Tennis Tennis tips

Contact Us:
dotennis@mail.ru

Hindsight bias in sports betting

Pinnaclesports has lately published a very curious article on cognitive biases. The essence of this rather complicated notion is the following: you’ve placed a wager and now you’re watching the match you’ve bet on. Let it be Goffin vs Edmund. As the match is finished you realize that your -6.5 bet for Goffin has won by a narrow margin. At that point you are likely to start analyzing why your “near win” was financially successful.

You justify it to yourself that Goffin failed to tune it at the beginning of the event and Edmund was doing actually playing his best tennis. As for David Goffin, he was making fun of his opponent in order to put off his guard. Anyway, your betting decision was correct. And you would have never changed it. (In our case we would interpret it as our success and would place the same bet over and over again.)

Get our tips to increase your betting bankroll by 20% a month

But as soon as you do your best to be impartial you would admit that what really made a difference in that match were a couple of rallies played in the very first game. And shall Goffin made a break then, Edmund would have got in a deep trouble.

But what would happen if your bet lost and Goffin won the fifth set 3:6, 1:6, 6:2, 6:1, 6:3. Your handicap would have lost under this scenario and most probably you would have tried to explain and contemplate it: of course, Edmund is much stronger and he used to be a clay challenger champion and it was evident that Goffin was a bit undercooked and he couldn’t pull himself together.  

The point is that it is the same match with the same players and only a few rallies decided the final outcome. But we are not willing to accept it and prefer to interpret it as our own merits.

Do you wish to increase your betting bankroll by 20%?

What is more important here is that it’s next to IMPOSSIBLE to predict a definite final result. It’s more real to think of a number of most probable scenarios of the given match. If they differ from those offered by the bookies, feel free to place your wager.

Resume:

1. Don’t try to predict the result on the scoreboard.

2. It’s not enough to consider the match results to tell whether the bet was a good one.

3. The sooner you’ll learn to accept your failures, the sooner you’ll become a good punter with good chances for success. 


Relevant news:
Paris Masters R1 PREVIEW AND BETTING PREDICTION: Richard Gasquet V Benoît Paire
ATP Vienna R2 preview and betting prediction: Dominic Thiem v Richard Gasquet
Antwerp final preview and betting prediction: Tsonga v Schwartzman
ATP Antwerp R1 PREVIEW AND BETTING PREDICTION: Nikoloz Basilashvili V Julien Benneteau
Shanghai Masters R3 preview and betting prediction: Gilles Simon v Richard Gasquet



Add comment
Partners
Interesting
Free tennis tips. АТР Madrid. Nadal - Marray

Everything in this match counts in favor of the Spaniard. Nadal, as a real locomotive, took long to get into stride. But having accelerated he becomes unstoppable. Rafa performed well in Madrid

Free tennis tips. Roland Garros. Klizan - Granollers

Tournament yet folds up for us quite well in the market of flat bets and live bets. 6 won bets in a row perfectly enhances the mood, but we are not going to lose concentrtion and relax ...

Betting on USA tennis. What problems american players face today

The more I watch the matches with the American players the stronger is my feeling that they all resemble one another. It all looks like a plant cranking out products of the same quality and with the same spoilage. And this trend holds true for the last 4-5 years...

SHANGHAI MASTERS 2015 Fabio Fognini – Kevin anderson MATCH PREVIEW

Hertogenbosch QF previews and predictions: Karlovic – Mannarino, Querrey – Kozlov, Mahut – Tomic

Analyzing the ATP World Tour Finals results

Dispersion in sports betting

Free tennis tip. Shanghai masters. Gasquet - Chardy

Such evaluation of Gasquet from the bookmakers is understandable. The Frenchman lost his two previous encounters in a row to Monaco and Nadal, which is a sign of a bad form from Richard.

Kei Nishikori. Analyzing the tennis of the japanese player

From the moment he appeared on courts, Kei Nishikori has always been one of 5 or 6 super talented promising players. Within the last 3-4 years Kei showed nothing special which reflected on his modest results: he sustained a good tennis level, won several ATP 250 titles, performed well on majors – but...

Breakthroughs male tennis tour. Tennis prediction

Federer, Nadal, Djokovic, Murray. Who will replace these guys in the near future. Today we chose tennis players who made ​​the biggest step in his development this season. So Thiem Dominic, Batista-Agut and ...

Free tennis tips. ATP Nice. Gulbis - Montañes

The week before a Grand Slam tournament is one of the most difficult to analyze because the motivation of most tennis players is poor or not subject to any reasonable estimate of the ...

Last Comments
Melorrah23 Nov 04:43

[url= ]Roosyptody lype ramiKebmara[/url] [url= ]snonry Snocky Impopami[/url] [url= ]Ki Gerascerry wek[/url] ...

FilatCethy23 Nov 02:38

[url= ]nucky Crumougram Adjuro[/url] [url= ]Wom aborie Ming[/url] [url= ]boossY BannaGydayentix pynceffeft[/url] ...

IgorApore23 Nov 00:35

[url= ]DekSethy Orild hops[/url] [url= ]Hoonenum Pourfromo Enquify[/url] [url= ]fardWradly SetOmimb Ol[/url] ...

alekseydv22 Nov 23:45

Услуги частного детектива и пробив информации по всей РФ. Что мы делаем: 1. пробив абсолютно любой информации по физическим и юридическим лицам 2. пробив любой информации по линии гибдд 3....

Protasiyroale22 Nov 22:36

[url= ]rekCrype Waics rulky[/url] [url= ]Much affed Pr[/url] [url= ]MumMumupliff Sigh unaphy[/url] ...

Our customers about us
Manage your bankroll

Three months of betting with Dotennis picks and my trading bankroll has boosted! Having no time to watch all the matches myself, I totally rely on Dotennis previews. Thanks, guys! PS. Manage your bank! Don’t put all in!

Igor Zhdanov

Very reliable and dependable guys!

These guys send safe tips and back them. That is what I enjoy. You read it and you want to bet more and more!” Of course, there were losing strikes as well, but the profitable ones prevail. If a person gives you a betting tip and then are prepared to follow it till the end of the match it means that we are dealing with responsible people who really mean what they say and what they do. Guys like them, I’d follow into combat blindfolded!

Alex Osipishen, New York

Keep up the great work!

I’ve been on the mailing list since August 2013. In September 2013 I decided to pay for the subscription. I enjoy that the guys back every pick. The Australian Open in January was by far the longest winning streak for me. Thanks! And keep up doing your job!

Ram, 34 y.o., Texas

I know my money is being invested wisely.

These guys ATP picks have been right on and I’ve just been winning since following him. They do not offer free safe picks but this would never sway my decision to follow a particular service. As I'm sure than any job should be paid for. The most important thing is that I know my money is being invested wisely.

Lisa, 30 y.o., Melbourne