Sports betting strategies
We’ve already named that our best loved strategy of tennis betting is value betting, but it’s not a unique one, although the most profitable (or one of the most profitable). The vast majority of all betting strategies are based on mathematical calculations rather than on the ground knowledge of one particular kind of sport. Nevertheless, the bookmakers have learnt how to deactivate all these mathematical bombs and you won’t do without really deep professional knowledge. And it’s not surprising. If all the mathematical tools worked, the bookies would have bankrupt long time ago. So the basic element of successful betting is a good understanding of the sport you bet on. And only then you may complete you betting strategy with mathematical techniques. Without them, your betting life won’t last long, even if you tend to be good at guessing the outcomes.
Sports betting strategies. Mathematical methods
The first strategy is linked with mathematical methods. The majority of all mathematical strategies is related to the Martingale strategy. Basically, it makes the gambler double his bet any time he loses. Let’s make an example with bets placed at the 2,0 odds.
Let’s give an example. You bet the stake of 350$, and win 400$, consequently the profit is 50$ (400 – 350). Then you bet 50$. All the derivatives of this strategy (Dane strategy, Fibonacci numbers and others) differ in betting at different odds and bets increasing different times (not 2 times, but 1,65, for example). In theory, all of these strategies would have the right to existence, were it not for two buts: betting limits and bookmaker’s margin. Like friction and gravitation that make it impossible to create the perpetuum mobile, betting limits and margin kill the opportunity of beating the bookies by mathematical methods only. In our example the limit on the event is 200$ and if we lose for third time in a row, we lose 350$ in total. And even if the 4th bet will be successful we still be in the red: 550$ - 400$ = 150$. That’s it…
Sports betting strategies. Combo bets
Strategies of this kind are aimed at different betting combinations. The most popular way is to multiply the “true” odds by “reference” bets to increase the odds. Wow, you will exclaim! We take 1,75 odds and multiply by 1,2, and get the bet at 2,1 odds. But don’t forget that increasing your odds you also increase the bookmaker’s margin! The margin of the 1st odds is 5% as well as of the 2nd odds. Now we calculate the total margin (1-0,95*0,95) and get 9,75%. It means that you’ll double the bookies’ profit. So to avoid doing that you’d better place two individual bets with 5% margin each. Of course, now you see why so many bookmakers’ special offers concern parlays, or combo bets. For instance, the biggest won parlay will get an iPhone! Hm…why won’t they reward just a profitable punter? Why the biggest parlay only? The question is simple: a combination of 10 events will bring them half of a bet size you place! Shall you bet 100$, the bookies will gain almost 50$ for nothing! Those who have won such combos at least once would understand us. By making post-betting calculations, you’ll see that you have given more to the bookies, than put on your gambling account by winning this combo.
As a result, all such combinations and their derivatives are losing or reducing your profit as comparing to individual bets due to odds multiplying and increasing the bookmakers’ margin.
Betting strategies based on stats.
Theoretically, these strategies have the right to exist. Let’s explain why. The bookmakers quote their odds based on the cash flows from gambling audience. Correspondingly, if under the influence of any factors the betting crowd starts backing one event, the odds on the opposite outcome gain value thus giving us a chance to make a profit. And if with the help of tennis stats you can find these regularities, we congratulate you! Don’t share your thoughts with no one, just bet, bet and bet! For example, in tennis one of the players wins a pre-match coin to get the right of the first serve. The probability of obtaining head or tails is 50% to 50%. And supposing that a player winning the coin will always choose a serve, it’s reasonable to set odds on who is going to serve at 2.0. Well, considering the bookmaker’s margin – 1,95. And again considering the coin probabilities this bet is meaningless. But suddenly you’ve noticed that shall Rafa Nadal win the coin toss, he would always serve second! In this case 1,95 odds to Nadal serving second are just a dreamlike! Judge for yourself, if his opponent wins the coin toss he’s likely to serve first and shall Nadal win the coin toss – the first to serve will again be his opponent! It means that the chance for Nadal to serve second is 100%! But such tricks are easily noticed by other gamblers and bookmakers and the value disappears! Moreover, it’s not that easy to find these loopholes and the most obvious of them are already destroyed by low odds. And to detect more sophisticated of them, one should possess really deep knowledge in any specific kind of sport.
Betting strategies. Surebet and corridors
These strategies will live forever. We’ve already meant that odds are calculated on the basis of cash flows which are unevenly distributed between the sports books. Accordingly, you may benefit from betting on the same event in different bookies. The primary role here is played by corresponding software. But we won’t speak long about these strategies. Only remember that first-class software tools of high speed are required to succeed by using them. And a number of accounts registered by different bookies.
Conclusion: earning on sports betting is a challenging and fascinating activity which today can also bring you enough income to live on it. It has a number of advantages over other income lines. For example, you stop being confined to any special spot and become free to choose any place of the world to live and work there. Just imagine: today you are having a cup of coffee in Vilnius, tomorrow you are taking the sun on the Atlantic beach. Or, if lucky enough, you may even cross this very Ocean. It’s all up to you. When choosing your strategy, keep in mind the words of Sam Limit: “Your main sports betting strategy is that you choose it. Bookmaking analysts have to comply with it, and with many others. And do you still keep thinking they are better than you?"
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