Tennis Tennis tips

Contact Us:
dotennis@mail.ru

Betting on tennis handicaps explained

The most popular tennis betting markets are total games market, games handicap market and the match winner market. We’ve already discussed totals markets (Over/Under market). Now we want to look at the games handicap market, which is also a very important tool to play against the bookies.

What is a handicap in tennis?

nadal wawrA handicap in tennis is a lead given by the bookies to this or that player to be added to the total number of games consequently won by him. By doing this the bookies level out the match. So when betting on handicaps it’s very important to count the number of games not to predict on the actual winner of the match. For example, the 2014 Australian Open final saw Rafael Nadal take on Stan Wawrinka. The Swiss won it in four sets with the final score 6:3, 6:2, 3:6, 6:3. Wawrinka took 6 games in the first set, 6 games in the second, 3 games in the third set and 6 games in the final one. Summing it up, we get 21 games in total. Rafa Nadal managed to win 3 games in the opening set, then 2 in the second one, 6 in the third set and 3 in the final one. All in all it made up 14 winners. The difference in the games was 7 (21 – 14 = 7) in the victor’s favour. Another example is the 2014 USA Open final where Kei Nishikori faced Marin Cilic. The match finished with 6:3, 6:3, 6:3 on the scoreboard. The handicap made up 9. This is the difference between 18 games won by the Croat and 9 won by Nishikori.

Buy tennis tips

Now do some follow-up exercises.

  1. Calculate the handicap in the 2012 Australian Open match between Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic which ended up with the scoreline 5:7, 6:4, 6:2, 6:7, 7:5 in the Serb’s favor.
  2. John Isner v Novak Djokovic at 2012 Indian Wels Masters. The American won that encounter 7:6, 3:6, 7:6. What was the handicap?

djokovicSo the number of games is the only thing that matters in handicap betting. The real winner of the encounter is not that important. Sometimes you may bet on the minus handicap and win even if your selection has failed the match. Sometimes the -1,5 or -2,5 handicap turned out to be profitable despite the loss of the player you backed. It may happen with the scoreline 6:0, 6:7, 4:6 and at the minus handicap -2,5. Such cases are quite rare. But they also happen. So in handicap betting you just count the games correctly.  

Now let’s talk about two kinds of handicaps: it may either be plus or minus.

How does plus handicap work?

cilicPlus handicap shows the number of games which should be added to the final number of games won by a player. Thus, taking a recent example with Rafael Nadal we could have taken a handicap bigger than 7 (for example, +9) and the outcome would have been as follows: Stan Wawrinka won 21 games, Rafael Nadal won 14+9 (real games + handicap) = 23 games. It means that our handicap bet wins. Or take the match between Djokovic and Isner which was also mentioned above. Have you calculated the difference? It’s 1. So if we had taken the plus handicap at John Isner (let it be +2), the total number of games won by the American would have made up 19 against Serb’s 18. And we have pushed up some money!

Buy most reliable tennis tips

How does minus handicap work?

Minus handicap is the number which should be subtracted from the final outcome for our selection to win it.  Get back to Nadal - Wawrinka example. If we had bet at the minus handicap on Wawrinka -3, our outcome would have been the following: Wawrinka winning 21 – 3 = 18 games and Nadal 14, i.e. Wawrinka would come off victorious even without these three sets. Our minus handicap wins.  In Isner – Djokovic match the -2 handicap on Djokovic would have lost, as 18-2=16 games won by the Serb against 17 games taken by the American. Isner would have won and our bet lost.

How do the bookies set handicaps?

bookiesThe whole numbers (4 games, for example) are rarely used by the bookies to set the handicaps. More often you’ll come across fractional odds like +3,5 и -3,5. Why do they do this? As we’ve already written, the bookies try to divide all the punters into two categories. One part should bet at plus handicap, the other at minus handicap. For these reasons, if the handicaps will be even numbers, it’s very likely that the match will end up with the same difference.  Let’s imagine that some match has ended up 7:6, 6:4. In this case handicap 3 will guarantee all the punters will get their stakes back. And bookies will get nothing.  To avoid this outcome, they add 0,5 and ensure themselves some profit from either those who bet at the positive handicap or negative.

Handicap betting strategies

And finally let’s take a deeper look at the handicaps selection. When choosing handicap bets from the range offered by the bookies you should answer a question: how many breaks can perform the favorite? If there are two equal players and you suppose that the favorite will be able of making only one break, don’t hesitate to select 4.5 handicap on the underdog set by the bookies. Even at worst with one break the final score will be 6:3, 7:6 and your plus handicap will win.   

Buy tennis tips

Our dotennis team has also revealed the following trend: big plus handicaps (4.5) are more reliable than huge minus handicaps. Only a player with spotless tennis can cover the -4,5 handicap.

From the other hand, small plus handicaps (1,5 or 2) are less valuable than the outsider’s victory.  The player has to win at least one set for the +1,5 handicap bet to win. Think it over. The scoreline 7:6, 7:6 contains the handicap 2. So if you bet at +2 handicap, you’ll get your stake back. In this case it would be more profitable to bet on the underdog’s win as the odds set be the bookies will be def higher, while the winning chances are equal. Of course, there are exceptions to any rule and there are some events when it’s more desirable to bet at a small plus handicap. But it’s another story.

