig, Johnson and should have lost it to Almagro, but the Spaniard made generous gifts to his opponent. So shall Ferrer take the first set 6:3, it'll be very hard to cover the -7.5 handicap in 3 sets. We've also considered the total number of sets under 38, but this bet also has some hidden rocks. One tiebreak may jeopardy the bet outcome. FErrer himself looks very exhausted after his battle against Simon. The French gave the Spaniard really hard time and if he hadn't died himself on court, the Spaniard would have been defeated. But Ferrer is Ferrer. He will definitely survive first two sets. The rest is silence. Nishikori usually accelerates throughout the match and his average level is higher that that of the Spanish contender. So even if the Japanese loses the first set, his chances to close the match up in 4 sets remain high. So we expect Nishikori will win in 3 or 4 sets. |
| - |
25-Jan-15 |
A.Murray - G.Dimitrov 3:1 (6:4, 6:7, 6:3, 7:5) |
H1-5 |
2.01 |
101 |
5% |
+5.1% |
+101 |
226.9% |
3007 |
| Many factors in this match speak for Andy Murray. FIrstly, the Scott is being in a perfect fitness form, probably, the best in the last two years. Secondly, Dimitrov's physical form has never been great (at least by this moment). So if the match lasts too long, the Bulgarian's encounters against Lacko and Baghdatis will take toll. Right now Dimitrov's most dangerous tool is his service game. But the mere fact that this time he'll be facing one of the bet returners in tour reduces this benefit to nothing. Murray plays more confident on the baseline and by all means he should defeat the worn out Bulgarian and cover the set handicap. |
| - |
24-Jan-15 |
G.Simon - D.Ferrer 1:3 (2:6, 5:7, 7:5, 6:7) |
H1+5.5 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
+4.8% |
+96 |
221.8% |
2906 |
| I have vivid recollection of their recent encounter at the US Open when the Fench came off victorious 6-3, 3-6, 6-1, 6-3. At the end of the match Ferrer could hardly move. The both apply very similar defensive tennis being consistent on the baseline. In-form Simon looks like he used to be at the US Open 2014. Oddly enough, but even his service game is working thus making Simon's life less difficult. Physically he should survive the upcoming match against Ferrer. And all in all, there is no big difference between the both, so the +5.5 handicap looks very promising. |
| - |
23-Jan-15 |
M.Baghdatis - G.Dimitrov 2:3 (6:4, 3:6, 6:3, 3:6, 3:6) |
H1+5.5 |
1.99 |
-101 |
5% |
+5.0% |
+99 |
217.0% |
2810 |
| Baghdatis is in a very good form now. His shots are precise, the service game is forceful, return is reliable and the number of mistakes is really insignificant. Probably Dimitrov is not the best opponent for the Cypriot (judging by the H2H stats), but when he was in form, all the matches between the two were close and tough. In terms of physical readiness, Marcos causes no doubt. So we believe that he must survive even through five sets. Dimitrov is also playing extremely good tennis these days, but we guess that he'll reach his best form right before the start of the second half of the event, while Badhdatis has already come to his peak point. Dimitrov is an unquestionable favorite to this match, but Marcos should offer Bulgarian tough resistance to take one set, at least. So the handicap chances are really smart. |
| - |
22-Jan-15 |
Monfils - Janowicz 2:3 (4:6, 6:1, 7:6, 3:6, 3:6) |
H1-3,5 |
1.85 |
-118 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
212.1% |
2711 |
| Janowicz feels uncomfortable on outdoor courts. No matter hot it or windy outside – the Pole feels out of his element. And generally he performs badly at the Australian championship. In the first round match against Sugita the Pole committed 13 double faults which can’t be forgiven even despite 26 aces. 13 double faults is an unacceptable record. Fortunately for him, Sugita, a poor server, provided Janowicz with many chances on return. Recently injured Monfils is also far from his best form now, but his play against Poullie brought about very positive impressions. Pouille was well-prepared and Monfils should suck advantage out of 5 sets played. Unlike Sugita, Monfils applies very good serve and return. The French will also cause troubles to the aggressive Janowicz on the baseline. Considering the best of five set format, the -3.5 handicap looks very sweet. |
| - |
21-Jan-15 |
Witthoeft - McHale 2:0 (6:3, 6:0) |
W1 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
217.1% |
2811 |
| Cristina McHale started this season with a defeat from Lucic 6:3. 6:0 and Alison Riske in Hobart where the American player retired with injury. And it all happened only a week ago.
Frankly speaking, Cristina showed very suspicious tennis and her win over Foretz was a mere accident rather than a logical outcome where the French female didn’t use any of the opportunities to close up the match.
Witthoft recorded 70% of her first serve point (which is an amazing record for the WTA) and slaughtered Suarez Navarro.
We guess that the young but highly promising German player shall easily defeat McHale, considering the American’s poor condition.
|
| - |
20-Jan-15 |
Nishikori - Almagro 3:0 (6:4, 7:6, 6:2) |
H2+7 |
1.95 |
-105 |
5% |
+0.0% |
+95 |
212.6% |
2721 |
| In our opinion, Almagro is a bit undervalued by the bookies. He plays good tennis and has been working out a lot after being injured. In average, the Spaniard hits 10 aces in 2 sets which is a very solid record in men’s tour! No doubt, the Japanese prodigy is also in good form now. But all their previous matchups turned out to be very tough for Kei. The Spaniard strongly holds his serve and can jeopardy anyone on return too. What is more, such players as Nishikroi are rarely showing their best tennis in the first rounds of the event. More often, they reach their peak form by the second week of the tournament. And there is something in it if you’re planning to make deep run or lift the trophy. Nicolas lacks playing practice a bit, but no one has it too much at the beginning of the season, so he would hardly suffer from it. So for a guy with decent serve and good attacking technique +7 handicap is too much, we think. |
| - |
20-Jan-15 |
Fognini- Gonzalez 1:3 (6:4, 2:6, 3:6, 4:6) |
Un36,5 |
1.83 |
-120 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
212.6% |
2626 |
| Our choice is very logical here. The both contenders are playing very equal tennis. But in total, Fognini is a head taller than Gonzalez. Statistically, Gonzalez looks very dangerous. But…Yes, the Colombian player has outplayed Robert and looked very solid against Venus. But when playing the French male, Gonzalez was only putting pressure on his forehand thus making him commit numerous errors. The latter is a very poor baseliner and has no more tools to show except for his serve. The matchup with Carreno Busta whose tennis style reminds that of Fabio Fognini is more to the point. And this match Gonzalez lost with no chances. The Colombian is still young and has many gaps to fill: at times he makes unacceptable tactical decisions and commits stupid errors. At large, Fognini tops Gonzalez by his class. But Fabio will always be Fabio. The Italian has thrown away the beginning of this season losing it to everyone. Those who’ve watched his matches can’t agree more. Fognini has been fooling around being calm and relaxed. But the Australian Open is the Australian, one of the major tennis events. Even Fognini shall take it seriously.
Why we’ve selected total under, not a handicap market? Logically, Fognini is used to losing one of the sets with 2:6 or 1:6 on the scoreboard. So it’s very hard to cover the handicap in such case, while total looks fine. So all in all, total number of games gives us good winning chances, especially if we take into account that none of the players possesses really booming serve. And what will really make the difference is the baseline play thus increasing the probability of short sets, like 6:1 or 6:2.
|
| - |
19-Jan-15 |
Rosol - De Schepper 3:2 (4:6, 6:2, 6:7, 6:3, 6:4) |
W1 |
1.99 |
-101 |
5% |
+5.0% |
+99 |
217.6% |
2726 |
| Usually we don't select the matches with Rosol playing, but let's stay impersonal. Despite his inconsistency, Czech is a very solid tennis player. High odds set be the bookies can be justified by the Czech's long running losing session. But we know recently Lukas was set up to face very inconvenient opponents like Karlovic, Goffin, Troicki. Nevertheless, it's not correct to compare top-30 player to the 101. The best of five set match format favors Rosol. We've previously noted that the Czech needs time to jump in to the tournament. So this format fits him well: plenty of time to adapt to the court and the opponent's style. The next advantage is the footwork of De Schepper. Due to his big height, it'll be hard for him to response to the Czech's aggressive tennis. Actually De Schepper has only one card up his sleeve: he is a left-handed player with a very good serve. That’s it. Altogether, Lukas has much more chances to come off victorious. Only Rosol himself may create additional obstacles by hitting balls out, for example. But as it’s going to be a long-lasting match, we bet that the Czech will be capable of tuning in to his rhythm. |
| - |
16-Jan-15 |
Gasquet - Nishikori 2:0 (7:6, 7:6) |
H1+3 |
1.99 |
-101 |
5% |
+5.0% |
+99 |
212.6% |
2627 |
| The movement of this betting line comes as a surprise. As soon as it appeared the odds wew almost equal. But now the disposition has changed. We see no logical explanation to this change: Gasquet isn't injured and feels fit (at least we found no proof to other opposite opinion). The French also leads the H2H stats 5:0. And we still have good recollection of the last match which ended up with the confident win of Richard. Nishikori failed to process top spin shots of the French. Due to his short height the Japanese athlete tries to find means to big one step ahead of his opponent. And high shots don't go well with his tennis style: if he tries to outpace them in a low point, he'll lack speed to perfrom succesfully. Or if he handles them in his ordinary mode, then the short Japanese will have to jump very high. Both options are very uncomfortable for him. |
| - |
14-Jan-15 |
Millot - Sorensen 2:0 (6:1, 6:0) |
H1-2,5 |
1.87 |
-115 |
5% |
+4.4% |
+87 |
207.7% |
2528 |
| The bet is very simple and logical. Last week Louk Sorensen has retired from the first round match with injury. A week later he's trying to qualify for the Australian Open. Evidently, we can hardly expect anything worthwhile from the Irish player. Vincent Millot is a player of the upper tennis class. Secondly, the Frenchmale always perfroms well at the start of the season. Thirdly, last week he outplayed one of the most promising American players, Jared Donaldson. And the last argument. Vincent is a left-handed player which has always been his major advantage against the righties. |
| - |
10-Jan-15 |
Wawrinka - Goffin 2:0 (7:5, 6:3) |
H1-2,5 |
1.92 |
-109 |
5% |
+4.6% |
+92 |
203.3% |
2441 |
| Stan Wawrinka is playing surprisingly good for the start of the season. His service has been magnificent so far, as well as stability on the baseline with his top spin shots. Goffin is performing well too, however his tennis is not at the top-10 level yet. The Belgian loves using the speed of his opponent as well as to play early shots in high tempo. Wawrinka however is showing more old-school slow tennis with lots of top-spin in his shots. In addition, he uses many skew crosses, which destabilise the position of his opponent on the court and gives him tactical advantage. Such type of tennis is not attractive for the Belgian, who does not like to generate his own pace. All in all Stan just must take advantage of his pre-match disposition. |
| - |
10-Jan-15 |
Groth - Raonic 1:2 (7:6, 3:6, 7:6) |
H1+3.5 |
1.89 |
-112 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+89 |
198.7% |
2349 |
| Both guys are practically unbeatable on their serves. Groth improved his baseline game and volleys, which added stability to holding his serve. Raonic has never been an outstanding returner, so to break a guy, who did not lose any his serve in 5 sets against Kubot and Hewitt, the players who at least not worse at returning than Raonic, for the Canadian will be a tough task to do. Handicap +3,5 provides good opportunity to win even with one break of serve from Milos, 6:4, 7:6, for example. So all in all when two big servers meet, we expect close matches with such a Handicap looks like a sweet bet. |
| - |
08-Jan-15 |
Groth - Kubot 2:1 (6:4, 6:7, 7:6) |
w1 |
1.78 |
-128 |
5% |
+3.9% |
+78 |
194.3% |
2260 |
| The both display very solid tennis, but Groth looks more impressive now. Kubot is highly rated for his win over Kevin Anderson who usually makes slow start of the season, with this one being no exception. The South African player has lost three breaks to Kubot whose serve was on a very average level. Slackitude. How else can you call it? Truly speaking, Kubot has also made faults in his match. So Groth was the only big surprise to us. Previously the guy was just hitting booming serves, but in his match against Hewitt he showed reliable play from the baseline. Maybe it can be explained in terms of his Australian origins. He tried hard to get ready for this portion of the season. Groth looks more consistent and promising on the serve. So it would be very tough to break him down. As about the baseline, the two look very close in this element. In addition, Groth constantly approaches the net, which is very inconvenient for Kubot who lacks good passing technique in his arsenal. In fact, the both play very equal tennis, but the Australian looks more preferable these days. |
| - |
06-Jan-15 |
Klizan - Melzer 2:1 (6:7, 7:6, 6:1) |
H1-2,5 |
1.85 |
-118 |
5% |
+4.3% |
+85 |
190.4% |
2182 |
| Martin Klizan made big steps forward last year. The lefty from Slovakia showed very decent tennis on the European clay to show high class in Asia on hard courts. Klizan is an all-courts player whose main advantages are his reliable serve and footwork. His forehand and backhand shots also look perfect. The main troubles he has to overcome are mental and physical ones. At times his strange playing decisions cost him a victory. And, of course, constant injuries. But despite all this, Martin must be well-prepared now. He had worked out a lot and cured all healthy issues. So we hope to see good tennis by the Slovakian player!
Jurgen Melzer, the veteran from Austria is about to finish his tennis career. Last season he started only in April to miss the whole July then. The tournaments that took place in the second half of the season 2014 tended out to be not very successful for the Austrian. Jurgen is a kind of player who has to play a lot to start playing well. This is exactly what he didn’t do last year. Then he preferred to spend nice winter holiday with his wife than to work it out on courts getting ready for the next season. Another beneficial point to Klizan.
So we think that it must be a confident win by Martin Klizan. Melzer mainly relies on a booming forehand (keep it in mind that Jurgen is a left-handed player) which wouldn’t count now as Klizhan is a leftie himself. The only thing we worry about is Martin’s cheerful character. But he has to fulfill his talanet and potential this year. He is aged 25 which is the golden age for any player. So, strive to be the best, Martin! No time to warm it up! |
| - |
31-Oct-14 |
Nishikori - Ferrer 2:1 (3:6, 6:7, 6:4) |
H2+1,5 |
1.94 |
-106 |
5% |
+4.8% |
+94 |
183.3% |
1956 |
| Nishikori is simply overrated now. The Japanese did not play for several weeks. Here in Paris he won against Robredo, who was physically exhausted. Then he got the win over Tsonga, who was not at his best, but had lots of chances to win against Nishikori. Moreover Nishikori never was strong physically player and to meet Ferrer after two long encounters would be a tought challenge for him. Quite probably too tough. Especially if to take into account that all their encounters were gruelling and physically demanding. Ferrer here is a clear favourite and this tip is pretending to be the best tip of the week. |
| - |
31-Oct-14 |
Federer - Raonic 0:2 (6:7, 5:7) |
H1-3 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
178.6% |
1862 |
| We remember 2 their latest encounters, where Federer simply dimolished Raonic. Raonic right now is in questionable form, having not far away recovered from the Flu. His serve is a huge weapon, however his baseline game leaves much to be desired. He won against Bautista, but the Spaniard has a weak serve giving him little advantage. Nevertheless Bautista managed to break Raonic twice. Federer is not worse in returning, but much much better in holding his own serve. He has already played here in Paris 2 matches, got used to the surface. Federer should win the majority of points on the sevond serve of Raonic and his blocking return of first serve shoud pay dividends as well. His attacking style of play in high tempo does not suit Raonic, whose movement and defensive skills are his weakest parts. |
| - |
30-Oct-14 |
Berdych - Lopez 2:0 (7:5, 6:3) |
H1-3 |
1.94 |
-106 |
5% |
+4.7% |
+94 |
183.6% |
1962 |
| Berdych is really good against hitters and guys with big serve like Lopez. The surface is not so convinient for the Spaniard. He won Querrey, however the American played an awful match having made lots of unforced errors. Berdych is much better on the return side and can generate hos own attacks much more precise, than the American did. Especially from his backhand side. Lopez should serve in the region of 70% first serves to make life complicated for Tomas, however he has not made that for a long time. |
| - |
28-Oct-14 |
Goffin - Rosol 2:0 (6:4, 6:3) |
H-1,5 First Set Goffin |
1.94 |
-106 |
5% |
+4.7% |
+94 |
178.9% |
1868 |
| The bet is slightly exotic, however in our opinion it is the right way to use this method to bet on this match. Goffin is showing really good stable tennis during the last several months.Nevertheless he was a little bit tired in final at Basel, so estimate his physical conditions now is a difficult task. However for one quality set he is more than capabe after practically 2 days rest. Rosol rarely show some class in first rounds, especially when the lack of playing practice exists. First rounds and first sets usually not his strenght. He needs time to adapt to new conditions, to bounce of the ball to start produce crazy winners. Sticky Goffin is not the best opponent, who will give you little time to adapt. His fast stable tennis would be inconvinient for agressive attacking Rosol, which should give Goffin a huge advantage in the beggining. |
| - |
27-Oct-14 |
Dolgopolov - Thiem 1:2 (2:6, 6:4, 0:6) |
H1-1,5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
174.2% |
1774 |
| Dolgopolov has been showing some improvements in his game during the last month. From tournament to tourament his game is becoming better better and better. In Valencia last week he has shown some quality performances, in Paris he should be even better. Thiem is not good at fast surfaces. And in Paris it is definitely a fast one. The technique of backhand from Thiem is relatively slow, which demands a lot of time to make the shots clean from this side, On slow hard or clay it is not a problem, but on fast surfaces he often has problems with the timing on backhand, which cause lots of unforced errors. Moreover Thiem do not like to play in high tempo baseline exchanges. He has been struggling against Goffin for example in all their encounters, the tennis of whom is simillar to the tennis of Dolgopolov. The Ukranian on the other hand likes to play on fast surfaces, especially when he is in a good form. |
| - |
26-Oct-14 |
Querrey - Delbonis 2:0 (6:2, 6:3) |
H2+3,5 |
2.15 |
115 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
179.2% |
1874 |
| The logic hear is simple. Querrey has bad statistics against lefties. He is practically always struggling against them. The American has some weak backhand, so digonal crosses from the lelfhanders would load the weakest area in the game of Sam. Moreover Delbonis in our opinion is slightly underrated right now, as he was showing some quality tennis during the last couple of weeks, but was simply unlucky with the draw. Moreover historically Americans are not so successful outside the States, which is some minor minus for Sam as well. Querrey possess of course much stronger serve, but in tactics, baseline game and return Delbonis in our opinion is better. Querrey did not play preparational indoor tournaments, he is playing against a lefty,outside the States and the lefty is a good form. Delbonis has simply for + than -. |
| - |
25-Oct-14 |
Ferrer - Murray 0:2 (4:6, 5:7) |
H1+1,5 |
1.97 |
-103 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
184.2% |
1974 |
| Ferrer is playing at his favourite tournament in Valencia, where he is practically unbeatable. His tennis right now is of an excellent quality. Murray's tennis is not bad as well, however there are some aspects in motivation and tactics before this encounter. First of all we have to bear in mind, that Murray did not play last year in Valencia and on the upcoming tournament in Paris. What does it mean? It means that all the points he receives this and next week will be only plussed to his curent rating. And if I were in the shoes of Murray, I would better lose this match and prepare myself for the Paris Masters, where 2-3 wins would guarantee the ticket for the final tournament in London. Otherwise Murray risks to lose plenty of energy against Ferrer, get a little bit more points if he wins, but at the same time he can lose final, for example to Robredo, and then will be totally exhausted for the big tournament in Paris... From tactical standpoint such win against Ferrer is really questionable.
