Tennis Tennis tips

Contact Us:

How to win at betting: odds fluctuations.

Why do betting odds change? How can an ordinary puntor take it to his advantage betting oddswhen betting at the betting agency? Opinions differ and there’s no single answer to these questions. Every puntor is likely to use his own techniques and methods to gain an edge over the bookies.

This article is the interview with the Favorite betting agency representative. During the talk we have covered the most popular issues to take into account when betting on sports. (All this may be attributed to any kind of sport, not just tennis).

Dotennis: Hello! To start with, tell us how the initial odds are calculated.

Bookie: Hello! Initial odds are calculated according to the given formula. The values are further adjusted given the situation and bookies’ expectations for the number of wagers on all possible outcomes of the match.
Our analytics are thoroughly examining all possible data on the upcoming event: statistics, head to heads, physical state of the opponents, their goals for the season, etc.

Actually, the bookies don’t care about the match outcome. The main objective is to get profit. That’s why the odds should be set in such a way that the handicappers won’t find extra value thus reducing the gains of the bookies. The odds seldom reflect the actual winning chances of the opponents, but rather the bettors' interest in any of the possible outcomes. 
For example, Djokovic plays the World No.300. The bookies can’t set the handicap odds at -3.5 on the Serb. As in this case, it’ll be a one-way bet. The bookies search for a golden middle to evenly distribute the players’ money. So in this case we’ll be offered something like -7.5 or -8.5 handicap and it’ll be much more difficult to decide which handicap to choose: positive or negative.

Dotennis: Do the bookies always try to find the balance according to the punters' expectations for the match outcome?
del potro traumaBookies: Not always. Sometimes the match is so good that the bookies face the risk and back the favorite instead of representing the true probability of every outcome.
Betting agency isn’t just calculating stats and formulas; it’s gathering the most relevant data from a wide range of sources descending to agreements with other agencies, sports clubs, mass media, players’ agents and any other people who somehow communicate with athletes and possess any kind of information from the inside.

Let us say, a tennis player was seen hanging around late at night before his performance. Evidently, he will hardly be capable of showing his top tennis. Or, what matters more, someone got information about a player’s hidden trauma or injury. The bookies know how to use this info to their favor. It means that instead of 50/50 odds there’ll be 30/70 encoded.

Dotennis: What makes the betting line move?
: The majority of punters back their favorites. It means that a fan of Roger Federer will back Roger without considering his real odds. The British are more likely to back Andy Murray, the Americans – John Isner and so on and so force.
Indeed, patriotic moods don’t have to be neglected. Keep it in mind that most of the punters don’t aim for big profit. They are just backing their favorites and get pleasure from this process. This crowd is responsible for moving the public money in this or that direction. And as our main goal is to make profit we have to stay cool when making a betting decision.

Dotennis: Why is statistics important for punters?
: Statistically, if a player has a long winning session, he’s likely to be overestimated as many punters will be judged by the stats and back him.
Actually there are lots of punters who only rely on stats on the Internet when placing the wager. This strategy can be profitable but it shouldn’t be taken seriously as the only correct way to prevail. Statistical data is only one of the tools to analyze the current physical form of players or to consider their previous matchups. At the same time it will never tell you who is currently on his way up or who is losing his form due to accumulated fatigue. All in all, statistics is a piece of the puzzle, not the entire picture.

Dotennis: How do punters treat top players?
: ATP and WTA top players are often overestimated and are wrongly expected to show their best at minor events.
It goes without saying that top players are the most popular among the punters.  But the latter often forget one simple truth: the players are humans prone to traumas and with their limits of forces. This implies that any top-ranked player can spend the entire season in one breath. Anyway, he has to sacrifice some of the events to display better tennis at other ones. And in most cases minor events are sacrificed at the altar of grand slams and masters titles. The vivid example is Stan Wawrinka. The Swiss has always been stuck to his season goals and therefore displays mediocre tennis at small tournaments. Surprisingly, but for many punters it’s a real problem. Many of them back top players at small starts before the Grand Slam events. And o course the money is lost! There are no top players that will show their best at ATP 250 if the French Open is to start soon!

To sum it up, we’d like remember once again about discipline. It means a lot in betting. Actually, it’s the most important thing you’ll need to find an edge and succeed in betting. Patience and discipline will help to get your value.

