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Indian Wells R3 previews and prediction: Del Potro v Djokovic, Johnson v Federer, Kyrgios v A. Zverev

Juan Martin Del Potro v Novak Djokovic at the BNP Paribas Open 

Del Potro wasn’t overly impressive in his second round action against the compatriot Federico Delbonis. Now as he’s facing Djokovic the Argentine should do his best. However, the medium fast courts suit Novak more. The second-seeded form has improved and we expect to see him winning.
Betting pick: Djokovic in 3.
 

Steve Johnson v Roger Federer at the BNP Paribas Open 

Steve Johnson is in a decent form but he doesn’t build up good defense. Surprisingly, he managed to break Kevin Anderson once. With Roger on the other side of the net there are fewer chances for the break point converted.  We expect to see a comfortable win by the Swiss. Federer should make a break in every set to close out the match.
Betting pick: The negative handicap market is risky. As for the positive market, there too many questions open: who will serve first and whether Johnson will make it to the tiebreaker? Of all betting options we like +5 positive handicap market on the American most.  
 

Nick Kyrgios v A. Zverev at the BNP Paribas Open 

Zverev will have considerable advantage on the baseline. The German produces powerful shots. On the other hand, the Aussie is more reliable on the serve. His first serve percentage can come close to 70%, and it will be a trouble for Alexander. The German knows how to return and the courts are not that fast, but still the serve at more than 130mph is a challenge anyway.
Betting pick: Nick Kyrgios is favored by the bookies. They offer to back his outright win at the odds of 1.6. But we believe that the match will be a tough one with close chances for success. The German’s win at 2.5 is pretty attractive.
 
 
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Coments

Alex

Thanks for articke. Hope Hole will win

dotennis

We think that Novak has more chance here against Del Potro than he has in Acapulco.

alex

You really think that Federer would not totally destroy Johnson?

dotennis

Probably. But Johnson's service is good, so Roger will rarely make more than one break in a set.

alex

IMHO Federer will win like 6:2 6:4 or so.

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