Ferrer on the other hand has absolutely different situation. David was the finalist in Valencia and Paris last year, which means he has plenty of points to defend. Win against Murray tomorrow is must win game for him, if he wants to successfully qualify for the tournament in London. Moreover Murray looks physically not at his best, during their last encounter in Vienna in the final the Brit was exhausted. This upcoming match should be even more tough. And we doubt that physical conditions of Murray would allow him to break through the sticky Ferrer one more time. |
| - |
23-Oct-14 |
Dimitrov - Pospisil 2:0 (6:2, 6:2) |
H2+2,5 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
189.2% |
2074 |
| Gregor Dimitrov played really tough and grueling tournament in Stockholm last week. All his matches were quite long and energy consuming as Dimitrov run a lot on the baseline and all his opponents had really sticky defence. Today the Bulgarian was one feet away from defeat from Zverev. In our opinion the German should have won this match, but the lack of experience did not allow Zverev to succeed in this encounter. Moreover Dimitrov struggled physically a lot, especially in the deciding set, where several times he had muscle spasms in his legs, which is a first sign of a serious tiredness. Pospisil off course is not the best player to press out the reamainder of Dimitrov's freshness. However the Canadian can hold his serve quite reliably and he has the ability to play some good baseline tennis. We do not expect this match to be an easy task for Dimitrov. And if it will be so, we doubt the ability of Dimitrov to win another tough encounter with a burden of tiredness. |
| - |
22-Oct-14 |
Ivanovic - Bouchard 2:0 (6:1, 6:3) |
H1-2,5 |
1.97 |
-103 |
5% |
+4.9% |
+97 |
194.2% |
2174 |
| Bouchard is extremely talented tennis player, but during the last months she has been far below her usual level of performance. She withdrawn form Linz for unknown reasons and today played an awful match against Halep having made 30 unforced errors in two short sets... 30! It is even more surprising regarding the fact that Halep was showing some ordinary average performance. Ivanovic played some solid tennis agaisnt Williams. The only aspect that really concerns us in Ivanovic's game is her number of double faults. However it can be explained, as Serena always looks frightening with her second serve returns, which supplies additional pressure on the shoulder of her opponents. |
| - |
19-Oct-14 |
Cilic - Bautista 2:0 (6:4, 6:4) |
H1-3 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
189.3% |
2077 |
| Both players are showing really good tennis now. However Marin Cilic is a favourite for us. Bautista is simply fantastic against hitters like Gulbis or Groth, but struggles against clever balanced players like Murray or Monfils, to whom he lost absolutely in a straightforward manner. And Cilic is a brilliant balanced player, who serves well, moves well, good in defence, stable on the baseline and can hurt the defence of the opponent with his strong ground strokes. Cilic has shown that he is capable of beating really strong defencive players like Robredo and Kukushkin, who were in great form. For Bautista it will be difficult to play against Cilic. He does not possess strong serve, which can give him some cheap points, to push Cilic for errors like in Gulbis scenario will be tough as well, as Cilic is quite stable, to break through the defence of the Croatian will be tough as well, because the spaniard rarely take iniciative in his hands... All in all Cilic should win this match on a higher class, especially regarding his fine form now. |
| - |
18-Oct-14 |
Ferrer - Kohlschreiber 2:1 (6:3, 2:6, 7:6) |
H1-3,5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
184.8% |
1987 |
| Kolhschreiber several weeks ago withdrew from Metz with injuiry against Struff. The next week he was struggling in the first round against Puetz and showed really awful tennis. What was wrong with him? It is difficult to answer... However there was definitely something wrong with the German, as he did not play in big money tournaments in Asia during the last several weeks, which all the other "big" tennis players did. Even here in Austria he was far away from his best. Fairly speaking in our view Becker should have won against Kohlschreiber yesterday, but a number of poorly played deciding points by Benjamin predetermined the result of this encounter.
The opponent of Kohlschreiber is David Ferrer. The Spaniard showed some real class last week at Bejing. He totally destroyed Murray and then had close and tough encounter with Djokovic, where the score does not reflect the real state of things. In Austria David has already played 2 matces of high quality showing stability on the baseline and good movement. The surface in Vienna is a slow hard, which is more than convinient for David. We doubt that Kohlschreiber would be able to break through the sticky defence of Ferrer, as he lacks some stability on the baseline now, even despite the fact that his serve has worked well for him so far. Moreover this upcoming match is really important for David, who needs rating points to qualify for the top-8 tournament in London. His motivation in this context will be skyhigh. Kohlschreiber on the other hand is on the autopilot mode right now, having just several tournaments left before the so desired rest. |
| - |
16-Oct-14 |
Robredo - Krajinovic 2:0 (6:3, 6:4) |
H1-3,5 |
2 |
100 |
5% |
+5.0% |
+100 |
189.8% |
2087 |
| Both guys are playing the same pattern of tennis. They move well, stable on the baseline, have sharp serves and reliable return. However Robredo is a little bit better practically in all these components, except only backhand. Krajinovic easily won against Jaziri,but Malek sometimes has a habbit of making so many unforced errors, espicially if to take into account the change of surfaces and climate zones after having played last week in Asia. For such stable baseline players like Krajinovic it is a real present to have such an opponent. Robredo showed an average game against Krstin, however it is a typical behaviour of the Spaniard at the begining of the tournament. Later on he usually plays much better. For Krajinovic to beat the defence of Robredo will be a tough task. The Serb does not have strong heavy ground strokes, while in tactical game the Spaniard is much more experienced. As a result we expect Robredo to win this match on a higher class. |
| - |
14-Oct-14 |
Mannarino - Baghadis 2:1 (2:6, 6:2, 6:4) |
w1 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
+4.8% |
+96 |
184.8% |
1987 |
| Baghdatis has been struggling from injuries during the last couple of months. He retired at Us Open, than again at Napa Challenger several weeks after. And now again he is playing at Stockholm... Marcos Baghdatis is player who gets his results by consistency on the baseline. It is his bread and butter. However stability can be gained by playing professional matches as much as possible. That is why practically always Marcos shows his best tennis only after one week of intensive practise or in the later stages of the tournament. So to expect high quality tennis from him would ne quite optimistic after zero % of playing practice after injuiry. Mannarino on the other hand has shown some quality tennis for the couple of weeks. He is a stable player with good defence and movement around the court. We think that the Frenchman is too tough for Baghdatis now. |
| - |
12-Oct-14 |
Federer - Simon 2:0 (7:6, 7:6) |
W2 |
4.5 |
350 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
180.0% |
1891 |
| It is only the second time in our history when we give the tip with the odds over 3.0. Hopefully it will be as successful as the first time:) There are several factors for Simon in this encounter. First of all Gilles SImon has been playing his best tennis of the season right now showing rally brilliant form. Federer in our view is a little bit overrated now, even despite his win against Djokovic. The serb performed poorly against Federer. Djokovic looked fatigued, struggled in his movement and made lots of unforced errors. Practically all the matches between Simon and Federer were tough and really close. Moreover Simon has alrady won two of their encounters and knows how to play against Federer. Concerning the great form of the Frenchman we expect another close match between these two. For risk averse persons we advice to take handicape +4 for Simon, however more risky bet on Simon's win looks to have a little bit more value. We evaluate the chances of the Frenchman for a win in the region of 35-40%, which makes this bet risky but more than attractive. |
| - |
11-Oct-14 |
Simon - Lopez 2:0 (6:2, 7:6) |
H1-1,5 |
1.93 |
-108 |
5% |
+4.7% |
+93 |
185.0% |
1991 |
| From one point of view Lopez totally deserved his semifinal spot. From the other one he was just simply lucky, as Nadal was under the antibiotics, Isner performed awfully and Youzny was exhausted at he beginning of the deciding set. Simon on the other hand performed tremendously well against Berdych, especially on his serve. Lopez is 2:1 ahead in encounters against Simon, however all his wins he gained on grass, where the Spaniard is virtually a top-10 player. The main value of the tip lies in the area of physical conditions of both players. Lopez looked tired after tough grueling encounter against Youzny. Simon on the other hand was fresh at the end of his match. From our point of view if Simon managed to drain such players like Berdych and Bautista (last week), he should successfully to do the same business with Lopez, who is much weaker in physical aspects than the above mentioned guys. |
| - |
11-Oct-14 |
Djokovic - Federer 0:2 (4:6, 4:6) |
H1-3.5 |
1.93 |
-108 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
180.4% |
1898 |
| Djokovic has been playing probaly his best tennis this year during the last 2 weeks. He serves well and solid, practically does not make doubles, there are little number unforced errors in his baseline exchanges and the return works simply magnificient with practically 90% of returning serves. The only danger in this tip lies in the area of physical conditions of Novak. He was unlucky with the draw getting Kukushkin and Ferrer in their top forms, which off course took a lot of energy out of the Serbian. However he should handle at least one this match even in such not ideal physical conditions. We doubt that Federer is ready to compete with the Djokovic's tempo and stability right now, even despite the possibility of Nole's possible fatigue. |
| - |
08-Oct-14 |
Isner - Lopez 0:2 (3:6, 4:6) |
w1 |
2.04 |
104 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
185.4% |
1998 |
| In our view such high odds for Lopez is closely connected with his win against Nadal. However Rafa was playing under antibiotics due to operation concerns. Who would either play in such situation except Rafa? Nadal is Nadal. No comment. Lopez off course performed well, however he showed nothing special. Isner has shown some class in the serving department in his previous matches and in the overall baseline game as well. His first serve % is in the region of 70% on average. And we all know his first serve... All in all Isner looks like a slight favourite for us. And with the odds of 2,04 it is more than attractive. |
| - |
06-Oct-14 |
Gasquet - Chardy 2:0 (7:6, 6:2) |
H1-2,5 |
1.95 |
-105 |
5% |
+4.8% |
+95 |
190.4% |
2098 |
| Such evaluation of Gasquet from the bookmakers is understandable. The Frenchman lost his two previous encounters in a row to Monaco and Nadal, which is a sign of a bad form from Richard. However we would not estimate Gasquet so badly. Against Monaco the Frenchman was playing some solid tennis, he had lots of chances to win this encouter, but was unlucky in playing important points. And Nadal played probably his best match on the tournament against Gasquet last week. And we know how unstopable Rafa can be when he is in top form. Moreover Richard has plenty of time to make great preparations for this big tournament. He will be fresh, have enough time for practice and should rediscover his form. Moreover Chardy is quite favouravle opponent for Richard, as Gasquet usually performs well against strong servers and hitters. He has everything in his arsenal to show his class against such players. To be exact reliable strong return of serve, stability on the baseline and good peaky serve. The main weakness of Chardy is his backhand. Gasquet on the other hand possesses on of the best backhands in the modern game. And his skew backhand crosses in addition to his sticky defence would be a headache for the strong but unstable ground strokes from Chardy. |
| - |
05-Oct-14 |
Bautista - Dolgopolov 2:0 (6:4, 6:4) |
H1-2,5 |
1.95 |
-105 |
5% |
+4.8% |
+95 |
185.6% |
2003 |
| Dolgopolov has not played for the last 2 months due to his injuiry problems. He did not participate at Us Open and American series of tournaments. In Tokyo last week he played his first professional match in a long time against Jack Sock, which he totally failed. The quality of the tennis from the Ukranian was awful. Especially in the department of unforced errors. The most curious in this story is that we can hardly name Sock a stable player, so such performance from Dolgopolov is simply difficult to understand. In such circumstances Bautista looks like an unfavouravle opponent for Dolgopolov. The Spaniard is stable on the baseline, has really sticky defence and reliable return. We would have no hesitations at all about this bet, but one tricky moment exists. This moment is the injuiry of the Spaniard last week against Simon. Nobody knows how serious his injuiry is, however concerning the fact that Bautista has decided to perform in the tournament we conclude that his injuiry is nothing dangerous. And if it is like that, we expect a comfortable win of the Spaniard. |
| - |
03-Oct-14 |
Simon - Johnson 2:0 (7:6, 6:1) |
H1-2,5 |
1.95 |
-105 |
5% |
+4.8% |
+95 |
180.9% |
1908 |
| Steve Johnson has been playing great tennis this season losing only to really strong opponents, which is a sign of a mature professional player. Nevertheless in our point of view bookmakers are mistaken in their estimations. The opponent of the American is Gilles Simon. Simon is a specific player, whom we can hardly recomend to take in the first rounds of all tournaments. The whole game of the Frenchman totally depends on his feelings and anticipation of the shots. And these parameters can improve only with match practice. That is why Simon is struggling at the begining of all the competitions, as the player has to adapt to new courts, new conditions, new surface. And for the guy who does not have a good serve, strong ground strokes, but who earns his points with stability and baseline game to overcome such difficulties is not an easy task to solve. Even in Tokyo Simon by a miracle won his first two encounters against Bautista and Muller. However his game at the end of the match against Muller has been much improved. Jonhson does not like to play against defensive players like Simon. Steve has already had 2 defeats against Bautista, who is playing very simillar tennis to Simon's. Moreover Steve Johnson's main weakness is his backhand. He just can not attack from this side. And if he wants to break the defence of the Frenchman, he should try to build his attacks only with his massive forehand. However it is not the best tactics, as Johnson in this case would open his right side of the court and would be vulnerable for contattacks, which Simon loves. Nevertheless as Simon is undoubtedly the steadier player of these two, Johnson has no choice, but to use this tactic, which hardly can lead him to victory in this match. As a conclusion we await an easy win for the Frenchman. |
| - |
02-Oct-14 |
Raonic - Melzer 2:0 (6:4, 6:3) |
H2+4,0 |
2.1 |
110 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
176.1% |
1813 |
| Raonic plays well on fast surfaces. His serve works and his forehand is also very reliable. But he has one trouble. His backhand. All his backhand shots are either slice, or errors. His weak backhand also explains his negative balance with left handers. He loses to them in crosses exchange. And here we don’t even mean Nadal. We speak about Verdasco, Nieminen, Melzer. It’s also worth mentioning that Raonic was at the peak of his form at the beginning of summer. The US Series was less favorable for him than Wimbledon. From the other hand, Melzer is a very inconvenient opponent not just because of his left hand. Jurgen couldn’t catch his rhythm. The reason is because of his low ranking position he was always drawn to face very tough contenders. But when he played for Latvia at Davis Cup, he looked very solid. So we expect tough struggle between the Austrian and the Canadian. |
| - |
30-Sep-14 |
Gulbis - Fognini 2:0 (6:3, 6:4) |
H1-2,5 |
1.88 |
-114 |
5% |
+4.4% |
+88 |
181.1% |
1913 |
| There is strange odds from the bookmakers on this match. Fognini is simply a weaker player here if to take inti account that match will be on hardcourts. The Italian has never shown any concistency on such surface. Moreover he has not played for a long time, so to expect some good form from him would be highly problematic. Gulbis on the other hand performed well last week, having lost to Benneteau in the semis. The serve of the Latvian is a monster weapon, his ground strokes are solid and heavy. This encounter would be a difficult one for the Italian even if he will be in top from, which he is not. Fognini simply has no weapons to win this match. |
| - |
30-Sep-14 |
Djokovic - Garcia-Lopez 2:0 (6:2, 6:1) |
TL 19,5 |
1.95 |
-105 |
5% |
+4.8% |
+95 |
176.7% |
1825 |
| There are many factors in favour for the Serbian. Garcia-Lopez is extremely specific player. Usually his results are of a wavelike character. The Spaniards does not possess some strong serve. All the points he earns he earns by his baseline game, which mostly depends on the current form and the amount of match practice Garcia-Lopez has received. That is why the Spaniard rarely can show some quality game at the begining of the tournaments with the change of surfaces. Garcia-Lopez is always struggling in the early stages of the grass court, clay court or hard court parts of the season. Usually he starts showing his class on the second or third week of the clustered tournaments, but not on the first one as he needs plenty of time to adapt to new conditions. Djokovic on the other hand is a little bit underrated by the bookmakers. He totally failed during the American series of tournaments having lost to Nishikori, Robredo and Tsonga... However these mathes were played shortly after his marriage. What other results we should expect? The preparations of the Serbian for the Asian series are much more balanced. He has trained with Raonic, Dimitrov, has worked a lot in the gym. At least we expect him to be not in a bad shape. However to expect the same from Garcia-Lopez would be a luxury. |
| - |
29-Sep-14 |
Pospisil - Rosol 2:0 (6:4, 6:3) |
H1-2 |
1.95 |
-105 |
5% |
+4.8% |
+95 |
172.0% |
1730 |
| Sharp attacking tennis of Rosol needs playing practice to bring the results. Sometimes the Chech can be an uncounquerable tower, but sometimes the other way around he can be an easy target, when he hardly can make 2 shots without making a mistake. Rosol is extremely dangerous when he manages to break through the first two rounds of the tournament. After such transition period he starts to play agressive tennis with some stability. However to win these first two matches for him is not an easy task, especially when his opponent does not give him the time to adapt to new conditions and find his game. And Pospisil is exactlly such type of guy. The canadian is stable right now, serves well, good in return games... Moreover he played last week in Asia in similar conditions, so he should have no adaptations problems. As a result Vasek is a clear favourite for us. |
| - |
26-Sep-14 |
Nieminen - Andujar 2:0 (6:3, 6:4) |
H1-3,5 |
1.85 |
-118 |
5% |
+4.3% |
+85 |
167.2% |
1635 |
| There is no sense to write a lot about this match. Nieminen shows right now really good balanced tennis at indoors. The Finn makes little unforced errors, serves well and is impressive in his return games. His opponent Pablo Andujar showed today some really strange tennis against Przysiezny. His service games had practically no difference from his return games. There is no even average serve in Andujar's arsenal, which is simply inappropriate on indoor courts. The Pole made so many stupid shoots and unforced errors that it was impossible not to win this encounter. Nieminen would not make so many silly errors, therefore should easily win this match. |
| - |
25-Sep-14 |
Becker - Herbert 2:0 (6:4, 7:6) |
H1-2,5 |
1.82 |
-122 |
5% |
+4.1% |
+82 |
163.0% |
1550 |
| In our opinion it is the best prediction of the week. Herbert won against Tomic, but the Australian was suffering the whole match and showed really bad tennis. Despite all these he should have won that encounter having 2 breaks in the final set. Moreover he did not manage to serve the match with matchpoins... Just no comment. Herbert did show absolutely nothing special, but this win sky-rocketed his odds against Becker making him much overrated in comparison to real state of things. These guys played 3 times against each other with 3 easy wins for the German. In our opinion nothing has changed and Becker a clear favourite in this match. Herbert can hardly do any harm to Becker on the baseline, but to win matches exclusively with good serve is higly problematic, especially against guts with good return. |
| - |
25-Sep-14 |
Mathie - Millot 2:1 (6:3, 3:6, 7:5) |
TL21,5 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
158.9% |
1468 |
| Mathie finally starts showing his old stable game, that brings him fame and results. He was classy against Becker, Rosol and Sousa last week in Metz. The match will be held on simillar surface, so Mathie would adapt to it quickly and probably would save his high quality tennis from last week. Millot can not boast of top performances this year. Moreover he withdrew 2 weeks ago because of the injuiry, so to expect good tennis from him will be problematic. Millot does not posess strong serve to hurt Mathie and his usual pattern of game with loading the backhand of the opponent will not be so efficient against the Frenchman, who has versatile backhand. In such circumstances we expect easy win for Mathie |