Stay tuned for Dotennis, master your gambling skills and make betting on tennis profitable!

The article was written with the support of

Relevant articles:
How to consistently win at sports betting
Betting on qualifiers: better adaptation or accumulated fatigue?
Long odds betting strategies
Sports betting strategies
Catch the break point to raise money on tennis



I have a system that can automatically generate for you NEW customers. Can i give you two-week free trial to try. Is it interesting for you?


We are a private company that gives loans. No credit needed. Could you be interested?


We are a private company that gives loans. No credit needed. Could you be interested?

Add Comment
Hertogenbosch QF previews and predictions: Karlovic – Mannarino, Querrey – Kozlov, Mahut – Tomic

Analyzing the ATP World Tour Finals results

Free tennis tips. Roland Garros. Klizan - Granollers

Tournament yet folds up for us quite well in the market of flat bets and live bets. 6 won bets in a row perfectly enhances the mood, but we are not going to lose concentrtion and relax ...

Betting on USA tennis. What problems american players face today

The more I watch the matches with the American players the stronger is my feeling that they all resemble one another. It all looks like a plant cranking out products of the same quality and with the same spoilage. And this trend holds true for the last 4-5 years...

Free tennis tips. АТР Madrid. Nadal - Marray

Everything in this match counts in favor of the Spaniard. Nadal, as a real locomotive, took long to get into stride. But having accelerated he becomes unstoppable. Rafa performed well in Madrid

Kei Nishikori. Analyzing the tennis of the japanese player

From the moment he appeared on courts, Kei Nishikori has always been one of 5 or 6 super talented promising players. Within the last 3-4 years Kei showed nothing special which reflected on his modest results: he sustained a good tennis level, won several ATP 250 titles, performed well on majors – but...

SHANGHAI MASTERS 2015 Fabio Fognini – Kevin anderson MATCH PREVIEW

Dispersion in sports betting

Free tennis tip. Shanghai masters. Gasquet - Chardy

Such evaluation of Gasquet from the bookmakers is understandable. The Frenchman lost his two previous encounters in a row to Monaco and Nadal, which is a sign of a bad form from Richard.

Breakthroughs male tennis tour. Tennis prediction

Federer, Nadal, Djokovic, Murray. Who will replace these guys in the near future. Today we chose tennis players who made ​​the biggest step in his development this season. So Thiem Dominic, Batista-Agut and ...

Free tennis tips. ATP Nice. Gulbis - Montañes

The week before a Grand Slam tournament is one of the most difficult to analyze because the motivation of most tennis players is poor or not subject to any reasonable estimate of the ...

Last Comments
ScottVob03 Jul 01:18

RonnieFah02 Jul 19:49


Martinboido23 Jun 17:38

It is very nice to read your site, thank you very much for your work, it's great!

Trista23 Jun 04:31

Hello, i feel that i noticed you visited my site so i came to go back the want?.I'm attemptring to to find things to improve my site!I suppose itts ok...

Chau23 Jun 01:00

Spot on with this write-up, I seriousy think this amaing site needs a great deal more attention. I'll probably be returning to read more, thanks ffor the info! website website promotion...

Our customers about us
Manage your bankroll

Three months of betting with Dotennis picks and my trading bankroll has boosted! Having no time to watch all the matches myself, I totally rely on Dotennis previews. Thanks, guys! PS. Manage your bank! Don’t put all in!

Igor Zhdanov

Very reliable and dependable guys!

These guys send safe tips and back them. That is what I enjoy. You read it and you want to bet more and more!” Of course, there were losing strikes as well, but the profitable ones prevail. If a person gives you a betting tip and then are prepared to follow it till the end of the match it means that we are dealing with responsible people who really mean what they say and what they do. Guys like them, I’d follow into combat blindfolded!

Alex Osipishen, New York

Keep up the great work!

I’ve been on the mailing list since August 2013. In September 2013 I decided to pay for the subscription. I enjoy that the guys back every pick. The Australian Open in January was by far the longest winning streak for me. Thanks! And keep up doing your job!

Ram, 34 y.o., Texas

I know my money is being invested wisely.

These guys ATP picks have been right on and I’ve just been winning since following him. They do not offer free safe picks but this would never sway my decision to follow a particular service. As I'm sure than any job should be paid for. The most important thing is that I know my money is being invested wisely.

Lisa, 30 y.o., Melbourne