We have not seen such high odds on Rafa win in the match with Djokovic on the clay. On the one hand, you can understand the logic of bookmakers, Djok won in their last 4 ex-person games, and last triumph falls on the clay. Nevertheless, we consider this match a little different position.
First of all, Nadal has already received a number of stupid defeats from Ferrer and Almagro at the beginning and in the middle of the clay season. And it serves him right! At those times he showed nothing of the tennis he is capable of. But still Rafa progressed with every match and with every single week. And finally it reached it standard level. So here at Roland Garros he plays in his traditional manner and achieves his usual results. While Djokovic, in our opinion, remain on the same level and his best form fell on Monte-Carlo event. Secondly, on all other surfaces (but for the clay) one golden rule is usually observed. If Djokovic is in good shape, Nadal has nothing to set against him. Djokovic break through the Spaniard’s defence and neutralizes it. What is different with Roland Garros is this rule against the Spanish bull does not work here. Slow clay allows him to occupy reliable defence positions thus enhancing his strategy and making it very efficient. Thirdly, Rafa excels Djokovic physically.Shall it be a long match consisting of, let us say, 5 sets, the favorite will be Rafa. During their previous encounter at Roland Garros Nadal managed to prevail only due to his physical supremacy. The only issue that troubles me is weather forecast for Sunday. They promise rain. Humidity will make court faster, balls heavier which will neutralize Rafa’s advantage with his mad balls rotation. The shots will be easier for the Serbian to handle. But still after deep and detailed analyze we bet on Nadal as on the final favorite.
Djokovic - Nadal. Nadal win. Odds - 1,87
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