| - |
24-Sep-14 |
Matosevic - Soeda 2:0 (7:6, 6:4) |
H1-2,5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
163.9% |
1568 |
| Originally during writing this prediction the odds were H-1,5 for Matosevic. However in 10 minutes the odds have decreased sharply, so we propose the H-2,5. Why Soeda has so strong position? We have absolutely no idea... The Japanesse has had no positive reliable results for the last month. So to understand why it is only H-2,5 for Matosevic against him is utterly difficult. All in all the players confess practically identical tennis , but Matosevic posess a little bit more quality in all the areas of baseline game. The Australian just must win this match using his quality advantage. |
| - |
24-Sep-14 |
Pospisil - Monaco 1:2 (5:7, 6:2, 3:6) |
H1-2,5 |
1.94 |
-106 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
159.4% |
1478 |
| I practically see no differnece between our previous successful bet on Pospisil against Gabashvili and this bet. The pattern of tennis from Monaco is simillar to the Russian's. The Argentine is stable on the baseline, he moves good, his return is quite ok, but that is it. His main weakness is his serve, which is a huge problem for him on hard courts. The basic source of points for Monaco is the unforced errors from his opponent. Pospisil on the other hand is quite stable and reliable in the baseline right now, his shoots possesss plenty of topspin, he moves good as well, but he is much stronger on his serve, especially on the first one. Moreover the Canadian has a great record against defensive players such as Hiraldo or Gasquet who confess simmilar tennis on the baseline as Monako does.All in all we guess, that the advantage of Pospisil in his serve will make the difference in this encounter. |
| - |
23-Sep-14 |
Pospisil - Gabashvili 2:0 (6:3, 6:4) |
H1-3,5 |
1.85 |
-118 |
5% |
+4.3% |
+85 |
164.4% |
1578 |
| We are surprised by such odds. Pospisil finally recovered from his injuries and during the last month he showed a lot of quality in his game. The Canadian moves well, has powerful serve and stable game on the baseline. Gabashvili on the other hand is not a natural hard court player. He does not posess strong serve, which is absolutely essential on such surface. To lose his serve 2-3 times a match is normal for him. Off course he is trying to compensate such problematic aspect of his game by good returning, but agaist Pospisil it is just not enough. The canadian plays his service games reliable with no difference who returns. It will be undoubtedly too tough encounter for the Russian. |
| - |
23-Sep-14 |
Tomic - Herbert 1:2 (4:6, 6:3, 6:7) |
H1-2,5 |
1.85 |
-118 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
160.1% |
1493 |
| Tomic loves to play indoors. He has everything to be successful in such conditions. His arsenal includes great strong serve, reliable forehand and backhand, stable return. Moreover the Australian has performed well this season against players with massive serve like Karlovic. The only stuff Herbert can produce well is his seve. In all the other aspects of the game he is weaker than the Australian. In addition to that Bernard enjoys to play against sharp attacking players like Herbert, because he does not know how to perform efficiently in attack. He is a natural tactical player with a great range of tactical shoots with different spins. To play on contrattacks is his favourite pattern of game forcing his opponent to different kinds of errors. For Herbert to win this match only with serve will be higly problematic. |
| - |
22-Sep-14 |
Boleli - Ebden 2:0 (6:4, 6:2) |
H1-3,5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
165.1% |
1593 |
| Boleli has been playing the best tennis of his life. The Italian finally has recovered from his injuries and now is ready to show what he is capable of. Ebden on the other side is totally out of form during the whole season. Boleli was playing in simillar conditions at Davis Cup against Federer. And we have to admit that it was high quality performance from the Italian. Moreover Ebden is playing with plenty of Top spin, which is quite convient for top hitters like Boleli with their flat shots. Right now he is simlply much stronger than the Australian. |
| - |
22-Sep-14 |
Melzer - Cuevas 0:2 (4:6, 6:7) |
ф2+3,5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
160.6% |
1503 |
| Despite the fact, that Melzer has been playing foolish tennis during the last 2 monthts, he is just obliged to perform well on indoor courts. One week ago he played really quality tennis at Davis Cup in simillar conditions against the Latvians. Pablo Cuevas is fairly strong on clay courts, however on fast surfaces he is not as good. The main weakness of Cuevas is his backhand, which explains why he does not have good record against lefties, which is good news for Melzer, who is a lefty. The skew crosses from Melzer's forehand will be tremendously difficult for Cuevas. Moreover Melzer has one of the best first serve returns, which is also bad news for Pablo, who mostly builds his game alongside his strong first serve. |
| - |
19-Sep-14 |
Tsonga - Goffin 1:2 (6:1, 6:7, 5:7) |
H2+3,5 |
1.85 |
-118 |
5% |
+4.3% |
+85 |
165.6% |
1603 |
| The Frenchman is a little bit overrated right now. His previous match against Muller was of questionable quality, as Tsonga was too passive, played so many soft balls and did not serve on his usual standards. Despite the fact, that he won his match it was more the merit of the Muller and his waterfall of errors than the achievement of the Frenchman. Goffin on the other side has his best tennis on his racket in his life during the last 3 months. Moreover the match will be played on slow hard, which is much more suitable for David, who has all his results on slow surfaces. The speedy game of Goffin, his great return and the ability to take balls quick and early will make the sucess in winning baseline points really complicated for Tsonga. |
| - |
19-Sep-14 |
Kanepi - Kirilineko 1:2 (7:6, 2:6, 3:6) |
w1 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
161.4% |
1518 |
| Kirilenko is struggling after injury with her game the whole year. During this season she has only several wins. Moreover she played not so many mathes this season, which makes it comlicated to find her stable baseline game without the playing practice. On the other side Kanepi showed some master game at the US Open not so long ago. Moreover in Seoul his game is progressing from match to match and the only element which needs to be much impoved is the percentage of her first serve. However top players like the Estonian usually develope their serves as the tournament progresses. If the Estonian would serve at least 50% of her first serve, she would easily win this match, as Kirilenko is far away from her best right now. Off course some risks exist in this match, as Kanepi sometimes can play dreadful matches manufacturing lots of illogical unforced errors, however the match is worth betting on it, as her advantages right now overweights her possible pitfalls |
| - |
18-Sep-14 |
Chardi - Struff 1:2 (7:6, 4:6, 3:6) |
H-2,5 |
1.94 |
-106 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
166.4% |
1618 |
| Chardi has many advantages in this match. First of all the Frenchman is simply playing really good right now. In his first round match Chardi was unstoppable in his service games against strong indoor player Mahut. It is even more impressive as the percentage of his first serves was not so high. His forehand was courageous and even backhand was a stable weapon, which is a sign of a good form. Struff on the other hand was participating in clay court challenger last week and his preparations to indoor matches are questionable. From one point of view he managed to go through Lajovic in his first match in Metz, however the Serbian was tired after grueling encounter against Devarman and showed no class against Struff. Chardi is a clear favourite in this match and to win the odds it is enough to break Struff only once and held his serve, where the Frenchman is really good now. |
| - |
17-Sep-14 |
Ivanovic - Azarenka 2:0 (6:3, 6:4) |
H2+2,5 |
1.92 |
-109 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
171.4% |
1718 |
| We are quite surprised by the odds at this match. Undoubtedly, Ivanovic is a great tennis player with probably the best tennis in her career on her racket right now. However, this encounter can hardly be seen as onesided. Azarenka was struggling all year with her injuries, nevertheless the progress in her game is quite visible right now. In Tokio she played an awful first set against Kimiko Date-Krum, however the Belarussian managed to find her shots during this encounter later on and just smashed the Japanese in the second and third sets, which is of couse a really positive sign for her. Moreover, it is always difficult to start new tournaments after long breaks and find your typical game from the beggining of the match, which is some disadvantage for the Serbian. On the other side, Azarenka has already had her first match, got used to the court and to the existing conditions. The match seems to be an encounter with practically equal chances, but with handicape it looks quite valuable bet. |
| - |
14-Sep-14 |
Haas - Delic 3:2 (3:6, 4:6, 6:4, 6:1, 6:4) |
H1-3,5 |
1.94 |
-106 |
5% |
+4.7% |
+94 |
176.4% |
1818 |
| We publish this pick as soon as we've seen it, as the bookies have gone too far here. Mate Delic is a highly talented guy showing his best tennis on clay. He makes really fast progress and he is expected to hit the headlines soon. But...for Haas clay is also his favorite kind of surface. And when he is in form he can beat almost anyone on it. We've already written that Robin is one of the most underestimated guys of his rankings. He is currently ranked 70th, but his real place is at least 30 positions up. The Dutch treat the Davis Cup very seriously, especially taking into account that it's his home tournament. He had more than enough time to get ready for it. Delic obtained very confident win over Sijling. To my great surpirse, Sijling looked very undercooked. All in all, this Dutch has shown nothing for the last 2-3 months and managed to get only a few victories during this period. Haas has easily upset Coric, who is not an inch than Delic at the moment. For clay 5-sets match the handicap is very reasonable. Take into consideration, that Haase lost no his own serve to Coric. And at last. Robin is highly motivated for this match: with the score 1:2 it would be a crucial battle. Robin can either even the score, or lose it all. So the motivation is very high indeed. |
| - |
12-Sep-14 |
Kuznetsov - Elias3:0 (6:2, 6:4, 6:4) |
H1-4.5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
171.7% |
1724 |
| I must admit that I'm not a big fan to bet on Kuznetsov, especially at a negative handicap. But it would be stupid of me to miss this bet. Andrey is a very talented guy, but his play flactuations can be thrilling at time. Moreover, his psychology is rather weak making it challenging for him to play under pressure. Now let's speak about pleasant moments. Elias can't play on hard at all spending all season long on clay. His second serve is a real gift to the aggressive returners, such as Kuznetsov. And finally, it's very important for the Russian to adapt to the surface and get used to the bounce, which he managed to do on his native courts. In this match he is obliged to cover -6.5 handicap. |
| - |
12-Sep-14 |
Gasquet - Berdych3:0 (6:3, 6:2, 6:3) |
H1+2,5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
167.2% |
1634 |
| Many factors in this match speak in favor of Richard Gasquet. First of all, it will be a home match for the Frenchman, on his native courts with the support of his fans. Secondly, Gasquet was blown out of the US Open earlier than the Czech, so he had more time to rest and practice. What comes next is that Berdych has finished his performance at the US Open only a week ago...Usually the players take 2-3 days after the major tournaments to get rid of psychological and mental pressure. What we end up with is that if the best happened Berdych has devoted 3-4 days to training session, notwithstanding the necessity to beat the jet lag, The match is scheduled to take place on clay courts of Roland Garros, rapid change from hard to clay. Their head-to-head's record is almost equal, as well as their class of play. But this time the Frenchman seems to have more advantages, especially with such a handicap. |
| - |
09-Sep-14 |
Nishikori - Cilic 0:3 (3:6, 3:6, 3:6) |
W2 |
2.04 |
104 |
5% |
+5.2% |
+104 |
162.7% |
1544 |
| Ultimately, we've reached the US Open final battle. To say that the two remaining competitors were unexpected would be the understatement of the year. It’s the first final since 2005 with no top four featured. As for our part, we didn’t back Federer and brought his chances for the final to nought, Nadal has withdrawn, Murray and Djokovic faced each other in the quarterfinals. Who really shocked us is Nishikori defeating Novak Djokovic in the semifinals.. And this matchup can’t be taken to the Serb’s credit. He was well under his professional level. And now about the finals. Marin Cilic from Croatia will play Kei Nishikori from Japan. There is no overwhelming favorite in this match, but there are a number of nuances. Kei made it through two very tough encounters against Raonic and Wawrinka and then as if nothing had happened upset Djokovic showing a high level tennis. But there is a limit to everything. If the match longs too much in time, Nishikori is likely to feel exhausted. Cilic, on the contrary, had a much easier route to the final defeating Berdych and Federer. Berdych surrendered almost at the very beginning, while Federer was worn out after his matchup against Monfils. Now some words about Cilic’s serve. It’s really great. His first serve is really high-powered, the second one is also very reliable. Both of them will be very inconvenient for the not too high Japanese. The Croat serves the second serve with a ball bouncing really high causing troubles to the short Kei so that sharp return of the second serve he practiced against Djokovic here won’t work. Also the Japanese play is not without disadvantages. Almost in every set he loses one his serve, sometimes even two. With Cilic it won’t work, as it is very hard to break him back. And finally. Marin plays very aggressive tennis, like Raonic and Wawrinka. With the latter two the Japanese player has faced most of his troubles. |
| - |
06-Sep-14 |
Federer - Cilic 0:3 (3:6, 4:6, 4:6) |
H2+5 |
1.97 |
-103 |
5% |
+4.9% |
+97 |
157.5% |
1440 |
| Let's face it. The bet on Berdych versus Cilic meeting was the worst this month. Marin showed superb tennis leaving no chances to the Czech. This season is probably career best for Cilic. Marin Cilic and Roger Federer have met not so long ago and the Swiss came off victorious in three-sets encounter. But while Federer's play has seen no changes since then, Cilic has made a big step forward. Frankly speaking, Lady Luck helped Roger to defeat Monfils. Federer used all his experience and class to prevail over the Frenchman. Cilic is at his best form hardly falling behind Monfils. I think that the Croat is all capable of taking the match off the Swiss. And the handicap looks even more profitable. |
| - |
04-Sep-14 |
Berdych - Cilic 0:3 (2:6, 4:6, 6:7) |
H1-3 |
1.98 |
-102 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
152.6% |
1343 |
| Currently the both players show very decent level of tennis. But Berdych looks a bit more reliable. Finally, Tomas gained his best form which was hidden for the last two month. So now he resmbles the gone Tomas: very effective serving, motions are compact and quick, strong return game. Berdych also leads in their head-to-heads. Frankly speaking, Cilic has someting to offer against the Czech only on grass. On other surfaces Tomas looks more preferable. One of the main highlights of Berdych is his return game. He is good at returing some of the first serves and thanks to his height he handles well the second ones. Cilic defeated Simon only at the cost of his high-quality second serves. With Berdych it would be another story. The Czech falls behind only with his first serve accuract, while all other components stay on the level. |
| - |
03-Sep-14 |
Wawrinka - Nishikori 2:3 (6:3, 5:7, 6:7, 7:6, 4:6) |
H1-1,5 |
1.97 |
-103 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
157.6% |
1443 |
| I share this tip as early as it's possible. To our mind, it's a very reliable bet. Nishiikori showed awesome tennis against Raonic performing souvenir shots in the last three sets against the Canadian. Nevertheless, I doubt whether he would have enough strength in his match-up against the Swiss. And I have some reasons to do so. First of all, at this stage of the tournament Warinka tends to show his best tennis. Shall he manage to reach the second week he becomes unstoppable. Secondly, back in his meeting with the Canadian Nishikori already looked exhausted. After all, it was the Japanese who did most of the running during those four hours. No doubts, Kei betrayed as a really cunning fox by announcing his physical non-readiness for the tournament due to his injury. But still. Even if he is 100% fit and ready, it's always hard to get through two consequent tough matches. And the last. Wawrinka has won both his previous meetings with Nishikori, which shows that Stan is far from being very convenient for the Japanese. It is closely related to Stan's playing style. He performs deep top spins both from his left and right sides. These slow shots will prevent Kei from fastening the tempo of the match. as he did against Milos Raonic. |
| - |
02-Sep-14 |
Cilic - Simon 3:2 (5:7, 7:6, 6:4, 3:6, 6:3) |
H2+3 |
1.87 |
-115 |
5% |
+4.4% |
+87 |
162.6% |
1543 |
| The two have met back-to-back 4 times before with Simon leading 4-0. It means that the Frenchman is extremely inconvenient for the Croat. It is worth mentioning that Gilles obtained easy victory over Cilic at the Australian Open despite being in a rather poor form. Now Simonis showing brilliant tennis. And generally it's always important for him to get through first two-three rounds to get the feel and touch of the court and of the ball. And the deeper the Frenchman progresses, the better his play gets: he adapted to the court, his return improves and feels the corners of the court. He showed a thrilling match upsetting fourth seed David Ferrer. The Spaniard stared at his opponent in silence. How he dared to break thorugh such defense? I think, it would be a tough match, but Simon has to get it through. Even if it prolonges. So considering this all, we back the French as a slight favorite of the match. |
| - |
02-Sep-14 |
Federer - Bautista 3:0 (6:4, 6:3, 6:2) |
H2+8 |
1.85 |
-118 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
158.3% |
1456 |
| The US Open is in its high. Many match-ups have already been played, but the most interesting is still to be seen. Our attention was driven by the meeting between Roger Federer and Roberto Bautista Agut. Federer comes in as the overwhelming favorite, bur there are a number of nuances to consider. First of all, we think that Federer is a bit overestimated now. Yes, he looks fit and his play is good, but it's not infallible. So far he had no really tough opponents at this tournament. Let's analyse the upcoming clash in detail. First of all, even in his career best times Federer had some troubles against defending players. Take any match against Gillet Simone or David Ferrer. All of them were really tough for the Swiss. Federer plays all matches atacking but if his opponent manages to build strong counterattacking defending wall, it becomes a real challenge for Roger. He starts piling on the mistakes and takes a lot of risk. Bautista belongs to such kind of the inconvenient for Federer opponents. He is very good at returning, he is consistent and moves well. His playing style reminds us of SImon or Ferrer. The Spaniard showed us that he is capable of playing equally and defeating top-level hitters such as Del Potro or Tomas Berdych. |
| - |
01-Sep-14 |
Dimitrov - Goffin 3:1 (0:6, 6:3, 6:4, 6:1) |
Un 38,5 |
1.92 |
-109 |
5% |
+4.6% |
+92 |
163.3% |
1556 |
| Grigor Dimitrov has been impressive so far. He hammered Sela and Harrison. His serve, movments are as good as ever, but his defence really surpises everyone. The Bulgarian is very reliable in this component which became noticeable in his match-up against the Israeli player whose tennis style is similar to that of Goffin. Sela could do nothing to break through the Bulgarian's defence. Souza managed to convert three break points he created on Goffin's serve but lost the match to the Belgian due to his weak service play. Dimitrov keeps his serve with confidence while Goffin tends to lose it several times per match. |
| - |
31-Aug-14 |
Wawrinka - Kavcic A |
H1-6.5 |
1.85 |
-118 |
5% |
+0.0% |
+85 |
158.7% |
1464 |
| Here the logics is trivial. On Grand Slam events Stan can be bet on only after he made it through 2-3 opening rounds. The Swiss is like a lazy bear takes his time to drop into the tournament. But if he gets to the third-fourth round his play changes significantly. Stan feels the courts, the ball bouncing and get used to the event. Kavcic showed very decent tennis, but let's be honest. He displayed nothing outstanding in his matches. Young had a disastrous encounter against the Slovenian player, as well as Chardy...Kavcic is rather consistent, his motions are compact and quick. It's all about his strokes. The lack power and speed. More often he produces soft shots, which is very favorable for Wawrinka. He likes to keep the initiative in his hands and control the play. |
| - |
30-Aug-14 |
Nishikori - Mayer 3:0 (6:4, 6:2, 6:3) |
H2+5,5 |
1.97 |
-103 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
158.7% |
1379 |
| Back at the beginning of the event the Japanese claimed his poor readiness for it. Judging by his words, his toe injury hampered his preparation and he gained no fitness form. Yes, he has easily upset Odesnik and Andujar, who are probably the easiest opponents in first rounds draw. Anujar has actually withdrawn. Mayer maintains food form all season long, serving well and boasting enough consistency. We back the Argentinian in this match. The best-of-three format and hot weather foreacst makes Mayer look even more advantageous. |