We hope that we managed to explain the handicap betting option to you. If any questions arise – feel free to ask in comments!

And now it’s time for amazingly high speed!  


Relevant articles:
Betting lines. How to select the best one
Betting tennis is the best way to beat the bookmakers
How sports betting works. Value betting
Catch the break point to raise money on tennis
Statistics in tennis. How it helps when it comes to betting tips



Comments

Ale

I've never put tennis balls on waekrls but I've put them on chairs at school The janitor used a box cutter to cut a slit in each tennis ball and then squeezed it to open it and slid it onto the legs.

Onyinyechi

Please when you bet 1H1.5 ,and they score 0-2.please what does it mean?

Add Comment
Partners
Interesting
SHANGHAI MASTERS 2015 Fabio Fognini – Kevin anderson MATCH PREVIEW

Free tennis tip. Shanghai masters. Gasquet - Chardy

Such evaluation of Gasquet from the bookmakers is understandable. The Frenchman lost his two previous encounters in a row to Monaco and Nadal, which is a sign of a bad form from Richard.

Free tennis tips. Roland Garros. Klizan - Granollers

Tournament yet folds up for us quite well in the market of flat bets and live bets. 6 won bets in a row perfectly enhances the mood, but we are not going to lose concentrtion and relax ...

Free tennis tips. АТР Madrid. Nadal - Marray

Everything in this match counts in favor of the Spaniard. Nadal, as a real locomotive, took long to get into stride. But having accelerated he becomes unstoppable. Rafa performed well in Madrid

Dispersion in sports betting

Free tennis tips. ATP Nice. Gulbis - Montañes

The week before a Grand Slam tournament is one of the most difficult to analyze because the motivation of most tennis players is poor or not subject to any reasonable estimate of the ...

Betting on USA tennis. What problems american players face today

The more I watch the matches with the American players the stronger is my feeling that they all resemble one another. It all looks like a plant cranking out products of the same quality and with the same spoilage. And this trend holds true for the last 4-5 years...

Kei Nishikori. Analyzing the tennis of the japanese player

From the moment he appeared on courts, Kei Nishikori has always been one of 5 or 6 super talented promising players. Within the last 3-4 years Kei showed nothing special which reflected on his modest results: he sustained a good tennis level, won several ATP 250 titles, performed well on majors – but...

Breakthroughs male tennis tour. Tennis prediction

Federer, Nadal, Djokovic, Murray. Who will replace these guys in the near future. Today we chose tennis players who made ​​the biggest step in his development this season. So Thiem Dominic, Batista-Agut and ...

Hertogenbosch QF previews and predictions: Karlovic – Mannarino, Querrey – Kozlov, Mahut – Tomic

Analyzing the ATP World Tour Finals results

Last Comments
LukiyPah20 Nov 19:10

[url= ]owek ElurrirmDug aleda[/url] [url= ]dreredueli oceava Garo[/url] [url= ]Jat Dryday Invoto[/url] ...

Yaroslavsag20 Nov 17:02

[url= ]hoasiaw Peri Jaimasewexill[/url] [url= ]GLICAGYNC Gype ea[/url] [url= ]almot crustiott amide[/url] ...

YakovDaura20 Nov 14:54

[url= ]adhethy Fainnyapadly Attarge[/url] [url= ]pi Favy Teelarge[/url] [url= ]Drals kniliapit Teagicy[/url] ...

Trofimfal20 Nov 12:48

[url= ]TrorpCogy Mymntada crychogy[/url] [url= ]seli Flardy bup[/url] [url= ]Rot insisuaxesee skymn[/url] ...

ArturBot20 Nov 10:23

[url= ]Voice Gredgeerons jep[/url] [url= ]Illiznew Eredy Daunny[/url] [url= ]jagree envecreds JemiaJago[/url] ...

Our customers about us
Manage your bankroll

Three months of betting with Dotennis picks and my trading bankroll has boosted! Having no time to watch all the matches myself, I totally rely on Dotennis previews. Thanks, guys! PS. Manage your bank! Don’t put all in!

Igor Zhdanov

Very reliable and dependable guys!

These guys send safe tips and back them. That is what I enjoy. You read it and you want to bet more and more!” Of course, there were losing strikes as well, but the profitable ones prevail. If a person gives you a betting tip and then are prepared to follow it till the end of the match it means that we are dealing with responsible people who really mean what they say and what they do. Guys like them, I’d follow into combat blindfolded!

Alex Osipishen, New York

Keep up the great work!

I’ve been on the mailing list since August 2013. In September 2013 I decided to pay for the subscription. I enjoy that the guys back every pick. The Australian Open in January was by far the longest winning streak for me. Thanks! And keep up doing your job!

Ram, 34 y.o., Texas

I know my money is being invested wisely.

These guys ATP picks have been right on and I’ve just been winning since following him. They do not offer free safe picks but this would never sway my decision to follow a particular service. As I'm sure than any job should be paid for. The most important thing is that I know my money is being invested wisely.

Lisa, 30 y.o., Melbourne