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Who will make it to the ATP World Tour Finals 2016?

There are two major events before the tennis year come to an end. They are Shanghai Masters and Paris Masters. The both will distribute up to 1000 ATP ranking points. Besides, there are Beijing Open, Rakuten Japan Open, Swiss Indoors Basel and Vienna Open. The four will have 500 ranking point on stake. Novak Djokovic, Andy Murray and Stan Wawrinka have already booked their spots in the London Finals (only traumas may prevent them from performing on the O2 arena). Milos Raonic and Kei Nishikori are also likely to appear in the Top 8.

So there are 3 spots left.  To date, they belong to Gael Monfils, Dominic Thiem and Rafael Nadal. They dominate over Tomas Berdych and Marin CIlic by 800-900 points. David Goffin is also capable of making a fuss, but it’s not that probable.

Gael Monfils at the Barclays ATP Finals

Gael Monfils candidacy cause no worries at all. The Frenchmale won’t lose the chance to make the career-first appearance in the prestigious year-ending tournament. We are sure that he’ll appear on court even on crutches, if needed.  He has no trouble to win more points. Now he’s ranked 6th and it’s difficult to flunk out of the list. Moreover, who said that the Frenchmale won’t get any title before London? The upcoming events will be held on fast courts, which is very beneficial for Monfils.

Rafael Nadal at the Barclays ATP Finals

London Finals audience has already lost the chance to watch Roger Federer playing. Rafael Nadal shouldn’t disappoint them one more time. Despite his last position in the Top 8, Nadal is in form and will get his 500 ranking points by the end of the season. This should be more than enough to qualify.

Dominic Thiem has strongly started the start of the season. However now the Austrian is out of his best and seems to be the most vulnerable of all the contenders. Unfortunately, fast courts don’t favor the Thiem and he should be fatigued after the season start. At the same time, 200 points will be good enough to compete in London.

Tomas Berdych and Marin Cilic

The both will have to win 1000 points to qualify for London. Theoretically, both of them are able to reach this goal. The Czech and the Croat tend to perform well on indoors courts. Their destiny is in their hands only. Certainly, Djokovic, Murray, Nishikori and Raonic won’t facilitate them, but they also won’t hinder them. The four need time to prepare for the Finals. As for Wawrinka, the Swiss will hardly show anything worthwhile these months.

And don’t forget about Juan Martin Del Potro! The Argentine can also make a difference!

So our prediction is that Gael Monfils, Rafael Nadal and Dominic Thiem will save their current positions and will qualify for the prestigious season-ending event.  

Relevant news:
NextGen ATP Finals preview and prediction: Medvedev vs. Coric
Weekly ATP Tour Digest, April 17-23
US Open 2016: were the bookies right?
Wimbledon 2016: were the bookies right?
Roland Garros 2016: were the bookmakers right?

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