| - |
30-Aug-14 |
Karlovic - Granollers 2:3 (6:7, 7:6, 6:7, 6:3, 4:6) |
H1-3 |
2.02 |
102 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
163.7% |
1479 |
| We've been thinking long about this bet as there were too many outside factors to impact the outcome of the encounter. First of all, Karlovic isn't a hot-loving player. And in such weather conditions it wasn't desirable to be on the Croat at all. But as the match is scheduled to the afternoon, when the sun goes down and playing conditions become more favorable for tennis we decided to take it. The Croat is capable of using it to his advantage. Another issue speaking in Karlovic's favor is two days rest. Fresh Ivo can perform really well. Granollers isn't very ordinary tennis player. He is consistent and smart. That's it. Yes, he has beaten Melzer, but the Austrian is his dream opponent. Marcel simply hit the ball over the net and the Austrian made one mistake after another. Moreover, Granoollers has no powerful serve and lose it 1-3 times in every single match. Playing Karlovic he won't afford such luxury. Ivo will be aggressive in returning the second serve and keeping his own. In his head-to-head with Nieminen the Croat showed that he can convert break points. And this despite the fact that the Finn on hard is ranked higher than Granollers. The offered handicap looks reasonable for the best-of-three format applied at the tournament.. |
| - |
28-Aug-14 |
Mayer - Ebden 3:0 (6:1, 6:3, 6:4) |
Un 38,5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
168.7% |
1579 |
| For now total market at this tournament doesn't make us happy. But this bet looks promising. Mayer is a much better server, it's very tough to break his serve. Furthermore, Ebden is playing very softly which can be efficient against Tobias Kamke, wjo has no powerful and reliable shots. But if you face off aggressive Mayer, this tactics won't work. The Argentinian is looking forward to get a soft shot to hit it back by his booming forehand. The bet on total leaves much chances for the Mayer's victory even in 4 sets, but actually we think that 3 straight sets will be more than enough. |
| - |
28-Aug-14 |
Kohlschreiber- Llodra (6:2, A) |
H1-6,5 |
2.02 |
102 |
5% |
+0.0% |
+102 |
164.2% |
1489 |
| Despite his confident win against Gimeno-Traver, Llodra showed no play in his encounter. Traver was near to "dead" with no hard head-to-head for the last month. But even with such a play the Spaniard manaaged to convert two break points. The USA courts are not that fast as the French male prefers to play on. So his victory over Traver is more attributable to the Spaniard's failure rather then achievement of the French opponent. Moreover, the match is scheduled to the morning when it's very hot. Hot and humid is not the best weather conditions for the aging Frechman. |
| - |
27-Aug-14 |
Smyczek - Krajinovic3:1 (4:6, 6:3, 6:2, 7:6) |
H1-1,5 |
1.97 |
-103 |
5% |
+4.9% |
+97 |
164.2% |
1387 |
| Krajinovic is a rising star on men's circuit. He made a great breakthrough within the last year. Unfortunately, all his career best records were achieved on clay...Not very often had he played on hoard courts. Yes, he qualified for the US Open, but his route was one of the easiest. Smyczek had played the US Series on a decent level. He is more experienced hard-court player and the match will be on his native land. His current physical state also causes no doubt. Considering arelevent records on hard, we bet on Smyczek as on the evident favorite in the upcoming encounter. |
| - |
27-Aug-14 |
Berlocq- Sela 3:1 (6:1, 3:6, 2:6, 5:7) |
H2-2,5 |
1.85 |
-118 |
5% |
+4.3% |
+85 |
159.3% |
1290 |
| Dudi Sela had a good start of the US Open Series. His performance was at the top level. Berlocq retired from the tournament in Umag with an injury. Then he missed almost all the US Series but for one single match against Janowicz in which he looked undercooked. Generally speaking, the guys are equal contenders playing the same tennis style. But at the moment Sela is in better form, and his achievements on hard are more impressive. That's why we suggest that you back an Israeli. |
| - |
27-Aug-14 |
Joao Souza - Dancevic 3:2 (7:6, 3:6, 6:2, 4:6, 7:6) |
Un 38,5 |
1.97 |
-103 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
150.1% |
1205 |
| I was really surprised by this betting line. Dancevic had no high-quality match on the current US Series. While Souza showed very decent tennis this week. Last US Open the Portuguese player made a sensation, and this time his tennis at least isn't worse. Moreover, the Canadian has troubles facing off defending players. In both encounters against Donald Young, who style is quite similar to that of Souza, the Canadian couldn't make up anything. The total bet promises good winnin chances even if the Portuguese loses one set. So the bet is very promising for us. |
| - |
27-Aug-14 |
Bautista - Haider-Maurer 3:2 (5:7, 7:6, 1:6, 7:5, 6:1) |
Un 33,5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
160.1% |
1305 |
| The logics of this bet is simple. Haider-Maurer plays 80% of this season on clay with no single warm-up match at the US Series. And generally he has no significant victories on hard for all his career, except one against Gulbis. But the Lett is full of surprises. Moreover, Bautista is very inconvenient for the Austrian. He serves well and thus offsets the main trump card of Andreas - his serve. What is more, the Austrian has a very weak backhand. While the Spaniard who boasts variable and consistent backhand will simply put pressure on the opponent's left side forcing him make mistakes. |
| - |
26-Aug-14 |
Nedovyesov - McGee 3:1 (6:4, 2:6, 1:6, 6:7) |
H1-1,5 |
1.97 |
-103 |
5% |
+4.9% |
+97 |
165.1% |
1405 |
| We decided to publish another two predictions after qualification. Nedovyesov, to our mind, is strongly underestimated. This fellow shows better tennis with every season and lately had no disastrous matches. Last week he showed a very decent head-to-head against Vasselin: booming serve, reliable return. Hard is his surface which suits him best due to his powerful service play and forehand shots. James McGee is a hard stone and a good player too, but he has nothing to show but for his consistent shots at the baseline and good physical form. The player from Kazakhstan, on the contrary, played equal Vasselin, Haase and Lu. McGee defeated Millot and Odesnik, who evidently weaker than Nedovyesov these days. The Kazakh's service play is much better, he is more powerful and seemingly has no problems with backhand. So McGee would hardly press him for mistakes as he is used to. For us Nedovyesov is an evident favorite in this match. |
| - |
26-Aug-14 |
Isner- Giron 3:0 (7:6, 6:2, 7:6) |
Un 36,5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
160.2% |
1308 |
| Do you know at least anything about Marcos Jiron? We don't. But why such a big total bet? The question is simple. Isner withdrew from the Winston-Salem Open with a sprained ankle. On the other hand, John is showing very decent tennis at the moment. The US Open Series proved it. As far as his injury goes, John could use the tournament in Winston-Salem to warm up before the US Open. And probably he withdrew from it to get ready for tough struggle on his native land. Secondly, he closed up a match against Kukushkin very solidly and announced about his decision immediately after it, so I don't think that there is something serios about his trauma. Thirdly, he has at least 4-5 days to make a full recovery by means of modern medical treatment. And finally. In the worst case he can take analgetics and close the match up in straight sets. So there is a bit of risk, but the advantages of the bet outnumer it. |
| - |
26-Aug-14 |
Pospisil - Bolelli 2:3 (6:2, 4:6, 2:6, 6:3, 3:6) |
H1-5 |
1.97 |
-103 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
155.7% |
1218 |
| Vasek Pospisil performed really impressive on the US Series. Had he got some more luck, he would have made a real break-through! But Gasquet and Federer in the opening rounds - that's too much. But even in these tough encounters Vasek managed to offer some struggle to his opponents. Finally, he's in decent physical form. The serve works, the retrun is on the level, the motions are efficient. Bolleli had played a lot this season, especially on clay. He was on his peak at Roland Garros. Now I doubt his abilities. As it's very difficult to maintain good play for a long time. So in my view, the Italian has no real odds in this encounter. |
| - |
26-Aug-14 |
Tsonga - Monaco 3:1 (6:3, 4:6, 7:6, 6:1) |
Un 33,5 |
1.94 |
-106 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
160.7% |
1318 |
| The two competitors have met 4 times before, with Tsonga leading the head-to-head series with an unblemished 4-0 record! Moreover, the French male declared the Argentinian to be a very convenient opponent for him. But for his consistency Monaco has nothing to boast of. Moreover, Jo can easily foresee his competitor's tactics: no special service play, nothing special in rallies. So considering this all and Frenchman's decent form we take this match for betting. |
| - |
25-Aug-14 |
Murray - Haase 3:1 (6:3, 7:6, 1:6, 7:5) |
H2+8,5 |
2.12 |
112 |
5% |
+5.6% |
+112 |
165.7% |
1418 |
| In my view, Haase is capable of offering struggle to Murray in this match. He is equipped with a good serve and decent return. Their head to head history isn't that simple and currently stands at 2-1 in Murray’s favour. But the Dutch is very inconvenient opponent to Murray. It won't be easy to press him to make errors. Robin is rather consistent, he has no troubles with both backhand and forehand shots. I think that he is one of the most undervalued players in tour. No doubts, he isn't as good as the British, but is he really weaker by +8,5? I wouldn't be so sure. |
| - |
22-Aug-14 |
Goffin- Janowizc 0:2 (4:6, 2:6) |
H1-1,5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
160.1% |
1306 |
| Goffin looks really edgy. Tennis of this Belgian player leaves a very profound impression: the serve works, the shots are consistent, the return is also reliable. Janowicz in his turn doesn't fall behind and picks it up with every single match. But this match has some delicate nuances. Firstly, we see no reasons for Janowicz to strain every sinew in this match. The Pole has already played two tough and valid encounters against Souza and Vasselin. And considering the start of the US Open next Monday, Janowicz risks by taking this match to hurry his preparation for the important major event by spending all the efforts at the less important minor tournament. Last year the Pole lost in the first round of the US Open. It means that this year any received points will count and will enable the player to rise up the rankings. Goffin played the tournament in one breath until he got on Nieminen. It looked like he did some training rather then playing a head-to-head. Evidently, he has no physical troubles. What is more, Goffin is currently rather good at serves returning, which would make the task for the Pole with the key tool of serving much harder. |
| - |
19-Aug-14 |
Rola - Odesnik 2:0 (7:6, 6:3) |
H1+1,5 |
1.94 |
-106 |
5% |
+4.7% |
+94 |
165.1% |
1406 |
| To be honest, this betting line has knocked me out. We thought that Rola would be seen as a favorite of the
match, but…Yes, Odesnik has upset currently strong Bolleli, but the Italian has just arrived from clay
courts and immediately dashed to hard…7 double faults and obscure tennis from Bolleli has secured
Odesnik a spot in the next round. As for me, I think that Rola is a much stronger opponent who possesses
powerful service, strong and sharp shots. And his ranking position is 100 positions higher. Last week he
warmed up and defeated Donskoy. Then he displayed a real show against Benetto. Acclimatization is also
left behind and he got used to hard surface. So I see no real obstacles for the Slovenian to come off
victorious, particularly with such a handicap. |
| - |
16-Aug-14 |
Ferrer - Robredo 2:1 (6:4, 3:6, 6:3) |
H1-2,5 |
2.12 |
112 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
160.4% |
1312 |
| This bet is a typical example of how ordinary punters are used to behave. Robredo has defeated Djokovic
– so let’s place all we have on him. After resounding victories, the odds in the next matches for
underdogs, Robredo in our case, start decreasing due to the big amount of money bet on him. Personally I
reckon that Tommy is overvalued by high expectations and huge odds. Mildly speaking, Ferrer has been
far from his best tennis lately. Nevertheless, for such guys as David it’s a matter of routine during the
warm-up season. The more he plays even such long-lasting matches as he had here in Cincinnati with
Kohlschreiber, the better. He looked fine with Youzhny and I think that he would step up a bit more in
the match against Robredo. The both play almost equal tennis, although the game by David is more
balanced. His return play is better, backhand is more dangerous and consistent. He also dominates
completely in their head-to-head encounters. And the last. I’m more than sure that the bookies had
initially overestimated odds for Robredo, considering his win over Djokovic and typical behavior of
bettors. Now as it has hit rock bottom, we advise you to play the reverse. At least, you’ll have good
chances of succeeding. |
| - |
16-Aug-14 |
Murray - Federer 0:2 (3:6, 5:7) |
w1 |
1.87 |
-115 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
170.4% |
1412 |
| I’ve been a bit slow with today’s mailout, any meanwhile the odds got higher. For Roger it’s a second
consequent week of tight schedule. Last week he gave it up to Tsonga in the final match. It is more
attributable to the Swiss exhaustion, rather than due to Frenchmale’s wonderful tennis. For the last decade
he had 3 tough sets with Cilic, 3 with Ferrer, 3 with Pospisil and 3 with Monfils. I can barely explain how
he managed to prevail over Monfils yesterday. Logically, the outcome should have been something
different. Still, experience is a very important stuff. Tennis relationships between Federer and Murray are
not that simple. Andy shows slow tennis with perfect defence. Currently he’s in his peak form, the best in
this season. I don’t believe that this match will be easy for the both. And I doubt that Roger would
manage to pull through another difficult encounter. |
| - |
15-Aug-14 |
Williams - Pennetta 2:0 (6:2, 6:2) |
H2+6 |
1.94 |
-106 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
170.4% |
1512 |
| This bet reflects logical expectations and our betting experience, rather than the recent results shown by
the two tennis players. But more facts speak in favor of Pennetta, despite her not that ideal tennis. First of
all, historically Serena always badly performs at Cincinnati. There are several reasons for that. First of
them is tennis tournaments calendar. After the Canadian Masters 1000 you have to fly to the hot
Cincinnati…Two consequent events with almost no rest…For Serena, considering her constitution and
age, it’s a very inconvenient format. Very often she was brushed aside here in the second or third round.
What is more, the climate of Cincinnati is very humid and hot, the hard court is slower than usual. So
playing conditions are very tough. Keep in mind, that it will be the third American tournament for Serena.
So she is likely to have accumulated exhaustion. Facing her own sister in the semifinal in Toronto Serena
hardly managed to prevail, then here in Cincinnati she barely dispatched Samantha Stosur, although a
fortnight ago the Australian rival took only two games from Serena. Even yesterday she had all chances
for success but for her frayed nerves that let her down at the key moments. And finally…the match is
scheduled for the daytime when the sun is the hottest in America. And in these circumstances it would be
very hard to play against such a grasping opponent as Pennetta. |
| - |
13-Aug-14 |
Seppi - Giraldo 2:1 (4:6, 6:2, 7:5) |
W1 |
1.94 |
-106 |
5% |
+4.7% |
+94 |
175.4% |
1612 |
| The first Masters 1000 event in Toronto, part of the US Open Series, is left behind. It was rather
successful for us, by the way. Now it’s time to move to the hot and sunny Cincinnati. Our attention was
drawn by the Seppi vs Giraldo match. It seems like the both possess almost equal chances for success. But nevertheless there are some peculiarities which are of great interest to us. First of them is their last head to head at Roland Garros. The betting line for that match resembled this one. But at the moment all bettors supported the player from Colombia taking into account the physical state of Giraldo. And how wrong they were! Seppi easily upset Santiago although clay had always been the most inconvenient surface for him. Personally for me, Seppi looks more reliable on hard than Giraldo. The two play equal tennis: good return, brilliant defence, bearable tennis insight, good movements along the court. But still Seppi has some benefits. His first serve is much better than that of Giraldo, he shows more variations of it. Secondly, Seppi seems to be more mentally stable, while Santiago is likely to hit the balls out if something goes wrong. Thirdly, his encounter against Dodig last week showed that the Italian is in good shape now and his loss to the Croat was a mere accident. |
| - |
11-Aug-14 |
Robredo - Sock 2:0 (7:6 6:3) |
H1-2 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
170.7% |
1518 |
| In my view, Jack Sock’s odds are overvalued a bit. He upset Melzer in Toronto, but the Austrian player
always appears to be “dead” at the beginning of the US Open Series gaining shape as the tournament
progresses. Then he showed a thrilling tennis against Raonic, but Milos evidently was not showing his
best tennis. Tommi Robredo looked not bad last week having played high-quality tennis against Simon,
Dimitrov and Kohlschreiber. Sock can hardly handle consistent defending players like Bautista, Hewitt or
Matosevic. But for the match with Matosevic whose injury forced him to withraw, there are no other
victories over such players on Sock’s account. And Robredo also belongs to this category. He is
consistent, moves well and is good at defence. Moreover, his service play is not bad either. Sock’s main
problem is his backhand shots. While Robredo likes to put pressure on the opponent’s backhand thus
forcing him make errors or switching it to forehand. This tactics is not comfortable for the American. |
| - |
09-Aug-14 |
Raonic - Lopez 1:2 (4:6, 7:6, 3:6) |
H2+3 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
+4.8% |
+96 |
166.2% |
1428 |
| The recent matches by Lopez have been very convincing: booming serve, good movements, especially for
his constitution, net play doesn’t let him down. The only minus is his powerful forehand. At times it
betrays him. But still he shows a top level professional tennis now. All in all I think that this season is the
best in Lopez career. He has significantly improved his movements and psychological aspects. Raonic
also displays good tennis which makes him hazardous rival too. But Lopez has some hidden cards in his
sleeve. Firstly, he is lefty. Raonic has been playing only right handers during the last fortnight, having
adapting to the right-hand service variations...And it’s not that easy to readjust to the new types of serve
with new kinds of spins. Secondly, Lopez often uses serve and volley approach which is not very
convenient for Raonic, considering his poor passing shots. |
| - |
09-Aug-14 |
Makarova - Vandeweghe 2:1 (6:1, 4:6, 6:1) |
H1-3 |
1.93 |
-108 |
5% |
+4.7% |
+93 |
161.4% |
1332 |
| Yesterday Vandeweghe with Jankovic tormented each other to death. The day before yesterday
Vandeweghe had a crazy match against Ivanovic, then another one with Jankovic where the American
player celebrated the victory as Jankovic could barely move by the end of the event. Probably, the fight
with Stevens in the previous round had worn her out completely. Obviously, Vandeweghe was tired as
well. In the final set the girls had won only some of their own serves, the majority of them were broken.
And this is with the American service play! Now she has only 2 days to recharge batteries and two
matches difficult both physically and mentally must have left a negative imprint on Coco Vandeweghe’s
play, especially considering her impressive parameters which make it more difficult for her to recuperate
than other light weight female players. |
| - |
08-Aug-14 |
Azarenka - Watson 2:0 (6:2. 6:4) |
H1-4 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
156.8% |
1239 |
| This bet has many pros and a number of cons, but still it has some validity so I decided to publish it. What
talks in favor of Watson is her crazy three-hour match against Cibulkova. And her win is more
attributable to Cibulkova who made millions of simple mistakes at deciding moments. The British
number one has won two qualifying matches and in the first round obtained a hard-fought win over
Smitkova. She has definitely accelerated exhaustion and I wouldn’t even think long about this bet, but
there are some tricky issues. First of them is weather. They forecast rain in Montreal and the match is
scheduled to the afternoon. So probably (what is undesirable for us) the match will be postponed to the
next day. In this case Watson gets another day for rest. At the same time Azarenka is only gaining form
and confidence. She displays rather reliable tennis these days, but with no bygone shine. Nevertheless, -4
handicap is well within her reach she must cover against Heather even in her today’s condition. So
generally I would dare to risk as the number of pluses outweighs minuses. |
| - |
07-Aug-14 |
Dimitrov - Robredo 2:1 (7:5, 5:7, 6:4) |
H2+2,5 |
2.15 |
115 |
5% |
+5.8% |
+115 |
152.3% |
1149 |
| Last week Dimitrov withdrew from the Washington Open when he was diagnosed with flu. Here in
Toronto the Bulgarian is in play, but his yesterday match against Young left many issues unresolved. The
first set was a disaster for Dimitrov who lost 5 games in row, hitting all balls three meters out. Then
judging by the score line the Bulgarian got a confident win, but…We don’t agree with this judgment.
