Anybody following tennis over the last dozen years or so will know that, when fit, it is close to impossible to beat Rafael Nadal on the clay courts of Roland Garros. He has, of course, won the French Open a record ten times, including the three-set hammering of Stan Wawrinka in last year’s final. It seems incomprehensible that he has lost just three matches in Paris, which represents a 77%-win rate for the last 13 years for the brilliant Spaniard.
So, what should we make of the odds of 9/10 (best price from Unibet, others go as low as 3/4) that Nadal wins the French Open 2018? Do they offer value? Or should we be looking elsewhere? First of all, it should be a no-brainer than anyone betting on a tennis Grand Slam, or any sport, should be checking the latest enchanced odds from major bookmakers before they bet. Bookies can often boost the odds for the big tournaments, so it is always worth checking.
Nadal’s clay record stats even better when discounting injuries
As for Nadal’s standard odds of 9/10, they are quite generous when you take his record into consideration. As mentioned, before Nadal has won the French Open 77% of the time down the last twelve years. That percentage would be increased to nearly 83% if you discounted his third-round withdrawal due to a wrist injury in 2016. That makes a 90% return on your bet seem very attractive, especially due to the fact that Nadal seems to be very much at full fitness currently.
However, it is remarkably rare that any tennis player, even someone as dominate as, say, Serena Williams, will be given a price of odds-on to win a Slam outright. So, who offers a bit of value before the French Open? Well, as expected, Roger Federer will miss the French Open for the third year running in order to be fresh for Wimbledon. That’s no surprise given the Swiss master tends to be careful in his choice of tournaments these days. The other top candidates are listed below:
Dominic Thiem 8/1
Novak Djokovic 8/1
Juan Martin Del Potro 11/1
Alexander Zverev 14/1
Stan Wawrinka 25/1
Nick Kyrgios 33/1
Djokovic may need more time to recover before challenging again
If you were looking for the name of Andy Murray, he will also miss the French Open to recover from hip surgery. The biggest name on the list above is Novak Djokovic, who is also making his way back from injury. We must remember that it was Djokovic in 2015 who was one of just two players (the other was Robin Soderling in 2009) to beat a fully fit Nadal in Roland Garros. But Djokovic may need a little more time to get fully fit for the season. Wimbledon, where you can still get 9/1 on the Serb, may be a better bet.
Last year’s runner up and 2015 winner Wawrinka at 25/1 may be the pick of the bunch here. Those odds show real value and we should remember that most bookies will pay half the odds for reaching the Final in the each-way betting. However, you might want to check that he is on the opposite end of the draw from Nadal before betting.
Relevant news:Australian Open preview and Prediction: Rafael Nadal v Novak Djokovic
US Open Preview and Prediction: Tim Smyczek v Jan-Lennard Struff.
Madrid Open R1 Preview and Prediction: Borna Сoriс v Pablo Carreno Busta.
ATP Barcelona Final Preview and Prediction: Rafael Nadal against Stefanos Tsitsipas.
Australian Open R3 Preview and Betting Prediction: Jo-Wilfried Tsonga v Nick Kyrgios
Tournament yet folds up for us quite well in the market of flat bets and live bets. 6 won bets in a row perfectly enhances the mood, but we are not going to lose concentrtion and relax ...
Everything in this match counts in favor of the Spaniard. Nadal, as a real locomotive, took long to get into stride. But having accelerated he becomes unstoppable. Rafa performed well in Madrid
From the moment he appeared on courts, Kei Nishikori has always been one of 5 or 6 super talented promising players. Within the last 3-4 years Kei showed nothing special which reflected on his modest results: he sustained a good tennis level, won several ATP 250 titles, performed well on majors – but...
Federer, Nadal, Djokovic, Murray. Who will replace these guys in the near future. Today we chose tennis players who made the biggest step in his development this season. So Thiem Dominic, Batista-Agut and ...
The week before a Grand Slam tournament is one of the most difficult to analyze because the motivation of most tennis players is poor or not subject to any reasonable estimate of the ...
The more I watch the matches with the American players the stronger is my feeling that they all resemble one another. It all looks like a plant cranking out products of the same quality and with the same spoilage. And this trend holds true for the last 4-5 years...
Such evaluation of Gasquet from the bookmakers is understandable. The Frenchman lost his two previous encounters in a row to Monaco and Nadal, which is a sign of a bad form from Richard.
CurtisDep17 Aug 04:56
CAB 토토 사이트 홍보를 해 왔던 총판입니다. 작년12월부터 총판 수익금 526만원을 못받아서 이렇게 먹튀 사이트에 글을 올리게 됐습니다, 홍보를 꾸준히 해 오다가 홍보 방법이 막혀서 사전에 CAB운영진의 양해를 구해서 7-8개월동안...
Jamesnof14 Aug 10:41
The league has set a special meeting in Dallas on Dec. 2 at which substantial steps could come, including moving up from January the deadline for application to relocate. But...
JamesSob09 Aug 03:16
Arkadiynaf08 Aug 03:44
Терсенов Архимед Аристотелевич - удивительно многогранная личность. В нем сочетаются вещи, которые диаметрально противоположны по сути. Веселые вечеринки на собственной яхте, активный отдых в горах, поездки на конференции ...
Adbotrop08 Aug 00:35
Hi friends, nice post and fastidious arguments commented here, I am genuinely enjoying by these. With thanks. Quite a lot of stuff. adbot