Betting tennis live: hedging strategy
Our subscribers frequently ask us whether there are any means of securing bets and getting guaranteed profit. This article is our answer to these questions. But before reading it, be sure that you know how to choose a betting line.
Hedging is the strategy aimed at reducing betting risks and ensuring guaranteed profits. The idea is to place bets on different outcomes to create a situation where you’ll win irrespective of the actual results. Not clear? Let me give some examples.
Let's imagine: Novak Djokovic plays Rafael Nadal. The bookies post 1.95 odds on both of the players. Assumping that Novak will win we back him with $100 USD. In other words, you’ll win +$95 USD in case he ends up the match victoriously.
The match kicks off and Novak takes the first set. The initial odds on Nadal rise from 1.95 to 3.2. In this situation it’s valuable to place part of the potential return of the initial bet ($95) on Nadal. You place $45 USD on Nadal at the odds of 3.2 which may return in $100 USD. You see? By applying this strategy you’ll win irrespective of the match outcome. And if Novak succeeds, your net income will be equal $50 USD.
When apply hedging?
1.When you suppose that one player is fitter and fresher and is capable of putting pressure on his opponent at least at the beginning of the encounter but can lose the entire match due to his poor fitness form. The situation is typical of grand slams’ three-set format and matches played on clay, which are physically tougher.
Example: Murray plays Djokovic at the Wimbledon 2013. We supposed that Murray would run for every Serb’s ball and would take the first set. However, we weren’t sure how long the Brit would survive so we bet on Murray’s victory and to secure the profit placed another wager on Novak’s victory.
2. Another option for hedging is when we expect a failure of the 1st set by one of the players. The key condition is that both of the players should be of almost equal level or you suppose that the favorite will fail, otherwise you may not find decent odds for hedging.
Example: ATP Bastad 2013. Nicolas Almagro faces Garcia Lopez in the second round. Almagro obviously failed the first set. It was his first match and he didn’t tune in. But we were sure that Almagro would improve in the following set (and it went so) and bet at the wining odds of 3.2.
3.The last situation when it may be profitable to hedge your bets is when the underdog is heavily underestimated. It's not unusual for the bookmakers to underestimate the pre-match underdog for some reasons. It this case it may be difficult to choose the betting line as you will lack confidence in positive handicap andtotal markets. So we advise to pick up the underdog's victory and to hedge it if you predict that he'll fail the match. For example: Fernando Verdasco faces Andy Murray in the Wimbledon quarters. Before the start of the event, the odds on Verdasco was 16 and I placed on him. After the Spaniard took the first two sets, the odds on Murray was 2.1 and I be 50% of the possible return on Murray to secure 750% of the final profit.
You see. Hedging strategy really works. If you know how to use it, of course.
Thanks for staying with Dotennis and now enjoy the video.
Relevant articles:Sports betting strategies
Dan Weston: Never let a bad run of results wipe you out.
Betting lines. How to select the best one
Sports Betting: a real way of making money
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