Young had all chances for success, but he simply gifted 2 of 3 breakpoints to Gregor. At the very end the
Bulgarian player started to show a much better tennis, looking more reliable and somehow softer.
Unfortunately for the American, he can’t handle soft balls as he fails to generate force himself. So all in
all Dimitrov progressed to the next round only because of his higher level, rather than his play. At the
same timet Robredo has already easily upset two strong opponents Kohlschreiber and Simon. The
Spaniard showed perfect consistency on his serve. So for me he is a favorite in the upcoming match, the
handicap will only back the bet up. |
| - |
06-Aug-14 |
Murray - Kyrgios 2:0 (6:2, 6:2) |
H1-3,5 |
1.8 |
-125 |
5% |
+4.0% |
+80 |
146.0% |
1034 |
| Currently Andy Murray is outside the top 8. Unless he does his best, he’ll left outside the year-end Finals
as well. After Wimbledon Murray moved to Miami where he heartily prepared for the US Open Series.
His motivation is very high, so I believe that he is in good form now. Yesterday Kyrgios showed nothing
special but for his solid service play. Giraldo failed the match, having flubbed his shots and his service
play. But even with such tennis he had odds to upset the Australian. Murray is one of the best returners in
tour, moreover aggressive Kyrgios is a very convenient opponent for him. I think that Murray would do
everything Giraldo did, but with his defence and active serve he looks as an undisputed favorite in this
contest. |
| - |
06-Aug-14 |
Simon - Thiem 2:1 (3:6, 6:4, 6:0) |
w1 |
1.8 |
-125 |
5% |
+4.0% |
+80 |
142.5% |
954 |
| This Saturday Thiem played in Kitzbuhel final, now on Monday he’ll face Simon. Clay has changed for a
hard court, long flight, jet lag, no time to adapt to a new surface…And despite the fact that Simon
withdrew because of injury nearly two weeks ago, he was the first to arrive in Toronto as early as the 30th
of July. 4-5 days is more than enough to get acclimated and get used to an upgraded surface. Moreover,
his slow tennis is very uncomfortable for Thiem who prefers to play aggressive style with a great number
of errors. Also don’t forget that it would be a hard court contest with Simon feeling home on this type of
surface. |
| - |
05-Aug-14 |
Giraldo - Kyrgios 0:2 (6:7, 5:7) |
w1 |
1.8 |
-125 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
138.5% |
874 |
| At the Washington Open Giraldo looked just awesome! Frankly speaking, I was surprised by his match
with Pospisil. The Columbian moved well, was good at return and performed consistently. For Kyrgios it
was the first match after the Wimbledon Championships... In fact, his aggressive tennis style requires a
lot of practice to adapt to the court and gain confidence. Lately, as we know, there was not enough of it.
And finally. Kyrgios tends to prefer to dictate the rules which suits Santago Giraldo completely. The
Columbian’s motions are perfect and he has no troubles aiming the opponent’s strength back to himself.
He defeated Estrella in straight sets and showed a thrilling match against Pospisil. The latter switched to a
smoother tactics only at the end of the encounter thus inviting Giraldo to attack... |
| - |
05-Aug-14 |
Bautista - Lopez 0:2 (6:7, 3:6) |
H1-2 |
1.94 |
-106 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
143.5% |
974 |
| This week Lopez showed something inexplicable against Estrella...Evidently, his peak form was on grass
courts at Wimbledon. Then Feliciano decided to play on the European clay courts, but without much
effect. As a matter of fact, Lopez usually displays solid play with the US Open around the corner. He
schedules his training session to approach it in peak form after the grass portion of the season and to
achieve his best results. And of course, it’s very hard to support such a perfect Wimbledon shape for long,
so the US Series Lopez usually commences not that well. Bautista feels confident facing the servers. He is
a good returner, consistent, moves well and hits solid passing shots. He had enough time to warm up. And
the last. Bautista has no difficulties playing left-handed opponents, as his consistent booming backhand
allows him to hit down the line very successfully. |
| - |
04-Aug-14 |
Paire - Falla 2:1 (6:7. 6:4, 6:2) |
H1-2 |
1.92 |
-109 |
5% |
+4.6% |
+92 |
148.5% |
1074 |
| I decided to share this bet with you as well. It appeared only after the qualification. Paire has suffered
knee injury all season long. Because of it he missed or failed a great number of matches as he could
hardly get back in form and tune to his playing rhythm. Nevertheless, judging by his latest outcomes he
slowly gets back into condition. Tight fight with Karlovic and victory over currently strong Duckworth
are good signs. The fact that he had to come through qualifying matches in Toronto is very beneficial for
him, I think. He acclimated to the courts, played some matches to gain confidence on this surface. And
it’s very important for him as for an attacking player. Falla, as a rule, starts accelerating in a week or two,
gaining peak of his form at the US Open. In Washington he looked rather obscure. The French male is
now good at serving, having fired 32 aces for the last two matches, which means 8 aces in one set. Pretty
nice. The offered handicap looks sweet. So unless the French fails at some moment, he’ll get what he
needs. |
| - |
03-Aug-14 |
Pospisil - Giraldo 2:1 (6:7, 6:3, 6:4) |
H1-1,5 |
1.98 |
-102 |
5% |
+4.9% |
+98 |
143.9% |
982 |
| Vasek was in good form even in Atlanta. Here in Washington he managed to improve it a bit more. I
really adored his yesterday’s performance against Berdych. It may come as a surprise but the Canadian
moved better and looked more reliable on the baseline. Giraldo has upset the exhausted Becker and
inconsistent Estrella. His playing fighres are also very high, but there is one but. Giraldo tends to dislike
playing the servers, those who strongly keep their service. Santiago prefers to play on the baseline, he is
consistent but with no outstanding serve...3-4 breaks in a match is a routine for him. Another case is that
it would not be easy to break Pospisil’s serve. At the same time he’ll surely make mistakes on his own
serve, which is not powerful and serves more his tactics. |
| - |
02-Aug-14 |
Thiem - Goffin 2:1 (6:4, 1:6. 3:6) |
H1-1,5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
139.0% |
884 |
| These days Dominic Thiem shows awesome tennis. Playing on his native courts, the Austrian performs better with every single match. He has already come victorious in 19 consequent challenges and keeps playing fourth week in a row without a stop. And although the majority of these matches were not very tough for him, they are not gone without a mark. Today the Belgian male hit the jackpot against Gonzales who had every chance to progress to the final. But the Argentinian who had a difficult path through qualifying matches and made it to the semifinal, started fulminate mistakes at the very end. I think that the strongest point in Goffin’s tennis is his return play. Another issue is that Thiem has a powerful serve and can easily defend it. So for Goffin it would be a real challenge to upset such a hitter. That’s why for me Thiem is a favorite to the final. |
| - |
01-Aug-14 |
Nishikori - Lacko 2:1 (6:2, 2:6, 6:3) |
Un20,5 |
1.94 |
-106 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
144.0% |
984 |
| Yesterday Nishikori played against Querrey and showed brilliant tennis. In my view, this was the best
match on the US series so far, where both the Japanese and the American displayed high-quality play. For
Nishikori hard is a favorite surface as grass is too fast him, whereas on clay he lacks stamina a bit. I’ve
viewed some matches with Lacko in Atlanta. He is a solid player but with nothing remarkable… Lacko is
good at keeping the ball in play, he is rather consistent. But he’s too smooth on hard which is his main
drawback. Yes, we remember that he has seen off Lu, but this Asian player is so inconsistent and at times
his tennis is so awful, that such fluctuations are very typical of him. At the same time when he played
Sock in Atlanta it became evident that if the Slovak’s opponent leads the game and makes no mistakes,
the former gets in a troublesome position. Lacko is an average server. And if we consider that he’ll face
one of the best returner in tour, we’ll understand that he has nothing to offer against Nishikori. The
Japanese owns consistency, he’s better on the baseline, better at serving and returning. It’s very unlikely
that Lacko will score many points on his serve. Generally, I tend to believe that Nishikori is quite capable
of making 2-3 breaks in this match. |
| - |
30-Jul-14 |
Gasquet - Sela 2:0 (6:3, 6:2) |
H1-3,5 |
1.85 |
-118 |
5% |
+4.3% |
+85 |
149.0% |
1084 |
| For me this bet looks very sweet. Sela has been in play for two weeks in a row by now. He contested in
Atlanta final, had one day to rest and then another match on Washington courts. Dudi Sela style is very
energetic, he moves a lot and gains points in rallies from the baseline. Such opponents are very
comfortable for Gasquet. Richard himself is a very consistent player, variable, with a much better service
play. And when he is fresh enough he is able of showing a lot. There were 16 break points in the last
match Sela-Grot. While the latter is not that strong on the baseline. Taking into account Sela’s exhaustion
and lack of powerful serve, I would bet on Gasquet. The French is obliged to offer long rallies and come
out victorious due to his higher tennis class and skills. |
| - |
29-Jul-14 |
Anderson - Donskoy 2:0 (6:3, 6:4) |
H2+4 |
1.94 |
-106 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
144.8% |
999 |
| Last week when Kevin Anderson was easily ousted by the Dutchman De Bakker, I was shocked to death.
De Bakker didn’t show anything special and solid Becker upset him with no fight. Winning stats looked
overwhelming, considering South African’s usual results. The “dead” Dutchman received 13 break points
in 2 sets. No comment. Donskoy showed good tennis yesterday against Tiafi who also wasn’t bad: good
service play and magnificent shots at times. I doubt that Anderson found a way to improve his play
dramatically within one week, especially with no practice. So I back the Russian. |
| - |
27-Jul-14 |
Izner - Sock 2:0 (7:5, 6:4) |
H1-2 |
1.97 |
-103 |
5% |
+4.8% |
+97 |
149.8% |
1099 |
| Sock has prevailed in the last two encounters between the counterparts, but both of them were on grass
which isn’t favorable surface to Izner. As usual, John isn’t showing his best at the very start of the
tournaments. He hardly sailed through Ginepri, and the first set with Matosevic was a challenge too. But
nevertheless, in the second set against the Australian John switched to his decent tennis and looked very
energetic on the baseline. Sock had no problems upsetting all his opponents. But we can’t but mention
that he was lucky to get very comfortable rivals. Both Gonzalez and Michael Venus are rather weak on
hard courts. Lacko wasn’t impressive either. The Slovak played very smoothly on his serve thus allowing
the American to dictate the rules. But still Lacko managed to break two serves by Sock missing all other
opportunities to do this. Considering John’s service play, the -2 handicap looks delicious. Izner seems to
be in good shape, the surface is beneficial for him too. Also he has more chances to break his fellow’s
serve. And even shall there be two tiebreaks we can have our money back. So I would say that the bet
could be very profitable. |
| - |
26-Jul-14 |
Becker – De Bakker 2:0 (6:4, 6:2) |
H1-2,5 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
+4.8% |
+96 |
144.9% |
1002 |
| Unfortunately, during the US Series the bookmakers publish the betting lines in a very inconvenient time,
so we also have to adjust and send our tips at that time too. But still this tip is very sweet. De Bakker can
hardly ever show decent tennis on hard. The Dutchman is more professional on clay or grass courts. Hard
doesn’t suit him. Certainly we don’t forget that yesterday he defeated Kevin Anderson from South Africa,
but Kevin showed unusually bad play. Probably the key tool in De Bakker’s arsenal is his service play.
But it’s too little to succeed on hard. One also has to possess consistency. Starting from the grass season,
Becker has been in a rather good shape. He can boast of consistent baseline play, energetic serve and
good return. In my opinion, Becker is simply well-balanced now, there are fewer black spots in his play
and what’s more he will contest on his favorite surface. |
| - |
25-Jul-14 |
Fognini - Coric 2:1 (5:7, 7:6, 6:3) |
H1-4,5 |
1.94 |
-106 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
140.0% |
906 |
| With no doubt, Borna Coric is one of the most gifted players of his generation and even among his elder
fellows. The Croat is only 17 now and he’s already reached the ATP quarter final. Very impressive for his
age. Borna worthily beat Zeballos and Vasselin. The latter made numerous errors in the first set and then
did not use the chances on the Croat’s serve thus failing that match. Playing against Zeballos, Coric
looked better, but again. The Argentinian was not in his best, proving again that this season is far from his
career best so far. Fognini had a good contest again Montanes. Of course, Fabio is known for his streaky
temperament, but still. Practically every detail speaks in favor of the Italian in this match. We don’t
regularly bet at -4,5 handicap, but now we can’t let it go. First of all, Fognini is honestly stronger; his
playing quality moved him into top 10 on clay this season. Secondly, the tournament in Umag is
considered to be one of the most difficult in terms of physical conditions. Last year many competitors could not stand two sets because of exclusively high humidity and temperature. Luckily it’s not that hot in Croatia these days, but the relative humidity is still 80-85 percent. That is too much. It’s very difficult to play in such weather conditions, even at night. Coric is aged only 17. He has already had 2 tough matches in this mayhem. Will he manage to pull off another victory? I don’t think so. The only challenge for the Italian in this match is Fognini himself. At times he shows something inexplicable on courts. It’s very difficult to predict his behavior. But despite this, if we consider all pros and cons, we’ll run to the conclusion that Fabio Fognini shall be a favorite in this match. |
| - |
24-Jul-14 |
Delbonis - Bellucci 0:2 (4:6, 4:6) |
H1-2,5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
145.1% |
1006 |
| In the previous round Bellucci played Gregor Melzer and his performance was far from ideal. The
Brazilian made a lot of mistakes and the easy victory he pulled off is more attributable to his opponent’s
poor results who presented Tomas with two games on his serve in each set. The rivals have already met
twice this year. The first event was won by the Argentinian fellow, although Tomas was in a better from
than now and the performance took place on his home court. In their second meeting Tomas came out
victorious, but then Delbonis was in his worst form possible. Now the player from Argentina looks pretty
good. Delbonis keeps his serve and he is more consistent on the baseline than Melzer who ladles out easy
scores making stupid errors. |
| - |
23-Jul-14 |
Harrison - Smyczek 0:2 (0:6, 2:6) |
H1-2,5 |
1.94 |
-106 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
150.1% |
1106 |
| Ryan Harrison shall be called the most deteriorating player of the latest seasons. Nevertheless, he is a very
talented guy. A couple of years ago his playing quality was equal to top 30-40 level. Now he is out of best
100. Still during his entire career Ryan decently plays two portions of the season: the beginning of the
hard season and the US Series. Solid results on grass made some prerequisites for the improve in form, so
such events as the tournament in Atlanta are ideal spots for Harrison and alike to get some ranking points
whereas all top players are still on their way to the American continent. Smyczek is another decent player.
Last season was rather successful for him. And that’s all to boast about. This season is not that good for
him so far. Recently he has been defeated by average-level Krajíček and Kudla with no service play.
Harrison is a competitor of a higher level hasting to get some ranking points at this event. |
| - |
06-Jul-14 |
Djokovic - Federer 3:2 (6:7, 6:4, 7:6, 5:7, 6:4) |
H2+2,5 |
1.94 |
-106 |
5% |
+4.7% |
+94 |
155.1% |
1206 |
| We’ve viewed either semifinals and for us Federer has more chances to progress to the final. A number of
facts make us think so. First of all, fast courts have always been kind to Roger. He shows his best tennis
on them. So the grass suits the Swiss ideally. He loves this surface and we have no questions to his
physical form this season, and particularly at this tournament. Secondly, Federer tends to be a very
inconvenient contender for Djokovic, especially when the former is at the top of his form. Novac is a
rather tactical player. He shows his best in a hasteless playing mode against more regular players such as
Nadal, Ferrer, Berdych, etc. And aggressive players such as Isner, Gulbis or Federer represent much
challenge to him because these guys start attacking at the earliest opportunity. At that rate Djokovic fails
to make maximum use of his strong sides: consistency, shots length, tactical variety. Thirdly, Federer will
approach the match in a fresher form. Djokovic played a 5-set battle against Cilic, 4 tough sets against
Dimitrov. By the way, in my opinion, the Bulgarian looked something better than the Serbian opponent.
Of course, Djokovic will stand this match out physically; even shall it consist of 5 sets: his current
condition is not bad. But what can become an obstacle en route to a big trophy is his potential exhaustion.
And we can’t neglect this factor. And the last one, when on grass it becomes very difficult to execute
defence against rapid and aggressive players. Their last and the only one grass battle took place two years
ago and ended up with a confident win by Federer. I remember that match and what a coincidence! The
disposition of pre-match forces and betting odds were almost identical to the current ones… |
| - |
02-Jul-14 |
Raonic - Kyrgios 3:1 (6:7, 6:2, 6:4, 7:6) |
H1-3 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
150.4% |
1112 |
| I think that together with the bet on Murray it’s one of the best. And I have some reasons to say so. First
of all, the bookies have initially overvalued Kyrgios chances guided by the market behavior after the loud
sensation. And the majority of bettors have intuitively changed the line from -3,5 to -3, which is a little bit
early for us. Secondly, all previous Australian’s opponents gave him an opportunity to play. Both Nadal
and Gasquet executed defending and expectative tennis thus allowing Kyrgios to take up the running and
attack. And he caught this opportunity and used it to his advantage. Will Raonic let him do the same? I
doubt it. What makes the situation worse is that Kyrgios has a lot of mentally difficult matches. His
victory over Gasquet and yesterday’s triumph over Nadal have taken up too much efforts and
psychological resources, I think. And there is no time for rest. Time to fight again. Second battle in a row
may be a hard task for a young player. For the whole tournament Raonic has lost only one serve to
Nishikori yesterday. The Canadian service is very consistent and reliable. Furthermore, I was shocked
that Raonic managed to stay so clear on the baseline during the rallies with the Japanese and performed
successful attacks at the earliest opportunity. Taking into account Canadian’s service game, he’ll need to
break one service in three sets to cover the handicap. And it’s the least he can do. In fact, he is capable of
even more, I think. |
| - |
02-Jul-14 |
Murray - Dimitrov 0:3 (1:6, 7:6, 2:6) |
H1-4.5 |
2 |
100 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
145.9% |
1022 |
| The grass has become slower and now the tennis starts being really interesting. We switched our attention
to the Murray-Dimitrov match. Home favorite against the budding star in tennis. Andy Murray shows
brilliant tennis these days. It reminds of the nearest past when he reigned on grass courts. He serves well,
full of consistency and moves fast. His attacking play is on the high level too. So all in all Andy is OK
now. Dimitrov also plays not bad, especially on his serve. Another point is that Dolgopolov was the only
strong opponent to face the Bulgarian. And it was a great challenge he could hardly scrape through. In my view, all in that match was setting with the British. Andy is at the peak now. And it will very difficult to outgame Murray in the shots exchange from the baseline. Andy moves better on the grass. He is more consistent and is good at defence letting his opponent to prevail and make unforced errors. Slower and hardened up grass neutralizes the most dangerous weapon of the Bulgarian, his serve, providing his opponent with more return chances. In my opinion, Murray outweighs Dimitrov in all components. So I bet on his reliable and easy win. |
| - |
30-Jun-14 |
Wawrinka - Istomin 3:0 (6:3, 6:3, 6:4) |
H2+4,5 |
1.95 |
-105 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
150.9% |
1122 |
| In my opinion, Istomin must offer resistance to Stan. The player from Uzbekistan will perform on his best
loved surface, while the Swiss career high record on the grass is the fourth round. The match with Lu
turned out to be very uneven. Whereas Lu wasn’t showing his best tennis. Istomin possesses a good serve;
he moves well and is reliable on the baseline. Stan’s grass play depends on the first serve percentage.
