Tennis tips and betting picks: Jo-Wilfred Tsonga v Lucas Pouille at the Open 13 final
An all-French final will take place in Marseille with Jo-Wilfred Tsonga facing Lucas Pouille for the second time in their careers. Tsonga has much more power, produces a better serve and commits fewer mistakes. What is important, the 11-th ranked Frenchman catches fire from the very start of the affair, while Lucas needs time to adapt.
As for Pouille’s advantages, he’s fresher. Tsonga has given the second set to Kyrgios to have a rest. We expect that Pouille will improve with every game and Tsonga may not have enough strength to close out the match. Nevertheless, Tsonga comes as a slight favorite but he needs to win the first set.
Betting pick: The match can be bet in-play. Shall Tsonga take the opening set, back Lucas Pouille and then hedge the bet. The positive handicap market on Lucas or his outright win also seem to be valuable. The 3.0 odds is a bet too high, we estimate Pouille’s winning odds at about 30-40%.
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