Shall this figure be high, his contenders have a tough time. If not, Stan would start making mistakes in the
grass rallies. In my view, Denis is capable of taking one set. And if I’m right, the offered handicap will be
valid. |
| - |
30-Jun-14 |
Ivanovic - Lisicki 2:1 (4:6, 6:3, 1:6) |
H1-3 |
1.94 |
-106 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
155.9% |
1222 |
| As we’ve mentioned before, Sabine is not in her best shape now. After viewing her two matches, I won’t
deny these words. In the first round Glushko had clearly burned out before the match started, she
appeared on court very nervous and couldn’t make a single stroke. Probably, she isn’t quite ready to play
on central courts. Pliskova has tested Lisicki and the German female stood the trial, but frankly speaking
the Czech helped her contender within the whole match. She made stupid mistakes in the key moments of
the match. Sabine plays not bad, but she still underachieves her last year brilliant level. Ivanovic took
seven consequent matches on the grass without losing a single set. This season for Anna is the best of the
last 3-4 years. Her game today is featured by the aggressive return. Lisicki made 5 double faults when
playing Pliskova. That’s too much. The German can’t play under pressure which is likely to be put upon
her serve by Ivanovic. If Anna manages to press Sabine at the beginning of the match and imposes some
fight, Sabine may break down as she used to do this season pulling the balls out and finishing with 10
double faults in her asset. What is more, Anna plays rapidly and too aggressive which isn’t very
convenient for Lisicki. The German likes to hit from static positions. Defending tennis isn’t her cup of
tea. And the arsenal of attacking tools of Ivanovic is much richer. |
| - |
28-Jun-14 |
Nadal - Kukushkin 3:1 (6:7, 6:1, 6:1, 6:1) |
Un32 |
1.92 |
-109 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
160.9% |
1322 |
| When we speak about Rafa on grass we mean that it’s important for him to pass through some rounds to
find his play. And he has already defeated two strong opponents: both Klizhan and Rosol showed high-
level tennis but Rafa stayed it out. What’s more, both the player from Slovakia and Czech Republic have
very powerful serves – pain in the neck for all their opponents. Kukushkin has no service game to boast
about. He prefers to play tactical tennis from the baseline. This is his strong side. But that’s not enough to
prevail over Rafa. The Spaniard moves better on the baseline, his shots and returns are better too. As a
matter of fact, Kukushkin has no tools against Rafa. Moreover, 5 days of Wimbledon made the courts
slower, which also does good to the Spanish. So generally we bet on the confident win by Nadal. |
| - |
27-Jun-14 |
Chardy - Stakhovsky 3:1 (6:3, 6:7, 6:3, 6:0) |
H2-1,5 |
1.92 |
-109 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
165.9% |
1422 |
| The both are almost equal players. This season has been more kind to Chardy, but he has always showed
his best results during the clay part of the season. Stakhovsky is used to reveal his potential in its second
portion. For me, Chardy has an unusually successful grass season. But still the grass is not his surface, I
think. Whilst Stakhovsky is in his element and feels like a duck into water. His main advantage is the
service and his serve-and-volley approach. It’s a rather specific tennis style, inconvenient for the French
male. Main drawbacks of Chardy are his service return and his movements. And if on clay it’s all not that
visible, on the grass movements and return are the key elements of success. And to outgame serve-volley
style one needs to make god return and to move well. Stakhovsky has already showed us that he can
break powerful serves by Gulbis and so he is quite able of giving a run to Chardy in this aspect as well. |
| - |
26-Jun-14 |
Kubot - Lajovic 3:1 (6:7, 7:6, 6:3, 7:6) |
H1-2,5 |
1.97 |
-103 |
5% |
+4.9% |
+97 |
170.9% |
1522 |
| As for me, Lajovic is not a grass player. He definitely lacks experience on this surface. Unfortunately,
I’ve missed his match with Garcia but the match stats doesn’t impress at all. I’ve watched his previous
warm-up matches and the Serbian player didn’t look impressive, to be honest. Lajovic had no chances
against Lopez. As a result, Dusan lost warm-up matchups to Lopez and Pospisil, both of only made first
steps to the good form. Then Lajovic was lucky too face Garcia-Lopez. The Spaniard failed the
preparation to the grass and his service isn’t formidable at all... The chances on return are always better
than nothing. With Kubot it will be another story. The Pole hit 25 aces in 3 sets. His play is
overaggressive I would say. So Lajovic who likes to handle the ball attentively it would be tough to tune
to his playing mode. Service and immediate coming up to the net or 2-3 shots rallies. That’s what the Pole
likes. For Lajovic it’s not the best style. It’s always harder to defend on the grass especially against
powerful flat shots the Pole would execute. So I bet on the player from Poland as on the probable winner. |
| - |
26-Jun-14 |
Raonic - Sock 3:0 (6:3, 6:4, 6:4) |
H2+6 |
1.97 |
-103 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
166.1% |
1425 |
| In my opinion, the bookies have been too hasty. I’ve watched the match Raonic - Ebden. It was an easy
defeat of the Austrlian but it’s rather his weak play than the credit of Raonic. First of all, I didn’t get it
where Ebden had lost his serve. It was worthless to come on court with such a serve, especially against
Raonic. The average speed of the Ebden’s first serve was equal to 106 mph, the second - 86 mph... As a
comparison, the same figures of Nishikori are 108 and 92 mph correspondingly. And this when the
Japanese can’t be called a super server. Raonic simply hit all balls back to the court from return and got
his chances in the rallies. I don’t believe that Sock would be such an easy opponent for the Canadian. The
American performed well at the preparatory tournament by beating Isner and Thiem. He perfectly defeated his own serve. Don’t forget that grass is not the best surface type for the Canadian. So it should be a tough match for Raonic. |
| - |
25-Jun-14 |
Gulbis - Stakhovsky 0:3 (4:6, 3:6, 6:7) |
H2+4,5 |
1.92 |
-109 |
5% |
+4.6% |
+92 |
171.1% |
1525 |
| Ernest Gulbis shows brilliant tennis this season. So he is regarded as an overwhelming favorite in the
upcoming match. But despite this, I think that this encounter isn’t that transparent. Grass has never been
comfortable for Gulbis during his entire career. Even if we take all his grass matches this season, most of
them had progressed till the tiebreak. It’s very hard for him to break his opponents’ serves. Furthermore
his winning points – powerful forehands and backhand shots are not that efficient on the grass. Here
technique execution, shots accuracy and ball handling are of greater importance. Stakhovsky feels home
on the grass. He feels very comfortable on this type of surface: the serve hits the target, net game is on the
level too. If we look at Gulbis records against good servers on the grass this season, such as Raonic, De
Schepper, Jurgen Zopp, we’ll find out that 5 sets out of 7 were played with a tiebreak. The service game
of Stakhovsky is good enough, so I expect tough struggle and +4,5 handicap for the grass battle looks
very attractive. |
| - |
24-Jun-14 |
Sela - Kukushkin 0:3 (4:6, 4:6, 4:6) |
H2+2,5 |
2.04 |
104 |
5% |
+5.2% |
+104 |
166.5% |
1433 |
| By all accounts, this season is setting against Kukushkin. The odds above reflect his poor performance.
Sela is also far from his best tennis. But despite unsuccessful season, Kukushkin looks not too bad. He got
tough luck and received difficult draws in the first rounds. And probably he lacks some luck in key
moments. Kukushkin has really bad times when he faces good hitters who gain the majority of their
points on the serve. The reason is that Kukushkin is a typical baseliner. He has no good serve while he is
good at attacking and exchanging balls from the baseline. The both are almost equal opponents with the
same tennis level. For me, Kukushkin is a deemed favorite of the upcoming match as Sela, a good server,
has rather poor records from the baseline. |
| - |
24-Jun-14 |
Kubot - Struff 3:0 (7:6, 6:4, 6:4) |
H1-1,5 |
1.94 |
-106 |
5% |
+4.7% |
+94 |
161.3% |
1329 |
| Kubot likes to play on the grass and, what is more important, he knows how to do it. The Pole has all
prerequisites for the successful grass play: booming serve, good play at the net, aggressive flat shots from
the baseline. Shtruff is a very gifted player whose tennis is brilliant at times, but at times it’s just awful. It
may be hard to find his tennis against such guys as Kubot, as the rallies sometimes end up with the 3rd-4th
stroke. Moreover, grasping players are not very convenient opponents for Kubot, he prefers to play such
hitters as Shtruff. And the last, but not the least. The player from Poland is a typical grand slam player. At
these tournaments he tends to show his best tennis. |
| - |
24-Jun-14 |
Lisicki - Glushko 2:0 (6:2, 6:1) |
H2+5,5 |
1.97 |
-103 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
156.6% |
1235 |
| Lisicki had to withdraw from the second round of the tournament in Paris for her injury. Since then
Sabine hasn’t played a single match. Usually 2-3 professional matches are required to adapt to grass
courts. Lisicki didn’t have them. Glushko showed good tennis with Beck. And in general she is a very
gifted girl executing decent aggressive tennis. I think that today Lisicki is out of her best form. Such a big
handicap can be justified if you remember that last year Lisicki was one of the finalists here in London.
Another point is that it has been a year already since she showed her high-level tennis. |
| - |
24-Jun-14 |
Robredo - Lacko 3:1 (7:6, 1:6, 6:2, 6:4) |
H1-2,5 |
1.97 |
-103 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
161.6% |
1335 |
| Even though Tommy Robredo can hardly be called a grass pro, he’s an experienced old hand, a veteran
using an all-court strategy. Last year he showed excellent play in London. Lacko is also a talented player
but he doesn’t know how to adjust to grasping defending players. At times the player from Slovakia gets
frustrated and starts doing things hard to explain. His last match against Melzer proved it again. No
sooner offered the Australian something of struggle than Lacko failed the second and the third sets.
Tommy has warmed up a bit in losing matches with Rafa and Murray before Wimbledon. Such opponents
are a perfect start of preparation for the London tournament. And with all other things being equal,
Tommy isn’t a bad server, he moves well and has consistency, which are the keys to success on the grass. |
| - |
23-Jun-14 |
Haase - Pospisil 3:1 (7:6, 4:6, 7:5, 6:3) |
W1 |
1.85 |
-118 |
5% |
+4.3% |
+85 |
166.6% |
1435 |
| This bet doesn’t enjoy popularity among the bettors. The line plays in favor of Pospisil, but I do not fully
agree with this estimation of forces. I’ve watched the play of the both, and Haase was more enjoyable to
look at. The Dutch moves better on this surface. He is more consistent and has more tactical
understanding of the game. While the tennis of Pospisil directly depends on his serve. If it didn’t work
out, Pospisil would have troubles. His fortunate performance in Hertogenbosch has to do only with the
grass slower than usual. He managed to approach the ball and looked better on the baseline. In London
the surface is much faster. So the footwork and ball handling there must be more detailed. In my opinion,
Haase dominates in all aspects, except for the first serve. But the serve alone is too little for the successful
grass play. |
| - |
23-Jun-14 |
Kuznetsov - Evans 3:1 (6:1, 7:5, 3:6, 7:6) |
H2+2,5 |
1.97 |
-103 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
162.3% |
1350 |
| Every time I bet on Evans I’m a bit nervous because the British is one of toe-pickers in tour. Perfect
matches give way to the failed ones. And the problems with playing discipline are still here. But
nevertheless, when Den is at his peak, he looks gorgeous. In my opinion, he is the most undervalued
player of his age. Kuznetsov is a hard nut too. And grass suits him best. But as we assume that the both
are in good shape now, for me Evans is a favorite of this encounter. Because if he fails to prepare
properly to Wimbledon, I can’t say what his tennis priorities may be. |
| - |
20-Jun-14 |
Becker - Sousa 2:0 (6:3, 7:6) |
H2+1,5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
167.3% |
1450 |
| Becker is considered a slighter favorite. And actually it’s not surprising: he has rich grass experience and
shows good results on this surface. The two execute the same tennis strategy: good service, reliable
return, baseline consistency and finely honed movements. At first sight, they are almost equal. But there
are some accompanying nuances. First of all, Benjamin Becker has turned 33 already; he is not a young
boy any further. He got worn out after touch match with Granollers then he took an easy win of Sela.
Yesterday Benjamin played 2 hours 44 minutes (excluding rain delay) with Pospisil. And the last games
on his serve were deprived of luster. I don’t think he is in his best shape now. Secondly, the grass in
Hertogenbosch was not the fastest possible and now when it comes to the semifinals it has slowed down
even more. Sometimes it seems like a medium speed hard court. Such speed drop is beneficial to Sousa,
of course. He is less sharp than Becker and more consistent, which is more suitable for this type of
surface. So all in all we bet on Sousa and to insure your risks we suggest placing the following bet: |
| - |
18-Jun-14 |
Istomin – Garcia-Lopez 2:0 (6:2, 7:5) |
w1 |
1.8 |
-125 |
5% |
+4.0% |
+80 |
172.3% |
1550 |
| It will be the first match on the grass for Garcia-Lopez. Usually the players come undercooked to the first
grass matches and practically have nothing to set against. For the player from Uzbekistan it will be the
second successful week. He has already defeated Kukushkin and beat Dolgopolov in tough struggle.
Evidently, he shows his best career results on the grass. He loves the surface and knows how to play on it.
His flat shots are ideal for grass. Moreover, he possesses reliable serve and good return. The Spaniard in
his turn has always been a dark horse on the grass. At times he shines out, at times he fails, as for all his
entire career. Another good mark to Garcia is his play at Roland Garros. He is more likely to have come
to this tournament at the peak of his form. And it’s very hard to approach two major consequent
tournaments (Wimbledon is next) in the best shape. Most probably, that the Eastbourne International the
Spaniard will regard as the warm-up event. We don’t doubt it that he can show a lot, but there is not too
much likelihood of his perfect fitness preparation, I think. |
| - |
18-Jun-14 |
Shtruff - Pospisil 0:2 (4:6, 2:6) |
H1-2 |
1.98 |
-102 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
168.3% |
1470 |
| The German male is one of the rising stars in men’s tour. In fact, Struff is a counterpart of Pospisil:
booming serve, powerful shots. In match with Rosol he showed brilliant tennis. I was really surprised
when he broke 4 serves by Rosol. The beginning of the match was not that easy for Struff, but then he
took his time and displayed the tennis with no recipes against it. He kept his serve and made Rosol defend
a lot, what was an impossible task. This grass season Pospisil has nothing to boast of. He was defeated by
Stakhovsky be losing three sets on his own serve. The picture remained the same in the match with
Lorenzi. Yes, he found ways to beat Lajovic, but keep it in mind that the Serb can’t play on the grass at
all. In his last match against Lajovic Pospisil showed nothing outstanding. The victory can be mainly
explained in terms of Lajovic failure and a great number of stupid errors. So I would on Struff as on the
likely winner of the match. |
| - |
18-Jun-14 |
Wozniacki - Stephens 2:0 (6:3, 6:3) |
H1-2,5 |
1.92 |
-109 |
5% |
+4.6% |
+92 |
173.3% |
1570 |
| The girls have met before four times and all matchups were taken by Wozniacki in straight sets. Stephens
executes overaggressive tennis but the problems occur when she faces defending players. I’ve watched
their matches in Eastbourne. Wozniacki beat Stosur, while Stephens with her decent level of tennis tore
Garcia to shreds. Another case is that Garcia is still undercooked for the grass. The French female could
hardy execute a rally of 3-4 shots without committing a mistake. The return was just awful. She couldn’t
return the ball to the opposite side of the net. So it was an easy challenge for the American player. With
Caroline it would be another story. She has always been a successful grass player. She has good
movements, decent return and enough consistency. For Stephens it’s not that easy to break the grasping
defence. She is too impatient to do it. That’s why she executes over risking shots thus helping Caroline.
And the last one. It’s a known fact that the American star is a typical grand slam player. At these
tournaments she does her best to show good tennis. And we all remember that Wimbledon is around the
corner. So it should be assumed that Stephens would reach her peak form getting ready for it. While the
Eastbourne International is a mere warm-up tournament of no real interest. |
| - |
16-Jun-14 |
Karlovic - Chardy 0:2 (4:6, 4:6) |
H1-1,5 |
2.1 |
110 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
168.7% |
1478 |
| Both the French and the Croat are players of equal formation. They serve well and execute powerful
forehand shots. But Chardy, unlike Karlovic, shows better results on clay courts, while the Croat is a
specialist of fast surfaces. The French isn’t a big fan of the grass at all, consequently, he has never
achieved anything significant. There are several reasons to it: inconsistent return and poor play at the net.
Last week the French lost to Querrey after three tiebreaks. Chardy couldn’t even approach the American
serve which is less reliable than that of Karlovic. It would be naïve to assume that the French serve will
be easily returned by the French opponent. Chardy has a serve that perfectly fits the grass. But
nevertheless, the Croat’s play is better adjusted to the grass. Karlovic is a good server with a more reliable
net play. Moreover, he is capable of executing slice backhands which are harmless and inefficient on all
other surfaces but for the grass. Here they turn into sharp and acute shots difficult to return. Put it to
Chardy’s useless and innocent passing shots and you’ll see that the favorite in this battle is the player
from Croatia. The offered handicap isn’t that big and so it would guarantee you some profit even with no
breaks on two tiebreaks. |
| - |
14-Jun-14 |
Federer - Nishikori 2:0 (6:3, 7:6) |
H1-2,5 |
2.04 |
104 |
5% |
+5.2% |
+104 |
173.7% |
1578 |
| I’ve watched the matches of the both in Halle. The two show good tennis. Nishikori easily ousted Monfils
and Johnson. But these two matches may have ended up under another scenario. Monfils failed the game-
breaking set and Johnson made no use of his chances in the second set. Federer showed questionable
matches with Sousa, especially the first two sets. But as I’ve watched this match I can say that Sousa was
on the level. He got a tough draw to play Federer. Had it been someone else, the Portuguese could have
progressed to the semifinal. But despite his poor play, Federer saved his serve which is crucial point on
grass. And in the third set he was staying in his rhythm and displayed brilliant tennis. I’ve noticed that
Nishikori feels free on the baseline but I don’t appreciate his service play. He gets very few easy winners
hitting off aces and unreturned service. Yes, he edged Johnson and Monfils by exchanging balls over the
net. I doubt that this tactics would work with Roger. The Swiss knows how to use his service. What is
really bad is that today Federer had no chance to warm up a bit. Nevertheless, even if Federer loses the
beginning of the match, he will take it in ending sets. |
| - |
13-Jun-14 |
Stepanek - Anderson 2:1 (1:6, 6:3, 6:2) |
H2+1,5 |
1.85 |
-118 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
168.5% |
1474 |
| Stepanek is on the horse for the second week in a row. Last week he participated in the clay semifinal in
Czech Republic against Vesely, now he’s already in the second round at the Queens tournament. He
showed brilliant play against Murray. But he couldn’t hide his exhaustion. It was evident that fatigue
started to impact the Czech play. The match is to start in the morning and high humidity won’t ease the
problems for Stepanek. So in general I expect Anderson to win. And to be on safe side we choose +1,5
handicap. |
| - |
12-Jun-14 |
Lopez – De Schepper 2:1 (7:6, 6:7, 7:6) |
H2+3,5 |
1.82 |
-122 |
5% |
+4.1% |
+82 |
173.5% |
1574 |
| In my opinion, the bookies are too hasty in this case. No doubts, that Lopez is a strong grass player
excelling De Schepper. But there some tender issues in this matchup. First of all, the Spaniard player has
ousted two very convenient opponents: Lajovic who can’t play on grass at all and Hewitt who performed
poorly giving up his own service. For De Schepper it is the second week on grass. And evidently this
surface fits him best in tour. The Frenchman got the feel of the courts, familiarized and even showed that
he could break such guys as Gulbis. His main strong point is a booming serve. The two are capable of saving it on this surface. But considering weak return of Lopez, he would hardly find some ways to break the Frenchman’s serve. +3,5 handicap leaves winning chances even if Lopez would make one break, which previously went wrong by other players. |
| - |
09-Jun-14 |
Ward - Rola 2:0 (7:5, 6:4) |
H1-3,5 |
1.85 |
-118 |
5% |
+4.3% |
+85 |
169.4% |
1492 |
| The two are almost equal contenders. Rola’s play is a bit more attractive to me. But as we speak about
this single match, I would point out several aspects for further consideration. To begin with, the clay
portion of this season has come to end and gave way to the most questionable one – grass period. There is
nothing like the grass surface. It’s very peculiar. James Ward improves with every season. Last year he
managed to make fuss on his beloved surface. After all, James is a British player so he spent more than
sufficient time on grass. He knows how to handle it. Furthermore, last week Ward managed to warm up
on grass when he easily lost it to Johnson. Nevertheless, he had enough time to practice, to adapt and to
get the touch of London courts. Now some words about Rola. For his entire career he didn’t play a
SINGLE match on grass, at least that’s what official data say. All his ranking points he won on clay,
though hard is also his surface. Last week he sparkled at clay tournament, now it’s time to play on
grass…Usually such surface change doesn’t contribute to excellent results and good play. |
| - |
08-Jun-14 |
Djokovic - Nadal 1:3 (6:3, 5:7, 2:6, 4:6) |
W2 |
1.87 |
-115 |
5% |
+4.4% |
+87 |
162.5% |
1407 |
| First of all, Nadal has already received a number of stupid defeats from Ferrer and Almagro at the
beginning and in the middle of the clay season. And it serves him right! At those times he showed nothing
of the tennis he is capable of. But still Rafa progressed with every match and with every single week.
And finally it reached it standard level. So here at Roland Garros he plays in his traditional manner and
achieves his usual results. While Djokovic, in our opinion, remain on the same level and his best form fell
on Monte-Carlo event. Secondly, on all other surfaces (but for the clay) one golden rule is usually
observed. If Djokovic is in good shape, Nadal has nothing to set against him. Djokovic break through the
Spaniard’s defence and neutralizes it. What is different with Roland Garros is this rule against the Spanish
bull does not work here. Slow clay allows him to occupy reliable defence positions thus enhancing his
strategy and making it very efficient. Thirdly, Rafa excels Djokovic physically.Shall it be a long match
consisting of, let us say, 5 sets, the favorite will be Rafa. During their previous encounter at Roland
Garros Nadal managed to prevail only due to his physical supremacy. The only issue that troubles me is
weather forecast for Sunday. They promise rain. Humidity will make court faster, balls heavier which will
neutralize Rafa’s advantage with his mad balls rotation. The shots will be easier for the Serbian to handle.
But still after deep and detailed analyze we bet on Nadal as on the final favorite. |
| - |
08-Jun-14 |
Sharapova - Halep 2:1 (6:4, 6:7, 6:4) |
H1-2,5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
160.8% |
1320 |
| Sharapova belongs to the group of players who improve their level by playing more. On her route to
Roland Garros her level goes up with every match and her ability to improve within one match makes her
very tough opponent for all player hunger for the victory. Sharapova has a decisive head-to-head
advantage at 3-0 which of course will affect mental state of the player from Romania. Hitters, who don’t
execute tactical tennis at average speed, have always been hard nuts for Halep. The Romanian female
takes her time handling the ball and thus preparing for attack. Tennis against Sharapova will be slightly
different. Maria is overaggressive player who won’t provide the Romanian with a single opportunity of
staying in her usual rhythm. And the last. For Halep it will be the first grand slam event. She has no
previous experience at such tournaments. From the psychological point of view it would be tough
challenge for Romanian. Whilst Masha is an old hand owning rich experience of majors performance. It’s
worth considering that Halep may also burn out before the match starts. |
| - |
06-Jun-14 |
Nadal - Murray 3:0 (6:3, 6:2, 6:1) |
Un36,5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
156.3% |
1230 |
| This year Andy Murray has almost no chances. Despite the fact that Andy surprised me at this
tournament, his progress to the semifinal is astonishing. The British has greatly improved on clay. But
still his forces before the match leave much to be desired. Murray wasted a lot of efforts in a 5-set match
with Kohlschreiber, by the end of it Andy looked fully squeezed out. Then he had to hang on by the skin
of teeth to defeat Verdasco on tiebreak of the third set. Otherwise he would have hardly managed to end it
up at all. Then the quarterfinal against Monfils. I think Andy couldn’t dream of a luckier outcome. When
Murray missed a chance to end the match up in the third set, he gave it up physically and emerged the
winner only due to Monfils greater exhaustion than that of the British. Tennis against Nadal always
requires a lot of energy. I think that to date Murray has enough efforts to show 1,5 sets of good tennis. So
taking it all into account, I came to the conclusion that both the total and negative handicap look very
appetizing. Even shall Nadal give one set to the opponent, there is still good winning probability. |
| - |
03-Jun-14 |
Djokovic - Raonic 3:0 (7:5, 7:6, 6:4) |
Un36,5 |
1.94 |
-106 |
5% |
+4.7% |
+94 |
151.8% |
1140 |
| The two have met not so long ago in Rome, where Djokovic beat Raonic in a 3-set match. Having
watched the match on my own, I can say that the Serb should have definitely ended it up in two sets. And
don’t forget to take into account that Djokovic wasn’t at the peak of his form then as he had just
recovered from his wrist injury. Now the alignment of forces has changed. The Serbian star keeps
improving with every single match showing the best of his tennis. While Milos revealed some troubles
with his service game in the contest against Gilles Simon. Even when he faced Granollers his serve let
him down at times. And there would have been a tough struggle in the match but for the Spaniard’s poor
performance. To date, Raonic has nothing to set against Nole on the baseline. And considering the
Djokovic excellent return which he shows during the whole tournament, the Canadian player would also
have some difficulties with his own service. |
| - |
03-Jun-14 |
Berdych - Gulbis 0:3 (3:6, 2:6, 4:6) |
H1-2 |
1.97 |
-103 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
147.1% |
1046 |
| Frankly speaking, it took me time to decide whether to publish this tip or not. Finally, I made up my mind
to share it with you. Ernests Gulbis made a real sensation by toppling Roger Federer. But I think he could
hardly go any further. First of all, Berdych has been performing really awesome lately. His opening
rounds against Nedovesov and Polansky were a bit slow but then facing Bautista and Isner he showed a
rapid top-ranked tennis level. Every element was on a decent level: the serve, return, movements and
overall stability. Secondly, Gulbis has been in play for three weeks in a row already. Such physical
activity can’t but affect both mental and physical condition of a sportsman. The concentration becomes
weaker. Previously the Latvian player showed not a very confident tennis with a great number of errors.
Luckily for him, Federer also was far from his best. With Berdych it won’t work. And finally, Berdych
may face some problems with defending players, like Nadal, Ferrer, Simon, Bautista, etc. But against
hitters, among whom we find Gulbis, Berdych has perfect statistics. He can boast of his wonderful service
return and powerful hitting techniques. For Gulbis, I think, it would be a more troublesome match than
for the Swiss. |
| - |
01-Jun-14 |
Raonic - Granollers 3:0 (6:3, 6:3, 6:3) |
Un37,5 |
1.97 |
-103 |
5% |
+4.9% |
+97 |
152.1% |
1146 |
| These days Marcel Granollers shows rather solid tennis, but the fact that he has reached the fourth round
is more a stroke of luck than a reflection of real forces correlation on court these days. In the opening
round Dodig had to withdraw because of injury, in the second round Marcel obtained a hard but merited
victory over Dolgopolov to play exhausted Klizan who became a very comfortable opponent for the
Spaniard with his slow tennis. The main problem of the Spanish player is his service game. It’s neither
accurate nor powerful enough. He mainly benefits from his stable and reliable service return. But this
strategy isn’t a perfection when playing against Raonic. To beat the Canadian player one has to hit a
reliable first serve as to break his serves is quite a hard thing to do. Practically in all sets played at the
current tournament Granollers lost at least one game on his serve, which is not appropriate against the
Canadian known for his booming serve. And finally, Raonic has beaten even better defenders than
Granollers on clay. In his collection there are victories over Robredo, Simon and Andy Murray. Quoted
total is rather high and gives decent winning chances even if it is a 4-set match. |
| - |
31-May-14 |
Klizan - Granollers 1:3 (6:7, 6:2, 7:6, 7:5) |
W2 |
3 |
200 |
5% |
+10.0% |
+200 |
147.3% |
1049 |
| I’ve viewed the match between Klizhan and Haase. The player from Slovakia celebrated the victory, but
the outcome was a bit confusing. I think that Haase had a really good ending of the match, but Klizhan
put all in and closed the match out. Nevertheless, should Klizhan have failed to end it up in 2-3 games at
the very end, he would have had as little chance of seeing the victory as of seeing his own ears. But this is tennis, guys. Poor endurance of lack of stamina would make a 5-set match a real challenge for the Slovak. He did the last he could to beat the Dutch player. Now he is taking on the Spaniard Granollers known for his slow tennis. All he can do well is to receive the balls and strike them to the other side of the net. He’s also a good at counterattacking. And this tennis against the exhausted Klizan will be very inconvenient for him. Marcel upset Dolgopolov who made his best to break through the Spaniard’s defence but failed it. Shall the Spaniard be able to oofer somewhat of a struggle at the beginning of the match and impose a slow game on the Slovak, the latter would haste and start making errors. And that’s exactly what we need. |
| - |
29-May-14 |
Garcia-Lopez - Mannarino 3:1 (6:4, 6:3, 4:6, 6:0) |
Un35,5 |
1.97 |
-103 |
5% |
+4.9% |
+97 |
137.3% |
849 |
| Garcia-Lopez has a wonderful match against Wawrinka. The Spaniard’s current form reminds me of his
triumph in Monaco, where he bet many high-ranked players and managed to take one set from Djokovic.
And Mannarino could never play on clay; on this type of surface he produced the worst results possible,
due to the fact that but for stability he has no more tools in his arsenal. His service game leaves much to
be desired, as well as his shot-making techniques. While the best highlights of the Spaniard’s career have
come on clay surface. He is more experienced and more skillful than his opponent. Yes, Mannarino has
beaten Lu all into pieces in the previous round, but the Chinese is even worse on clay than the French
player. So considering the Spaniard’s fitness form I would bet on his confident win. |
| - |
29-May-14 |
Tursunov - Querrey 3:0 (6:4, 7:5, 6:1) |
H1-3 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
+4.5% |
+90 |
132.4% |
752 |
| Tursunov displays really fascinating tennis at the moment. I’ve watched him playing Gulbis last year and
the Russian who managed to reach a match point and in general served better than his opponent should
have taken the match. He easily swatted Haase and Starace away in Paris. By the way, the latter
performed well and went through the qualifying matches without any troubles. Querrey has nothing to
boast about this season. Of course, he performed well enough and defeated the veteran Volandi here in
Paris. But don’t forget that Volandi is not the Volandi he used be. Moreover, slow tennis practiced by the
Italian player is very comfortable for the aggressive American. Tursunov plays a more rapid and
aggressive tennis. He has improved his service on clay this season and gained more experience this year
than Querrey. So I’d bet on the Russian given that -3 handicap isn’t so considerable for a 5-set match. |
| - |
29-May-14 |
Paire - Bautista 0:3 (4:6, 6:7, 2:6) |
Un37,5 |
1.97 |
-103 |
5% |
+4.9% |
+97 |
127.9% |
662 |
| Of all 5 matches played against the Spaniard, Benoit Paire took only one set, which vividly indicates that
Bautista is a very uncomfortable opponent for Paire. A month ago Paire had to retire from a match against
Simon because of a knee injury. It took him 2 months to recover. Benoit has never been a very enduring
player. Now the rehabilitation has spoilt his preparation for the home tournament. When playing
Alejandro Falla he could hardly hold it on until the end of the third set, not the toughest one, I would say.
The sturdy Spaniard with his slow tennis would become a real obstacle on his way to the next round. I
think that he is capable of holding one set while still in a good condition. Taking it all into account, the
bet with under 37,5 games looks very attractive. |
| - |
27-May-14 |
Matosevic - Brown 3:1 (7:6, 6:4, 6:7, 7:5) |
H1-2,5 |
1.97 |
-103 |
5% |
+4.9% |
+97 |
123.1% |
565 |
| Less than a week ago Brown lost to Delic in Dusseldorf. Mildly speaking, his tennis was subdued.
Matosevic is a very uncomfortable opponent for him. The player from Australia is stable, has some
variations in techniques to offer and is good at service return. Such players are hard nuts for Brown to
crack. Dustin plays aggressive tennis, scoring points on his serve and often comes to the net. To cope with
these all, Matosevic, performing rather successful at grand-slam tournaments, on clay, particularly, would
have to try really hard. Moreover, at times Brown can’t deal with defending players, such as Matosevic. |
| - |
27-May-14 |
Cuevas - Ebden 3:0 (6:1. 6:2, 6:3) |
Un34.5 |
1.97 |
-103 |
5% |
+4.9% |
+97 |
118.2% |
468 |
| Usually we don’t force the events, but this bet, in our opinion, is insane. We are almost 100% sure that
the odds will soon go down, so catch them now and place a bet! Ebden has crashed out in all 4 matches
on clay this season. The Australian can’t and don’t like to play on clay courts. Pablo Cuevas has been a
known amateur of clay during his entire tennis career. In this season he shows very decent results. We
don’t believe it that Ebden would be capable of dictating any rules, and consequently we don’t expect any
struggle at all.Usually we don’t force the events, but this bet, in our opinion, is insane. We are almost 100% sure that
the odds will soon go down, so catch them now and place a bet! Ebden has crashed out in all 4 matches
on clay this season. The Australian can’t and don’t like to play on clay courts. Pablo Cuevas has been a
known amateur of clay during his entire tennis career. In this season he shows very decent results. We
don’t believe it that Ebden would be capable of dictating any rules, and consequently we don’t expect any
struggle at all. |
| - |
26-May-14 |
Vinci - Parmentier 1:2 (6:3, 3:6, 2:6) |
H2+6,5 |
1.97 |
-103 |
5% |
+4.9% |
+97 |
113.4% |
371 |
| Don’t forget that the tournament takes place in France. And the French males and females perform pretty
well given their usual level, at least. I wouldn’t publish this bet, if I hadn’t watched Parmentier facing
Petkovic this week. The French player showed a good tennis and lost in a tough struggle. Pauline prefers
to play aggressive tennis and holds games with no regard to her opponent’s style. In France, where even
the walls help, she is able to leave the mature Italian competitor behind. |
| - |
25-May-14 |
Stepanek - Argüello 3:2 (6:7, 3:6, 6:4, 6:3, 6:2) |
W1 3:0 |
2.65 |
165 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
108.5% |
274 |
| It took me long to decide on this bet, and finally I found it reasonable to place it. Stepanek, being in a
good shape, is able to offer resistance. In opening rounds his level of tennis is usually very high. His main
weak point is physical training. A 5-set match for him is too much. He can hardly scrape through a 4-set
match at times. But a fresh Czech can display a decent tennis of 3 sets long. Just a ticket to a fast and
confident win. I don’t believe in Arguello’s victory, to be honest. The Czech is a well-balanced and more
experienced player even on clay courts. Of course, there is a chance that the Argentinian would take one
set. If so, the handicap and total bets would also be very risky. So I prefer to minimize the risk and put it
on his winning. Additional 65-70% of profit would do no harm to anyone and if you would bet live, you’d
have chances to insure the bet back. |
| - |
23-May-14 |
Gulbis - Montañés 2:0 (6:0, 6:3) |
H1-3,5 |
2.04 |
104 |
5% |
+5.2% |
+104 |
113.5% |
374 |
| I’ve watched 2 recent matches with Montañés in Nice. Currently the Spaniard performs well, having
ousted Querrey and Mayer from Argentina. But a 3-set match against Querrey and 3 sets again Mayer
took a toll and at the end the Spanish player looked completely worn out. After all, he is not that young.
33 years is a watershed for tennis players, especially playing slow clay tennis. In the semifinal he’s taking
on Gulbis from Latvia. Today Ernests has showed amazing tennis against Tursunov, the Russian player
even served for the match. But…in the semifinal we’ll see the Latvian player. This clay season is very
successful for him: good strokes and reliable service game. Noteworthy, that Gulbis leads Montañes 4-1
in their head-to-head series. And all matches he took with a significant negative handicap. Another key
issue is players’ motivation for the semifinal. For Gulbis the tournament in Nice is more important than
for the Spaniard. First of all, next week the French Open in Roland Garros starts. Time of big money and
high ranking points. High-ranked Gulbis, displaying aggressive and energetic tennis, when seeded will be
drawn to face some average opponent. So now he can take the Nice tournament seriously. The matter
with Montañes is quite different. Shall he win the first two rounds in the French capital, he would gain
much more, both in cash and in rankings. So the final in Nice is not of high priority for him. And to make
it to the final one needs to do his best on the court. Moreover, if he still reaches the final, the tournament
in Nice would end up for him only on Saturday, which means that the preparation for RG would be
rushed and tiresome. Does he need it? I doubt it. Personally, I expect some struggle at the beginning of
the match. And if he loses the first set, it would be meaningless to waste further time and efforts. I guess
we would witness a failed set which perfectly suits the negative handicap on Gulbis. |
| - |
23-May-14 |
Simon - Delbonis 0:2 (2:6, 4:6) |
H1-2 |
1.94 |
-106 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
108.3% |
270 |
| Today I’ve found a way to watch both of them playing. And the two showed great tennis. Delbonis
somehow managed to defeat Isner. Although the American looked better indeed on the court. Simon
skunked Berlocq who is also in good form at the moment. The players have met at the beginning of this
clay season. Then the victory was achieved by Delbonis. But now the story is different. At that time
Simon had a weak service, lacked stability and couldn’t achieve any results. Now we see another Simon.
Delbonis knows how to attack, but now it would be difficult for him to find a crack in the Simon defence.
The French has already ousted Thiem with confidence. The tennis style of the Austrian resembles that of
the Argentinian player. But the level is higher. I believe that Gilles Simon would impose his slow tennis
on Delbonis thus making him commit a great number of unforced errors. |
| - |
22-May-14 |
Beck - Gicquel 2:0 (6:3, 6:1) |
H2+4 |
1.94 |
-106 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
113.3% |
370 |
| The French Open has always been rather successful for the French male. Despite his ages, Marc Gicquel
is still capable of displaying grat tennis. He’s good at serving and his return is also not bad. All their
previous encounters ended up in a tough fight. Why so? They play tennis at the same level showing the
same style of tennis. I think that it would be a close match and it is definitely worth betting at +4
handicap. |
| - |
20-May-14 |
Delic - Przysiezny 2:0 (7:5, 7:5) |
H2+2,5 |
2.07 |
107 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
118.3% |
470 |
| In the run-up of any Grand Slam event, the outcomes of minor tournaments greatly depend on the
players’ motivation. Top-ranked stars are getting ready for the major tournament which is to start next
week, while average players map it out to get through the first two rounds before being out to summon up
all strength to hold at least 1-2 rounds at Rolland Garros. So now it’s time for small players. Minor
tournaments for them are a source of some money and, what is more important, some ranking points.
Przysiezny is a strong player, but there is no place for all in top 10, unfortunately. But if not now than
when will he recapture the form before the Rolland Garros and get high in ranking? Of course, Michal has
8 consequent losses but it doesn’t mean that he forgot how to play tennis. I watched his match against
Matosevic a month ago. Then the Pole looked perfect against the Australian. And but for the stupid
injury, he would have definitely prevailed to the end. Without doubt, Delic is a very talented guy but he’s
now at the very start of his tennis career and there are no great titles in his collection. Yes, he’s rather
confident when halting the run of weak players, but as soon as he is paired with a good player, like Bolelli
or Reister, the Croat gives it up. Przysiezny is just well or even better than the latter two. And if he
managed to rehabilitate after the injury, he’d be a favorite in the upcoming match. Michal is used to show
his best tennis at Grand Slam events, one of which is around the corner. And the icebreaker competition
against the player of the second hundred is a good opportunity to tune in and find his game. |
| - |
18-May-14 |
Nadal - Djokovic 1:2 (6:4, 3:6, 3:6) |
H2+1,5 |
2.05 |
105 |
5% |
+5.3% |
+105 |
123.3% |
570 |
| I’ve watched the latest 2 matches of the Serb very attentively. Novak looked pretty good, it seemed like
he left his wrist injury in the past. Don’t forget that he has a previous experience of winning Rafa, so he
definitely knows how to play the Spaniard on clay. Three recent head-to-head meetings ended up with the
Serb’s victory, who gave no chances to his Spanish opponent. Currently Rafael Nadal shows quite a
reliable tennis, but with no former luster. Djokovic showed his legendary tennis in Monte-Carlo. But his
tennis quality is still poorer than before but it becomes better with every match. The match against Ferrer
was really awesome. It can probably be considered as the best match at the tournament so far. He had
some troubles with Raonic: apparently, the Serb had to finish the match up in two sets. But we should
give a credit to the Canadian who displayed his best tennis. At the moment, Novak’s shots are brilliant,
his physical form is not bad. So Rafa would definitely have some troubles. Novac is one of the few contenders at this tournament who is not very comfortable for Rafa. His tennis is full of variables, which makes him a dangerous competitor for defending players. Moreover, Rafa, a proclaimed king of clay, is going to play under mental pressure: 3 consequent losses with no chances to obtain a victory during the clay season which proofed to be rather unsuccessful for him. Novak, on the contrary, has nothing to lose. |
| - |
17-May-14 |
Nadal - Murray 2:1 (1:6, 6:3, 7:5) |
H1-4,5 |
2 |
100 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
118.1% |
465 |
| Everything in this match counts in favor of the Spaniard. Nadal, as a real locomotive, took long to get into
stride. But having accelerated he becomes unstoppable. Rafa performed well in Madrid, getting better and better with every match of the clay season. There are a lot of talks about his indistinct play in Rome and
2 sets lost to Simon and Youzhny in the Italian capital. But I think that these matches would only do good
to the Spaniard. Youzhny and Simon are good opponents for finding one’s tennis and tuning in. The both
are scoring the points on the baseline hitting shots combination. Both with the French and with the
Russian opponent, Nadal played in long rallies and got accustomed to the court. Such matches are always
beneficial as they increase tennis tone and help players to set to their tune, which is so necessary for Rafa
now. But the progress is evident. In the rivalry against Youzhny the Spaniard not only defended a lot, but
also showed powerful attacks that are so habitual for Rafa these days. Physical exhaustion has never
prevented the Spaniard, so such rivalries with stubborn opponents increase the tonus and help to gain
more confidence. Whereas Murray, despite his two smart victories, still faces big problems with clay.
Yes, he easily beat Melzer and Granollers. But they are very comfortable competitors for the British to play against. Melzer is very bad at playing against defending players, especially on clay. And the
Spaniard has no knocking shots in his collection to beat the Murray defence. And with Rafa Murray
would have even greater troubles. Frankly speaking, I see no prerequisites for Andy to set a tough
struggle in this match. With his passive shots exchange he would have no chances against Rafa. The
Spaniard is more stable and better at defence. While Murray’s attacks on clay have always been far from
perfect. He also makes poor use of his tactical schemes. His only key component is a powerful serve. But
it’s not that important on clay. So to cut the long story, I bet on the Spaniard and expect a confident win
from him. |
| - |
15-May-14 |
Chardy - Dodig 2:0 (6:3, 6:2) |
W2 |
1.91 |
-110 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
123.1% |
565 |
| This is one of the few matches where one should bet as soon as the line is published. Unfortunately, I
missed this moment a bit so the odds have increased. But the match is still valid and thus worth betting.
With no doubt, Jeremy Chardy showed brilliant tennis against Federer and made headlines. But don’t
forget that due to the new addition to the Federer family, the father of new born babies wasn’t himself
yesterday. It was visible that he had no time for training. Chardy is a typical hitter: booming serve,
powerful forehand. And that’s all. All such players have problems when facing all-courts prehensile
opponents, such as Dodig. It would be a difficult task for him to brak through the Dodig defence wall in
the rallies. One forehand isn’t enough to accomplish this task. At the same time the French is behind the
Croat in tactics and techniques. So the only way for him is to produce the high-risky shots. I think it
would be the foundation of Dodig play. Ivan is in good shape now: good service game, wonderful return,
his movements are fast and accurate. He leads 2-0 in their head-to-head series. Moreover, the French male
would have to try to pull himself together after his resounding victories. So for me Dodig is a favorite of
the match. |
| - |
13-May-14 |
Anderson - Pospisil 2:0 (7:5, 7:6) |
H2+4,5 |
2 |
100 |
5% |
+5.0% |
+100 |
128.1% |
665 |
| Vasek Pospisil has suffered from a back injury since the Australian Open, because of it he had to miss
more than a month of playing and as a consequence succumbed in 5 matches in a row. But to date over
two months have passed since he got back into tour. In his first meetings he looked a bit broken up, while
in two recent matches against Bautista and Ungur, that I’ve watched myself, there were first flashes of
good tennis. Three weeks have passed after his last match, 3 weeks of training. So I think that Pospisil should be even in better form now. Moreover, he is able to play on clay, last season he proved it. Kevin Anderson is a player of high quality, also capable of winning on clay. But his service return is very poor. While Pospisil can be proud of his service techniques. At that rate it would probably be a close match, taking into account their powerful and accurate serve and average return. And yes, it’s time for Pospisil to get back to his level of tennis. |
| - |
12-May-14 |
Delbonis - Dodig 0:2 (3:6, 4:6) |
H2+3 |
1.91 |
-110 |
5% |
+4.6% |
+91 |
123.1% |
565 |
| The bookies have puzzled me a bit by publishing this line. In my opinion, Delbonis and Dodig possess
equal chances for success. Actually, choosing between the two, I would bet on Dodig. Delbonis is quite
unstable at the moment, although no one denies that he is a very gifted guy. Dodig has been searching for
his tennis all season long, suffered small injuries since the Miami tournament but the clay portion of the
season he approached with all due care. His results got better with every match. And while in Monte-Carlo he still looked not very convincing, than in Madrid despite his loss to Nishikori in the first round, he displayed really solid tennis. The Croat is, of course, not a clay pro as, for example, Delbonis, but Ivan represents a type of players very inconvenient for the Argentinian. Dodig shows high stability in combination with a decent serve. He moves well and possesses very strong defending techniques that don’t suit to the aggressive Delbonis with his sharp tennis. He would have to take a lot of risky decisions to prevail which would negatively influence his play. The last fortnight Delbonis lacked stamina which is an indispensable component when playing against the Croat. |
| - |
11-May-14 |
Nadal - Nishikori А 2:1 (2:6, 6:4, 3:0) |
H1-5 |
2.04 |
104 |
5% |
+0.0% |
+104 |
118.5% |
474 |
| Frankly speaking, this is not the best match to bet on it before it starts, but it still has some validity.
Nishikori shows excellent tennis these days, but the Japanese is definitely exhausted after his encounter
against Ferrer. And it was completely illogical when he managed to prevail over the Spaniard in the
semifinal. The Japanese has nearly lost it in the third set against David, took a medical timeout, had to
break back a number of times. But finally denied Ferrer the pleasure and grabbed the match. He played a
highly aggressive tennis for the whole third set as he tried to save his forces to prevail at the end of the
match due to his successful return play. He had less than 24 hours to rehabilitate after the marathon
against Ferrer to face the best defending player performing on his native courts. The only fact that put me
off is that the Japanese may have enough strength to win one good set or even take the whole match from
Rafa as soon as there is enough strength. The quality of his tennis is really astonishing. That’s why it’s
preferable to bet such matches live hoping for some struggle at the beginning of the rivalry. But generally
-5 handicap looks not so bad. |
| - |
09-May-14 |
Bautista - Giraldo 2:0 (6:3, 6:4) |
w1 |
1.94 |
-106 |
5% |
+4.7% |
+94 |
118.5% |
370 |
| In my opinion, it’s a very safe bet. I’ve watched the matches of the both and Bautista looks much better
now. Giraldo defeated Tsonga and Murray. But the former is not shining out these days and the latter
showed very weak tennis against the Colombian. Moreover, clay has never favored the British. The two
play in the same manner with only but: in my view, Giraldo is a trouble-free passage for the Spaniard,
despite the absence of head-to-head meetings between them. Giraldo plays very aggressive tennis which
suits Bautista perfectly. The Spanish player knows how to move on the court, how to defend and proves it
out in a rapid play where he poses a lot of threat by counterattacking his opponents. Giraldo has always
had troubles facing the defending players; even here in Madrid he hardly escaped a loss to Hewitt, who is
a classic example of defending tennis players badly performing on clay. His usual and habitual strokes
won’t help Giraldo to fight the Spaniard’s defence. He would have to take on risk which is not his strong
side. In general, I think Bautista would suck his opponent into long rallies thus forcing him to make
errors. |
| - |
08-May-14 |
Gulbis - Cilic 2:0 (6:3, 6:4) |
H2+2,5 |
1.9 |
-111 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
113.8% |
276 |
| In my opinion, these are approximately equal opponents, but I’d bet on Cilic as a would-be winner. First
of all, he is not very convenient for Gulbis, as the former is good at serving and returning, which is an
unsuccessful combination for Gulbis who is used to gaining points on his first serve. Gulbis usually
prevails over those opponents who make use of tennis combinations and tactical means without a
booming serve and who score points thanks to skilful tactical play. And this is what the Latvian player
needs with his powerful serve. He also knows how to defend and how to return serves. Cilic represents
another tennis style. He is both a good server and a good returner. Judging by their results on clay this
season, the guys are very close to each other. Their tennis quality is almost equal. Only head-to-head
stats, experience and tactics speak for Cilic. Gulbis is a very strong contender but shall he be sucked into
long-lasting rallies he would start rushing and committing mistakes. I think that the Croat is well capable
of doing it. I bet on a close match worth risking at +2,5 handicap. |
| - |
06-May-14 |
Verdasco – Bautista 1:2 (6:2, 6:7, 1:6) |
H2+1,5 |
1.96 |
-104 |
5% |
+4.8% |
+96 |
118.8% |
376 |
| After watching the first day of the tournament I was waiting for this match to appear in. Now let me share
its preview with you. So Verdasco vs Bautista. Given the ranking positions and popularity of the players
it was predictable that the bookies would call Verdasco a favorite. But in my opinion, it’s a mistake. At
least now. With Fernando you never know for sure what you bet on: the last couple of years he has been
playing with great fluctuations. And Bautista, in my view, is extremely underestimated now. So I advice
you take to advantage of it. We have already mentioned that the Spaniard, in our opinion, is the most
progressive tennis player on the tour and one of the most profitable for us this season. While the Spaniard
hasn’t got inside the top 30, his odds are artificially lowered by the bookie. But I think this bubble would
soon burst. Considering the results of this season, we see that Batista performs much better than
Verdasco. In Barcelona, Batista was the only one who found a way to take a set from Nishikori, here in
Madrid he halted Robredo, a very confident clay player who needs no introduction. And what has
Verdasco achieved? Only disgusting tennis against Almagro in Barcelona when Fernando could hardly
make 5 shots without a mistake and a not convincing victory over Andreas Seppi, who was far from his
best due to his injury issues. Bautista practices one of the world’s best services and returns. His defence is
also one of strongest on tour these days. Verdasco facing the weak Seppi committed a great number of
unforced errors while with Bautsta he would have to struggle for every point. Fernando definitely lacks
stability now. Bautista would suck his opponent into long rallies and force the impatient Spaniard to
commit mistakes. |
| - |
06-May-14 |
Haas - Sijsling 1:2 (6:3, 1:6, 4:6) |
H2+3,5 |
1.94 |
-106 |
5% |
+4.7% |
+94 |
114.0% |
280 |
| Last week I viewed the game with Haas. Now, when he’s back into form, he constitutes a real danger to
his opponents with the level of tennis suitable for the top 10 stars. What is different about it is that his
shoulder injury probably prevents him from gaining high results all season long. In Munich he was beaten
by Klizan in the semifinal without showing anything interesting on the court. Herewith, his average
service speed was about 180 km/h, which is a poor result in the men’s tour. His shoulder injury has
definitely manifested itself. Last year Igor Sijsling in the same portion of the season displayed great
tennis. And but for his permanent injuries, the Dutch would have jumped inside the top 25-30 already.
That’s for sure. His play allows it. He has successfully qualified for the tournament by defeating Bellucci
and Mannarino. His service game is also impressive. I don’t believe that Haas found the way to fully
recovered from his ailment. If so, his service would be more vulnerable than usual. But it’s no use for top
100 players to miss major tournaments even despite their poor condition. That is the case with Tommy, I think. |
| - |
06-May-14 |
Gulbis - Janowicz 2:1 (7:6, 3:6, 6:2) |
H2+4,5 |
1.94 |
-106 |
5% |
+4.7% |
+94 |
109.3% |
186 |
| It’s time to consider the player from Poland. Janowicz has recently showed very modest achievements but
now, I think, his time has come. And it can be explained in the following terms: first of all, Jerzy can play
on clay and he proved it last season. Secondly, despite his poor results, they got better with every match
but it was that he would face a really inconvenient opponent: Bautista from Spain, who easily cracks such
hard hitters as Jurgen Melzer, using the best flat serves return, thus offsetting the main trump card of the
Polish player. Thirdly, the courts in Madrid are rather speedy and are partially or completely closed, so
the influence of the wind is minimized. And it’s a real rescue for the Pole with him playing the ball too
high at times. And the last but not the least. All their previous h2hs took part at Grand Slam events and
ended up in a tough struggle. So the published line looks appetizing. But as I tend to dislike totals bets, I
offer you this handicap bet. Janovisz seems to be back to his tennis so the bet is to be really valid. |
| - |
03-May-14 |
Haas - Klizan 0:2 0:2 (3:6, 2:6) |
2set Hcap2-1,5 |
1.84 |
-119 |
5% |
-5.0% |
-100 |
104.6% |
92 |
| This is probably our strangest and more exotic bet ever. Let us make things clear. The initial handicap for
Haas is -3,5. It’s not bad, but personally I dislike it. Tommy shows smart tennis today, but it’s not
brilliant. While Klizan has already played 3 qualifying matches, defeated Dudi Sela, held 3 thrilling sets
with Youzhny and 3 sets with Istomin. The player from Slovakia never displays at least average
endurance. Although he had to fight hard to beat Youzhny and Istomin, as these guys never surrender
without resistance. As you remember, he lost the 2nd set with 6:1 on a scoreboard. This is a mere
indication of exhaustion and a well-known tactics on clay courts. A player yields up a set, takes some rest
to save his forces and makes the final burst. And it works. Why -3,5 handicap doesn’t appeal to me?
Klizan may take one first from Tommy, especially at the very start of the encounter. Shall he start serving
he may win the first set with 6:3. If so, it won’t be easy to cover -6,5 handicap. Now why the games
handicap -1,5 for the 2nd set. Think logically: after such a long marathon at the current tournament, the
player from Slovakia would hardly manage to play the match with no physical downs. At the beginning
of the match, when he is still fresh enough he is just obliged to take the 1st set, otherwise he’ll definitely
lose this tiresome match against Haas. But still. Shall Klizan win the 1st set, he would repeat the scenario
performed against Istomin: lose the 2nd set with no fight, take a breath tuning for the 3rd set or just give up
due to the physical exhaustion in the mid of the match. As it happens to him at times. In case he drops the
first set to his opponent he is likely to surrender. As he has no motivation to struggle to death: first of all,
his winning chances are not that big. But what is more important, the Madrid Open is to start soon, So
having lost the first set, it would be wiser to save strengths and concentrate on the upcoming tournament.
So after thinking over this match I came to the conclusion that this exotic bet will be the most valid from
the offered line. |
| - |
01-May-14 |
Leonardo Mayer - Golubev 2:0 (6:1, 7:6) |
H1-2,5 |
1.98 |
-102 |
5% |
+4.9% |
+98 |
109.6% |
192 |
| Mayer is recapturing his form at the moment. In the qualifying round he obtained a decent victory over
the Spaniard Carballes Baena, a rather strong rival, by the way. And in the opening round he ousted the
native Sousa, the main hope of the local Portuguese fans. Golubev is a hard nut this season, but in my
view, clay courts, especially outdoor courts are not his cup of tea. All his most outstanding achievement
he showed indoors, generally, on hard courts. And this season Andrey has hardly spent a match on clay at
all. He has 2 victories over Viola and Mannarino on is balance. Frankly speaking, both of them are equal
to dead men. While Mayer spends the season on clay, has played more matches here in Portugal, found a
way to qualify for the tournament and has become more accustomed to the court. |
| - |
01-May-14 |
Delbonis - Bellucci 1:2 (7:5, 3:6, 2:6) |
H2+2,5 |
1.94 |
-106 |
5% |
+4.7% |
+94 |
104.7% |
94 |
| These guys have met not so long ago on similar courts in Brazil. Then Delbonis beat Bellucci as we had predicted. But Bellucci was completely flat out as it was his second tournament in a row. It was a close match even in the light of the Brazilian’s exhaustion. Now we see another picture. Bellucci is in relatively strong form and has already halted Dodig in a qualification round. The courts are perfect for him. So generally I believe in Belucci’s victory. And don’t miss the handicap bet. |
